Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(7/4/5)-(5/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(5/1/7)-(3/7/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/6)-(3/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/6)-(3/6/5/2)-(6/5/9/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2)-(6/5/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2)-(6/5/9/4)-(7/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/4)-(6/5/9/4/1)-(6/5/9/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/9/4)-(7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/4)-(7/5)-(6/5/7/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(6/5/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(6/5/7/8)-(8/9/4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/8)-(8/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (8/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/2)-(8/9/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/2)-(8/9/4/2/7)-(8/9/4/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   10/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO FILTER         (antonacc)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
FREE SPIN Oct05 Aug28 Jul13 May08 Apr17 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50    
PARTY WITH SMARTY Oct05 Sep12 Aug27 Aug10 Apr10 (gutier)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00    
SPORTS HERO Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 May24 Apr19 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SERGEANT CAPPS Sep12 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Apr26 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
INTO INSPIRATION Aug31 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 (jimenez jos)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 8.00    
IN THE TANK         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
BAQ-2   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADS GOOD RUNNER Sep20 Jun29 Jun13 May18 Apr23 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 123 4.50    
INDIANQUEST Apr26 Apr05 Mar07 Feb23 Feb14 (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 30.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER Sep20 Aug09 Jun21 May11 Apr26 (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00    
BRAVE BUCK Jul26 Jun22 May26 Apr11   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 30% 2.40    
COMPLEX MUSIC Sep12 Aug18 Jun27 May18 Apr23 (chichakly amir)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIDE UP Sep27 Sep12 Aug09 Jul17 May24 (abreu fernand)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
MY MAN MATTY Sep12 Jun08 Dec01 Feb25 Feb05 (levine b)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
BADLANDS RULER Oct03 Sep27 Feb01 Jan26 Dec13 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00    
FIRST TRUMPET Sep27 Sep13 Aug14 Jul21 Jun19 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/19/2025 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORWARD DEPLOYED Sep06 Jul19 Jun01 Feb08 Jan04 (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  SOL D'ORO Aug31 Aug06 Apr05 Feb09 Jan05 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
POOKIE Sep26 Aug31 Jul26 May25 Nov17 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
POCA MUCHA Aug29 Jul10 Jun13 Sep21 Jul31 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
LOUISE PROCTER (FR) Sep01 Aug03 Jun06     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
SIYOUNI FLASH (FR) Sep19 Sep01 Apr23     (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
LUCKFORYOU Oct04 Aug01 Jun14 May23 May02 (romero je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PURLOIN Oct09 Sep11 Jun19 Jun05 Apr23 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
SCR  LUNA MOTH Oct03 Sep21 Jun29 Jun05 May26 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  JUST MUSIC Sep26 Jul20 Mar16 Jan19 Dec06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INAMORATA Sep20 Aug07 Apr27 Mar29   (sanchez lo)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
STELLA MARS Oct04 Sep13 Sep04 Jun21 Jun07 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
TONGUE TWISTER Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 Jun22 May02 (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  TRALEE GIRL Sep20 Aug23 Jun05 Nov03 Sep13 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
CLEARWATER BEACH Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 (miceli micha)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 5% 18.50    
HELLO BEAUTY Sep25 Aug24 Aug03 Jun14 May01 (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAIL WITH THE WIND Sep21 Jul26 Jun22 May17 Dec15 (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
SARATOGA SNOW Sep20 Aug24 Aug07 Jul18 Jun26 (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
STRACA Sep26 Aug21 Jun29 Feb08 Dec01 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
SCR  BACKCHECK Sep21 Aug23 Jul05 Jun13 May03 (clement miguel)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  GRACE AND GRIT Sep21 Aug21 Jul16 Jun12 May17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
SCR  RODEO STAR Sep25 Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00    
SCR  HIGHER FORCE Sep26 Aug29 Jul16 May24 Apr26 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMIES BIG DAY Aug30 Aug10 Aug01 Jun28 May18 (joseph saff)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
FOR SOME REASON Sep20 Aug24 Jul06 Jun08 Apr24 (shivmangal loli)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMUNDSON Oct05 Sep11 Aug20 Aug09 Jul13 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
MUAZARAH Sep01 Aug24 Aug09 Jul23 Jun15 (trites a )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
FITZPATRICK Oct02 Aug09 Jul13 Sep22 Aug12 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.00 7% 13.60    
WINTER'S GHOST Aug08 Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (potts wayn)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  HONORARY DEGREE Oct02 Sep26 Sep02 Aug09 Jul26 (jones eduardo)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF JOY Oct11 Sep20 Jun13 May16 May03 (legall ricardo)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
