Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-2   Win (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-3   Win (6/9/4/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-4   Win (4/5/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-5   Win (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (9/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-9   Win (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-2   03/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIN TONG Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 Dec30 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
2  JOHN DUNBAR Feb05 Jan22 Dec26 Dec05 Oct26 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
3  DAGGER RANCH Feb05 Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 Oct13 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
4  BIG JACK Feb05 Jan22 Dec30 Dec02 Oct18 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
5  SENSICAL Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHISKEY HARBOR Oct14 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
7  ALL THAT GLORY Dec09 Nov04 Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
8  KNIGHTLINE Feb22 Jan21 Jan09 Aug25 Aug17 (gibson howard)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
 
TUP-3   03/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOPELLO Feb10 Jan23 Dec27 Nov30 Apr15 (soto antonio)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
2  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Feb20 Jan09 Aug04 Jun15 May02 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE Jan13 Dec02 Jun07 Feb01 Oct08 (baze robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
4  BLUEGRASS FAITH Feb12 Sep26 Aug24 Aug03 Jul21 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
5  STORMCATSONG Feb22 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16   (zimmerman p)MONTALVO C 124 15.00    
6  JAIME'S COMMITMENT Feb27 Apr10 Feb29 Feb20 Feb05 (valerio )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
7  ROLL DEM BONES Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Sep13 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 12.00 6% 16.90    
8  BODENHEIMER Sep28 Aug01 Feb01 Dec23 Dec02 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
9  ANNIE'S BOY Jan13 Dec30 Nov19 Apr22 Apr03 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
10  D K'S CROWN Feb19 Feb06 Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 (garcia l)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
11  FORT NECESSITY Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec09 Oct24 (thompson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS ESTRELLA Feb22 Jan29 Jan16 Sep07 Aug04 (kemper kasey)VERGARA P 122 4.00 6% 16.80    
2  MISS UNION Jan16 Dec10 Nov13 Sep22 Jul13 (ferguson)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ASENA Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
4  PEPPER MILL Feb13 Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Nov13 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  BLESSED ANGEL Feb20 Jan29 Nov30 Mar20 Mar11 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
6  GO GO SADIE Feb22 Jan29 Jan16 Jan01 Dec10 (guerra jacque)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
7  DISTINCTIVE DEB Feb27 Jan24 Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 (perez hilario)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
8  NEVER SWAY Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Oct09 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 5.00 7% 12.60    
9  LETS DECLARE PEACE Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Oct25 Sep20 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A DUDE Mar04 Feb12 Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 4.50    
2  SARWAR (FR) Feb02 Jan04 Nov17 Oct19 Aug17 (powell leonar)HERRERA A 120 4.00 7% 13.60    
3  CORNISHMAN Mar10 Feb12 Jan25 Dec31 Dec16 (birdwell te)VALENZUELA A 119 6.00    
4  FEARLESS SOLDIER Feb12 Feb02 Jan04 Nov29 Oct19 (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00    
5  KENNEBEC Feb12 Jan16 Dec18 Nov19 Aug08 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  IRISH PROPHET Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 Nov17 Oct26 (drysdale neil)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
7  SALINE RIVER Feb12 Jan16 Dec18 Oct23 Aug04 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  ARMA D'ORO Feb06 Jan23 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T FLY STAND BY Feb19 Dec27 Nov26 Sep28 Aug09 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 39% 1.50    
2  THIRSTY VISION Feb19 Jan20 Dec15 Nov23 Sep15 (rosales )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 20.00    
3  SPENARD Feb16 Jan16 Jan01 Nov13   (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
4  REGARDING HARRY Feb25         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
5  WEST OF ME Mar03 Oct12 Sep14     (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 5.00 ★    
6  MY VINO Feb05 Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 Oct12 (eikleberry k)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 12.00    
7  BODI ZAFA Feb19 Feb04 Dec17 Aug04 Jul07 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  WOOD CEILING Feb19 Jan17 Nov26 Oct10   (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 ★    
9  JUST TRUST ME Feb19 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov09 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 Arizona Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL PROMISE Feb20 Oct13 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (rennie k)KRIGGER K 121 20.00    
2  SUNSET BEAUTY Feb07         (powell leonar)HERRERA A 121 6.00    
3  KANOJO Nov26 Sep28 Aug30     (eikleberry k)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWO BAR Feb20 Dec26 Nov16 Oct18 Aug25 (mcfarlane)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 ★    
5  POLYTHENE PAM Feb21 Jan05 Dec14     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOSTRI VIRES Feb28 Jan01 Dec14 Sep02 Aug04 (dollase craig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
7  A THOUSAND MILES Feb20 Nov18 Sep15 Aug03 Jun22 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
8  SAPELLO LA FINA Mar05 Feb20 Jan17 Dec23 Dec05 (hernandez mig)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 15.00    
9  SAYUCAN Feb20 Dec26 Dec05 Nov13 Sep22 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  SHESAYSHELLO Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Sep15 Aug09 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 20.00    
 
TUP-8   03/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 Queen Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVENTAPP Feb24 Feb13 Jan24 Dec28 Dec09 (silva j)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
2  MUCHO MACHO GIRL Feb01 Dec22 Nov14 Oct20 Sep13 (powell leonar)HERRERA A 119 4.50    
3  BIG HUG Mar01 Feb01 Jan19 Dec12 Oct12 (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.00 ★    
4  VALENTINA DAY Feb13 Jan28 Dec14 Oct17 Sep11 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 117 15.00    
5  JAMIES INHERITANCE Feb13 Jan28 Dec12 Sep14 Aug11 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLAME MCGOON Feb13 Jan15 Dec27 Sep05 Oct22 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  CRYSTAL COAST Feb26 Feb06 Jan16 Nov15 Oct19 (mckinney d)KRIGGER K 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  EMPRESS ELLIE Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Jun22 May18 (miller peter)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00    
9  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Feb13 Jan28 Dec12 Sep08 Jul27 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 120 6.00    
 
TUP-9   03/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDLINE Jan17 Dec05 Nov14 Sep20 Aug24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  LOVE MY JIMMY Jan30 Dec23 Nov19 Jun21 May27 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUGGS Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Aug04 (valerio )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 12.00    
4  PLANE TALK Feb11 Jan23 Dec16 Nov19 Sep26 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 ★    
5  COASTAL JAZZ Jan06 Dec11 Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 (evans justin)CORBETT W 123 3.50    
6  TAPATIO LEO Apr07 Feb23 Feb10 Dec10 Sep30 (dollase craig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  PERFECT DUDE Feb11 Jun23 May04 Apr13 Mar15 (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 Apr27 Apr06 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 10.00    
9  PRAYER OF JABEZ Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 Dec16 Apr23 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.