Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - April 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(2/4/5)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/2/1)-(2/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/1/7/5)-(4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5)-(4/5)-(4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/2/6)-(3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   04/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOD FOODIE Apr07 Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAGE RUNNER Apr01 Mar20 Mar11 Feb03 Jan25 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Apr07 Mar20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec19 (short travis )SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
AWESOME WIND Mar13 Feb12 Dec08 Oct13 Sep15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Apr07 Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 (erdel john)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Apr07 Mar30 Mar11 Jan24 Jan01 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
AURA OF GOLD Mar17 Feb13 Jan28 Jan13 Dec28 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-2   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINESTRESS Apr02 Mar18 Aug03 Jul17 Jun07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
OFFICIALLY YOURS Mar18 Feb27 Jan29 Jul11 Jun07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 54% 0.90    
PRAISE N GLORY Mar31 Mar06 Dec26 Nov25 Nov11 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
KISS ME QUICK Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 Dec04 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
DOLCE MARIE Dec16 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Aug22 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUCKEYE CRUISER Oct05 Sep18 Sep03 Aug15 Jul27 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50    
 
TDN-3   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMBITI Dec05 Nov13 Nov02 Sep17 Aug27 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 17.90    
DRILIN' FOR GEMS Oct03 Sep16 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 (jackson )FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Apr02 Mar06 Feb03 Dec05 Jul27 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
HARTSTEIN Apr03 Mar19 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
WEEKEND BUZZ Apr10 Mar22 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Dec30 Dec16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   04/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBETHEONE Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Jul24 Jul04 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
LIL BIT Apr09 Mar06 Jan15 Dec26 Dec09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 50% 1.00    
WELLOILEDCAT Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan23 Jan08 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
COUNT ON ME Apr03 Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 Oct23 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Apr09 Mar06 Feb27 Jan25 Jan08 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
EMERALD EYES Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Jan25 Jan08 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
PRINCESS EM Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb27 Jan25 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 12% 7.20    
 
TDN-5   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROADWAY JONES Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep09 Aug13 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 Oct07 Sep16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
C J ALL THE WAY Mar17 Jan29 Jan09 Oct08 Aug11 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00    
MONTAUK COVE Apr12 Mar30 Mar17 Feb27 Feb11 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
MARKHAMIAN Apr12 Mar26 Mar03 Feb08 Jan28 (castillo jab)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
CALLIHOO Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 Dec08 Feb03 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
SCR  SHADOW TRACER May20 May08 Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   04/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 Dec06 Oct22 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
THIRD DEGREE Apr05 Mar20 Jan25 Jan01 Dec11 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
SWEET TRAVELS Apr11 Feb03 Jan25 Oct11 Sep21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
RIESENBERG Apr02 Mar05 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
RAGS SPECIAL Apr12 Apr02 Mar23 Feb26 Feb08 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
CONVERT Apr05 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 Nov18 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 7% 12.90    
 
TDN-7   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAL THE DEAL Feb12 Jan25 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Apr13 Mar13 Feb26 Jan31 Jan16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
REDWINEANDWHISKEY Dec23 Oct22 Aug26 Aug01 Jun22 (fadlovich )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  SHE HAD A SECRET Oct30 Oct23 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 (roberson don)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
EXPLOSIVE LADY Mar30 Mar07 Feb08 Dec24   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
FROTHY Apr02 Mar17 Jan29 Jan05 Dec21 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
G'DAY LADY Apr11 Mar13 Feb27 Jan31 Jan15 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
TDN-8   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT REVELATION Apr09 Apr01 Mar12 Mar01 Feb12 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
Z BOSS Apr12 Mar23 Mar09 Aug22   (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COSMIC ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
UNION SWAG Nov25         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOLID GOLD by STREET SENSE)
THISISRIDICULOUS Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Feb04 Jan16 (skerrett jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 5% 17.30    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GATOR FAN FESTIVAL by EL CORREDOR)
DRURY LANE Jul24 Jun22 Apr24 Feb23 Jan26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CARELLA by TAPIT)
ISLAND BOSS         (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ALWAYSINSTILETTOS by BANDINI)
TOTAL SILENCE Apr05 Mar22 Feb21 Jan11 Dec07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SILENCIA by SILENT NAME)
LIFE'S ONE Mar19         (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of FINAL JEWEL by GEMOLOGIST)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.