GRAYWING Jul12 Jun08 May08 Mar29 Mar14 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 5.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/19/2025 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Carle Place Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT ON BAIL Sep06 Jun27 Apr30 Oct06 Sep07 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
FIRE PIT Sep20 Aug18 Jul18 May28 Apr18 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TRUE MARTHA by CREATIVE CAUSE)
LANDING CRAFT Sep10 Aug07 Jul19 May02 Mar02 (green am)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BRIDGETTE BORDEAUX by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GLOBAL STEVE Feb01 Dec30 Nov25     (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00 9% 10.30    
  (by BUCCHERO out of A ROSEFOR ISABELLE by HARD SPUN)
NO EVIDENCE Aug10 Jul13 Apr18 Mar22 Feb16 (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by VEKOMA out of HIDDEN FACTS by THE FACTOR)
SPICED UP Sep06 Aug10 Jun20 Nov14 Sep26 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CARDAMON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
CYCLONITE Aug30 Aug07       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of COMPACT POWDER by STREET CRY (IRE))
CAIRO CAPER Sep01 Aug09 Jun27 Apr26 Oct13 (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SUMMER CLOTHES by SUMMER FRONT)
FORGED STEEL Sep06 Aug02 Jul04 May03 Mar29 (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
  (by VEKOMA out of SCORECARD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
BAQ-7   10/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Noble Damsel Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPARKLE BLUE Sep04 Jun29 May17 Apr19 Mar08 (motion h )DETTORI LANFRANCO 126 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
AUSSIE GIRL (IRE) Feb22 Dec01 Oct17 Aug31   (walden william)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of RAVISSANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
EDICT (ARG) Sep14 Aug08 Jul10 Jun06 May04 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
  (by IL CAMPIONE out of STORMY VALERY by BERNSTEIN)
CONI FIZZ (ARG)         (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 8.00    
  (by MARCONI out of AZARELLA by NOT FOR SALE)
MRS. GAMBOLINI Sep13 Aug09 Jun28 May25 Apr27 (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MARQUEE CAL GAL by COWBOY CAL)
FEATHER BOA (SAF) Sep22         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
  (by FLOWER ALLEY out of OSPREY by FORT LOUDON)
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Aug29 Jul24 May03 Mar01 Dec01 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by MEHMAS out of COUNTRY MADAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  WEIGH THE RISKS Jul23 Feb22 Jan19 Nov16 Oct10 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 0.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TIPPLE Sep06 Aug01 Jun26 Apr12 Feb23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
 
BAQ-8   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARE THE LUDT Sep22 Apr19 Mar29 Mar01 Dec28 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00    
EMPIRE SKY Sep16 Aug08 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 6.00    
SCR  CRESCENDO'S REIN Aug24 Jul27       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50    
ROOFER Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 Jun27 May26 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
LONG POUR Sep20 Aug23 Jul27     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
MAN IN FINANCE Aug24 Nov16 Sep21     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
LEO'S REWARD Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 Jul13 Jun08 (donk david)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 9% 9.70    
UNCLE GEORGE Sep20 Aug13 Jun28 Jun08 May18 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/19/2025 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Autumn Days Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHANNY Sep13 Jul31 May31 Jun28 May11 (harty eoin)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORE THAN MAGIC by MORE THAN READY)
READY TO JAM Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 May31 May01 (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 8% 12.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THIRD DAWN by SKY MESA)
DO GOODER Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Jun06 May10 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMARE by STREET BOSS)
DANSE MACABRE Aug30 Jul19 Jun05 Apr13 Aug31 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 9% 9.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SYLPHIDE by BLAME)
RILEYS REDEMPTION Sep13 Aug16 Jul28 Jun18 Apr08 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EVANA by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  TRUTH AND BEAUTY Aug21 Dec01       (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DEL MAR MAY by JIMMY CREED)
LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Sep13 Aug16 Jun21 Jun06 Jan24 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 125 6.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of TOO FOOFOO FOR YOU by FREUD)
DONTLOOKBACKATALL Sep13 Aug15 Aug02 May04 Nov08 (clement )SANTANA JR 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
TOUPIE (GB) Sep13 Jul19 May31 Apr13 Jan19 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERTUME by TAPIT)
10  CAVALIER CUPID Sep04 Aug08 Jul17 Jun07 May23 (nagle sarah)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EL VEDADO by BIG BROWN)
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 Jun06 May04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
SCR  ROSWELL Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun07 Nov07 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ACOMA by EMPIRE MAKER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.