Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/4/1)-(11/7/10/2/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(11/7/10/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(11/7/10/2/3)-(6/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (11/7/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/7/10/2/3)-(11/7/10/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/7/10/2/3)-(11/7/10/2/3)-(11/7/10/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/7/10/2/3)-(6/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/7/10/2/3)-(6/2/1/5)-(8/3/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(8/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(8/3/1/6)-(1/7/11/10/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/6)-(1/7/11/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/6)-(1/7/11/10/4)-(4/2/6/3/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/7/11/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/11/10/4)-(1/7/11/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/11/10/4)-(1/7/11/10/4)-(1/7/11/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/11/10/4)-(4/2/6/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/7/11/10/4)-(4/2/6/3/7)-(1/2/10/4/11) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (4/2/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/3/7)-(4/2/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/3/7)-(4/2/6/3/7)-(4/2/6/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/6/3/7)-(1/2/10/4/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/2/10/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/4/11)-(1/2/10/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/4/11)-(1/2/10/4/11)-(1/2/10/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW CITY TIZ Jan28 Jan06 Dec18 Nov17 Oct13 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 118 15.00 10% 8.70    
2  ZOOM ZOOM ZOYA Dec14 Jan14       (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.20    
3  SHE'S MUY MUY Dec19 Nov29 Sep22 Aug09 May18 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  BALLYMORE GIRLS Dec15         (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 3.00    
5  NELLIE THURSDAY Jan19 Dec19 Nov29 Nov20 Aug31 (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 12% 7.00    
6  CLUBHOUSE DRAMA Jan15 Mar04 Feb04 Jan13   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
 
TUP-3   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHIMSICAL HEIR Dec26 Nov19 Sep27 Aug29 Aug08 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAGIC TIP Jan06 Dec26 Nov13 Sep22 Sep05 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
3  MINEDANDREFINED Jan27 Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 Sep07 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
4  STORMYLUX Dec26 Mar19 Jan29     (kemper kas)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  ROCKBAR Jan15 Dec19       (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  PRINCESS K Jan06 Dec19 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 (belvoir vann)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVE OVER (GB) Nov30 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00    
2  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Jan22 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 Sep05 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  INCREDIBE MO Jan07 Dec02 Nov13 Oct06 Aug10 (whitehouse wilto)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Jan13 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 Sep01 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
5  THREEBROTHERS Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Oct06 Apr27 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY Jan27 Dec28 Dec11 Nov30 Oct26 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
7  DEFENSOR FORTIS Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 Aug17 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  ITS A BOY Dec28 Dec11 Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00    
9  ORTH Jan13 Dec30 Dec05 Sep25 Apr29 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
10  SOCAL RED Jan15 Jan08 Dec19 Nov30 Oct13 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
11  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Jan27 Jan09 Dec23 Nov27 Nov19 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
12  ELECTROSTATIC Dec23 Dec09 Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 (silva pab)REYES R 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D K'S CROWN Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 Sep08 (garcia valen)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEPARTURE Jan25 Dec30 Aug17 Jun29 May19 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 8% 11.10    
3  ARMA D'ORO Jan23 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 (brown r)KRIGGER K 124 4.00    
4  GOLDEN ALE Jan16 Dec16 Nov19 Jun30 Jun02 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
5  LAWS OF MAN Jan23 Dec30 Dec05 Nov18 Sep26 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRISONER Jan23 Dec11 Nov19 Sep29 Sep08 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
7  EL ALTO HOMBRE Jan13 Dec11 Nov26 Oct14 Sep23 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOMPSON Jan22 Dec23 Dec09 Nov14 Sep24 (betts )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  FLYING BLIND Dec31 Dec12 Sep06 Aug15 Jul28 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
3  LOBDELL LAKE Jan23 Dec30 May02 Apr02   (grissom roberta )MAWING A 124 10.00 24% 3.10    
4  WELL IMAGINE THAT Jan07 Aug11 Jul28 Apr17 Mar26 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
SCR  RENEW Jan22 Dec31 Dec11 Dec02 May02 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
6  THE RONALD Jan22 Dec31 Oct23 May11 Apr04 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 10% 8.70    
7  CAPIAT Jan22 Feb15 Jan30 Dec09 Nov12 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
8  FAST CHAZ Jan15 Dec31 Dec11 Nov29 Oct05 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-7   02/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFICIT MAJA Jan25 Dec27 Dec05 Nov11 Sep27 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  DIAMOND DEE Jan25 Jan02 Nov26 Nov12 Sep19 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50    
3  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Jan27 Nov29 Nov12 Sep06 Aug23 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
4  DADDY CLASSY DILL Jan09 Oct14 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (silva pab)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARLET COLE Jan27 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 Sep28 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
6  BANGO'S HEAT Jan22 Dec28 Dec19 Nov12 Sep21 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 124 5.00    
7  KAMIKAZE BLUE Jan25 Dec27 Nov27 Aug17 Jul14 (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Jan14 Sep15 Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
9  QUEEN MYSTIC Jan29 Jan09 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
10  MAUI SUNRISE Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 May12 Apr21 (leon p)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 6% 15.00    
11  CAN'T WANT THAT Jan27 Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Sep20 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
 
TUP-8   02/06/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN GOPHER Dec31 Sep01 Aug18 Aug01 Jul07 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
2  STREET SHADOW Jan15 Dec31 Apr24 Apr03 Mar11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
3  MASTERY KAT Dec07 Nov02 Sep15 Aug17 Jul28 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 12% 7.60    
4  LOOPY Jan16 Dec31 Nov27 Nov18 Aug17 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  YOGYA Jan16 Dec27 Dec03 Nov18 Aug24 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
6  DIPLOMATICA Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 Aug18 Jul25 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  CRYSTAL COAST Jan16 Nov15 Oct19 Sep28 Aug18 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SMOOCHING Jan16 Nov14 Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 (kenney)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
9  ENGLISH DANGER Jan08 Dec23 Dec03 Nov19 Oct13 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
10  NATIVITY Nov26 Sep28 Aug17 Jul20 Jun21 (hudson je)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00    
SCR  SKY SAILING Jan25 Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 Sep08 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
 
TUP-9   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALOHA KITTEN Jan24 Aug30 Aug09 Jul06 Sep15 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  BEA MISCHIEF Jan24 Dec27 Dec19 May12 Apr10 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
3  FLIPLIT Jan01 Sep27 Aug04 Jun23 Apr24 (whitehouse)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
4  ALWAYS GALLANT Jan24 Dec27 Dec12 Nov25 Nov11 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NIGHT FLYER Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 (brown r)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
6  HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Dec08 Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 Sep15 (evans justin)REYES R 124 4.00    
7  WEDDING CHAPEL Jan24 Jan01 Feb19 Jan29 Dec03 (wolf ashlee)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00    
8  CANADA CANDY Jan24 Dec27 Dec08 Dec01 Nov19 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
9  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Jan13 Jan01 Dec11 Nov21 Nov11 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
10  PURRFECT MOON Jan24 Jan02 Nov12 Sep14 Aug24 (silva a)MOJICA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  ATHENA THE GODDESS Jan24 Nov20 May02 Apr08   (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  TIZ A TIGER Jan16 Jan01 Dec09 Nov21 Nov12 (nunnal)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.