Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Friday - August 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(6/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(6/3/1/2)-(5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-2   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(5/4/1)-(5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/2/6)-(6/4/2/10/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
ELP-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/4/2/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/4/2/10/7)-(7/4/9/3/1) 75 $0.50 $225 
ELP-5   WIN (6/4/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/10/7)-(6/4/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/10/7)-(6/4/2/10/7)-(6/4/2/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/10/7)-(7/4/9/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/10/7)-(7/4/9/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
ELP-6   WIN (7/4/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/3/1)-(7/4/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/3/1)-(7/4/9/3/1)-(7/4/9/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/9/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/3/1)-(6/7/8/3/2)-(3/2/4/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
ELP-7   WIN (6/7/8/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3/2)-(6/7/8/3/2/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3/2)-(6/7/8/3/2/10)-(6/7/8/3/2/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3/2)-(3/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/3/2)-(3/2/4/7)-(9/12/4/3/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
ELP-8   WIN (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/7)-(9/12/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ELP-9   WIN (9/12/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/4/3/1)-(9/12/4/3/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (9/12/4/3/1)-(9/12/4/3/1/8)-(9/12/4/3/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICKS STORY Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 Jun01 Mar08 (wiggins lon)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEND IT TEWMEY Jul05 Jun04 May02 Mar14 Feb17 (diodoro rober)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  FACE VALUE Jul12 Jun21 Jun13 Jun01 Apr13 (williams mat)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 12.00    
4  DUCALE Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Apr13 Apr06 (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
5  W W CRAZY Jul13 Jun05 May16 Apr24 Feb24 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ENJOY IT STRAIT Aug01 Jun27 May25 Apr26 Mar28 (ramirez-rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
7  MOLTO VIVACE Jul04 Apr09 Dec07 Nov20 Jun28 (radosevich j)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50    
 
ELP-2   08/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($41.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYGO (GER) Mar05 Feb15 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  NON FUNGIBLE Aug01 Jul04 May28 May15 Apr23 (dalton michelle)MURGIA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RED ROSE ROCKIN Jul14 Jun11 May19 May05 Mar28 (mckeever and)LANDEROS CHRIS 113 8.00 26% 2.80    
4  FRANZ JOSEF Aug01 May19 Feb28 Feb12 Jan25 (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 122 1.80    
5  AGENT CREED Aug07 Jun25 Jun11 Apr17 Mar04 (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50    
6  HARD MISSION Jul04 May12 Mar13 Feb21 Feb07 (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
7  MUCHO MOJO Jun20 May17 Apr26 Mar29 Feb27 (habeeb donald)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIFFANY TWIST Aug03 Jun27 May15 Apr25 Mar14 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEMI Aug03 Jun27 May24 Apr25 Mar01 (morse l)ROMAN A 122 8.00    
3  DARK DAHLIA Oct19 Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 Jun28 (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00    
4  SWEET CHABLIS Jul05 May08 Apr06 Mar12 Feb13 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
5  WINDY WALK Jul05 Jun13 May18 Apr24 Jan18 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 1.40 59% 0.70    
6  STORY HOUR Jul05 May15 Apr30 Feb24 Feb02 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50    
7  SWEET ALYSSA Jul06 May30 Apr12 Feb16 Jan09 (deville j)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
 
