Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TUP-3   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
TUP-4   Win (11/7/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $5.00  
TUP-5   Win (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-6   Win (8/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-7   Win (1/7/11/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TUP-8   Win (4/2/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-9   Win (1/2/10/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $10.00 $10.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:11     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NELLIE THURSDAY 5 4 54 4   35 1½ (schnell don)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 12% 7.00 2.00 W
CLUBHOUSE DRAMA 6 3 2nk 1nk   1 2½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 5.20  
SHE'S MUY MUY 3 5 4 5   59 3 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 4.00 36% 1.80 1.30 S
SLEW CITY TIZ 1 6 611 613½   611 4 (leon alexis)IRONEYES R 118 15.00 10% 8.70 50.30  
BALLYMORE GIRLS 4 1 33 36   4 5 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 3.00 10.20  
ZOOM ZOOM ZOYA 2 2 1nk 2nk   2 615¾ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20 3.30  
 
TUP-3   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMYLUX 4 4 2nk 1½   1nk 1 (kemper kasey)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 31% 2.20 3.30 W
MINEDANDREFINED 3 3 1nk 2½   2nk 2 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 3.10  
MAGIC TIP 2 5 4¾ 4   3 34 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8.90  
ROCKBAR 5 1 3.2 3   4 45 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 2.00 41% 1.40 1.10  
WHIMSICAL HEIR 1 6 5 55   5 5 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
PRINCESS K 6 2 6 610   6 6 (belvoir vann)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 22.70  
 
TUP-4   02/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:112 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREEBROTHERS 4 2 4 4 3 2½ 12 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 15.00 1.50  
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 3 1 2 2 1nk 1½ 22 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 14.60  
SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) 2 9 9 75 54 4 3 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 7% 12.70 10.20 S
10  SOCAL RED 8 10 108 10 8 6 43 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 10% 8.60 30.60  
MOVE OVER (GB) 1 3 65 54 4 3 5 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 30.90  
11  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY 9 6 55 6 6 75 6 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 4.00 34% 1.90 3.80  
ITS A BOY 6 8 86 97 9 8 7 (sanderson br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00 20.90  
ORTH 7 4 1 1 2nk 53 8 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 10.00 7.20  
12  ELECTROSTATIC 10 5 33 33 7 98 913 (silva pablo)REYES R 124 5.00 7.40  
DEFENSOR FORTIS 5 7 7 8 1014¾ 1020 1030¾ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 23% 3.40 5.10  
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY               (silva ga)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
SCR  INCREDIBE MO               (whitehouse wilton )MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :442 :56     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRISONER 6 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 63% 0.60 0.30 W
LAWS OF MAN 5 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (silva ga)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20 P
DEPARTURE 2 5 32 33   32 3 (ortiz manue)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 8% 11.10 5.80 S
EL ALTO HOMBRE 7 2 63 6   6 4 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 5.00 10.90  
ARMA D'ORO 3 7 4 55   56 5 (brown r)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 6.70  
GOLDEN ALE 4 4 5 4   4 6 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 17.60  
D K'S CROWN 1 6 7 79   710 711½ (garcia valenti)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 69.40  
 
TUP-6   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST CHAZ 7 2 1 11 1 1 1 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.20 W
THE RONALD 5 5 32 21 2 2 2 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 10% 8.70 9.60 P
FLYING BLIND 2 1 2 31 3 35 3 (barraza rafa)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 4.00  
CAPIAT 6 6 6 4 4 4 413 (matt wendel)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 6.90  
WELL IMAGINE THAT 4 7 5 5 5 512½ 520½ (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 3.00 5.60  
THOMPSON 1 4 7 7 611½ 615½ 625¾ (betts na)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 14% 6.30 4.80  
LOBDELL LAKE 3 3 4 6 715 733½ 754½ (grissom w)MAWING A 124 10.00 24% 3.10 10.70  
SCR  RENEW               (kato akifum)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
 
TUP-7   02/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:22 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFICIT MAJA 1 7 5 44   2½ 13 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 122 2.50 45% 1.20 0.50 W
DADDY CLASSY DILL 4 4 1 13   1½ 23 (silva pablo)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30 P
DIAMOND DEE 2 2 42 23   32 33 (thompson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 9.80  
BANGO'S HEAT 5 10 10 88   65 4 (barraza s)CORBETT W 124 5.00 5.30  
KAMIKAZE BLUE 6 9 8 5   4 5 (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 16% 5.20 13.30  
10  MAUI SUNRISE 9 1 2 3   5 6 (leon pri)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 6% 15.00 10.60  
LIBBY'S GAMBIT 3 6 6 6   7 76 (tubbs scott)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 12.70  
11  CAN'T WANT THAT 10 3 3 76   88 89 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 122 12.00 7% 12.80 22.10  
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE 7 5 75 912   9 910½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00 54.90  
QUEEN MYSTIC 8 8 9 1014½   1017½ 1019½ (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00 ######  
SCR  STARLET COLE               (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/06/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:51
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113     1:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY 4 1 13 13   12 1 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 21% 3.80 1.20 W
MASTERY KAT 3 8 8 7   6 2 (thomas jamey)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 12% 7.60 3.40 P
DIPLOMATICA 6 2 23 23   22 3 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 6.00 15% 5.70 3.90 S
CRYSTAL COAST 7 3 5 4   4 4 (mckinney ky)IRONEYES R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
YOGYA 5 5 4 5   3 53 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 5.00 11.80  
STREET SHADOW 2 6 67 68   7 65 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 20% 3.90 10.70  
GOLDEN GOPHER 1 10 1011¼ 911½   8 7 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 19.50  
SMOOCHING 8 4 34 35   55 8 (kenney r)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 25.90  
ENGLISH DANGER 9 7 78 810   9 910 (villamar candelario)MOJICA O 124 20.00 12.50  
10  NATIVITY 10 9 9 1012   1014¼ 1015¼ (hudson jeff)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00 33.70  
SCR  SKY SAILING               (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
 
TUP-9   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PURRFECT MOON 9 1 3½ 32   2 1½ (silva a)MOJICA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
ALOHA KITTEN 1 7 2nk 1nk   1 2½ (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 124 3.00 53% 0.90 1.50 P
CANADA CANDY 7 3 4 4   43 34 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 6.00 3.70  
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 8 5 7 7   6 4 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 14.60  
12  TIZ A TIGER 11 2 5 5   5 5 (nunnally)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 12.70  
HOLLYWOOD RUMOR 5 10 9 813½   8 6 (evans justin)REYES R 124 4.00 6.50  
ALWAYS GALLANT 4 8 6 68   7 7 (belvoir vann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
BEA MISCHIEF 2 6 1nk 2nk   33 8 (bean robert )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 23% 3.40 7.10  
11  ATHENA THE GODDESS 10 4 8 914   911¼ 912¾ (soto antoni)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 82.10  
FLIPLIT 3 11 10 1014½   1012¾ 1017¼ (whitehouse w)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00 ######  
WEDDING CHAPEL 6 9 117 1114¾   1116¾ 1122¼ (wolf ashlee)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00 76.50  
SCR  NIGHT FLYER               (brown r)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.