ELP-4   08/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3 ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW OF FORCE Jul26 Jun28 Jun01 Oct05 Sep08 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
2  SING SING Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 Apr12 Jul07 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  JOEJOE GO Jul26 Jun11 May03 Mar14 Feb17 (davis christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
4  OH PLEASE Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 May26 May07 (elliott michel)ROMAN A 118 10.00    
5  COMES A TIME Jul03 Oct27 Sep21     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  MISCHIEF RIVER Jul16 Apr24 Oct05 Sep08 Aug11 (caramori cai)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   08/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD GUNNER Jul03 Jun18 May25     (deville j)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
2  CANNON Jun21 May24 May03     (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
3  SOCO AND LIME Jul03 Jun13 May25 Mar08 Jul21 (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 8.00    
4  HIGH SPARK         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 14% 6.20    
5  NO MOR STONES Jun19         (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119 15.00    
6  SOLEVO Jul26 Jul11 Jun06 Apr27 Mar30 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
7  PERSONAL JET Jul13 May26 May16 Apr19 Mar29 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 17.40    
8  CAT FAST Jun20 Feb15 Jan16     (rice linda)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
9  SKYLER Jul26 Jul03 Mar07 Feb15 Jan16 (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
10  CAJUN CRUISER Jul26 Jun15 Apr30 Apr19 Mar14 (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
11  WORK RELEASE May22 Apr29 Apr02 Mar08 Dec21 (hancock da)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/22/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYMOOR (GB)         (forster gran)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROMAN HONOR         (deville carl )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
3  KING PRINCE         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 6% 15.10    
4  HOWIE'S LAW         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  ALLEQUIN SUMMER         (morse l)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
6  TULLY         (hancock john)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
7  SWUNG Jun29         (williams matt)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 40% 1.50    
8  JOCK FROST Jul21         (davis christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
9  FAME CHASER         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
10  SPARKLING SPEED Aug04         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00    
SCR  EL CHAVO Aug04         (wittek kary)STILLION BROOKE 119 20.00    
12  MISTER POSITIVITY         (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
SCR  THIS BEAU KNOWS Aug03         (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  SUPER KICK Jul21         (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATROL SQUAD SIX         (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GYPSY GREY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  BARSTOOL Aug01 Jul13 Jun19 Apr24 Apr07 (vasquez )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of HOLLYWOOD HOOPLA by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  HOT DANG         (brown chad )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TAP IT OUT by PLEASANT TAP)
4  FUZZBUSTER         (oliver )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MOANIN by MEDICEAN)
5  THIRD PICK         (salas marce)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 30.00    
  (by BASIN out of DELIGHTFUL DAWN by ACT OF DUTY)
6  SPIRIT OF ROYAL Jun28         (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SPIRIT LETS HEARIT by GIROLAMO)
7  WAR SPIRIT Jul04         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by WAR EAGLE out of FORONCENMYLIFETIME by CAPTAIN COUNTDOWN)
8  ZAMBONI         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by ICECAPADE out of SYNCHRONIZE by TAPIT)
9  OUTLAW EMPIRE Jun22         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN CHARM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  FUEL         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00 ★    
  (by BASIN out of HARLAN'S HONOR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  INCREDIBOLT         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
12  EMANCIPATION         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LADY LIBERTY by CONSTITUTION)
SCR  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE)         (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED out of CARNATION (FR) by CARWHITE)
SCR  INORDINARY Aug05 Jun13 May16     (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of TAPTAM by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  MY WORLD         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
  (by WORLD STAGE (IRE) out of KELLI MY GIRL by TUNERUP)
SCR  NINE BALL         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by HADIF out of PATCARR'S AVATAR by AVATAR)
 
ELP-8   08/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTERIA Jul15 Jun14 May20 Mar28 Dec18 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00    
2  GOLDEN SUNSHINE Jul06 May31 Apr19 Mar22 Feb13 (harty eoin)TORRES A 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
3  YES IT TIZ Jul06 Apr13       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
4  LOVELY EMMA Jul06 May10 Dec19 Oct20 Sep07 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 8% 11.80    
5  SISTER CARLIE May17 Apr07 Feb23 Aug03   (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
6  GOLDENAGEACTRESS Jul06 May25 Apr17 Mar22 Feb27 (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
7  MCLAUGHLIN Jul30 Jul03 Jun05 Mar06 Feb06 (davis christ)RAMOS D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKE CHARGE OMAHA Jul21 Jun21 May25 Apr24 Mar12 (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00    
 
ELP-9   08/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL QUOTE Jun07 Apr19 Mar12 Jan18 Nov16 (tomlins)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LOVE QUOTE by TAPIT)
2  TAP ME A SONG Aug01 Jun06 May10 Apr06 Aug24 (santamaria)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GWITHIAN by STREET SENSE)
3  CONSOLATION PRIZE Feb21         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 8% 11.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CHERUB by HALO)
4  MISTER BANDERAS Jul13 Jun12 May10 Apr10 Nov17 (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 9% 10.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of C R VEXORA by GRAEME HALL)
5  UP COUNTRY Jun27         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of A P LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  MONEY MAN Jul13 May24 Mar22 Feb22 Oct25 (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of ORO BLANCO by HOLD FOR GOLD)
7  BISOU Oct27         (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MIDNIGHT BISOU by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  MATINEE IDOL         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 ★    
  (by STAR PROGRAMMER out of PRISSY PRISCILLA by BELIEVE THE QUEEN)
9  PLAYA DEL MAR Jul06 Apr08 Mar08     (mott william)TORRES A 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOR DE LA MAR by TIZNOW)
10  MR. BABBS         (mccarthy micha)SHEEHY DANNY 118 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MS. BUBBETTE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  CUBAN COWBOY Aug01 Oct06       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 20.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HEART STEALER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  START TO WIN Jul13 Aug24       (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by UPSTART out of HEAVEN KNOWS WHAT by HOLY BULL)
SCR  ROCKIN HIS SOX OFF Jul06 Jun07       (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HONEY'S SOX APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.