Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-5   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $34.80 $26.80 335%
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $61.20 $49.20 410%
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-7 $235.15 $223.15 1860%
TUP-7   TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-2 $40.30 $28.30 236%
    SFT (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-5-2-1 $20.27 $17.87 745%
TUP-9   EXA (9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-2 $37.50 $17.50 88%
    TRI (9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-2-9 $55.30 $25.30 84%
    SFT (9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-2-9-5 $58.19 $46.19 385%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-4   01/06/2025 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:124     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STRIKING NOTES 4 7 51½ 42   32 1¼ (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 121 6.00 3.70  
6  FLATTERMEINCOURT 6 3 2½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 18% 4.50 1.60 P
3  INXPRESS 3 1 1½ 1½   1½ 3¼ (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 8.00 14% 6.20 10.20 S
5  ON TIME TAM 5 9 63 63½   45 47 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5.40  
2  HINT OF FRIPPERY 2 2 31 53   55 57¾ (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 121 6.00 6% 14.50 13.40  
7  BEAUTIFUL BREEZE 7 8 85¾ 85½   69 611¾ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 37.30  
1  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM 1 4 99¼ 96   79½ 714¼ (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00 34% 2.00 4.80  
8  SLEW CITY TIZ 8 6 73¼ 75   811½ 814¾ (leon alex)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
9  STELLZONE 9 5 41 31½   914 917 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 6.20  
 
TUP-5   01/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:223 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RUGGS 4 3 31½ 31   1nk 1hd (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 19% 4.30 16.40 W
6  CENTRAL PARK 5 1 11 1½   2nk 2hd (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 29% 2.40 1.10 P
7  SMUGGLER'S RUN 6 2 21 2½   3½ 32¼ (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 17.00 S
4  BALADI 3 6 43 42½   43 43¾ (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 3.20  
3  LANSDOWNE (GB) 2 5 53 53   53½ 54¾ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 3.50  
8  TIGER TOO 7 4 64 64   65 65¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 5.00 20% 3.90 9.00  
1  BUCK OWENS 1 7 76½ 76½   75½ 76 (story chad)VERGARA P 122 8.00 6.20  
SCR  EXXEL               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   01/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRINCESS K 8 1 64 63½   52¼ 11 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 14.90  
1  MAGIC TIP 1 7 1nk 11½   11½ 21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 20% 3.90 0.50 P
4  ILA VEIW TOO 4 2 42 53   73¾ 31½ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 5.00 5.10  
2  HARD TO FORGET 2 6 3½ 32   62¾ 43 (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
3  POCKET KNIFE 3 5 53 43   31½ 53½ (carlson dou)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
7  MAYA D 7 4 75 73¾   85¼ 64¼ (martinez a)VERGARA P 124 10.00 19% 4.20 15.50  
6  KEEPYOURPRANCEON 6 8 85½ 84¼   41¾ 75¾ (dennis clift)MARTIN A 124 20.00 44.40  
5  VALLEY ECHO 5 3 2nk 21½   21½ 88½ (toye joe)REYES R 124 4.50 34% 1.90 4.10  
SCR  DAVID N RAYS CANDY               (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
SCR  GRAZED N' CONFUSED               (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:214 :44 1:08     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COASTAL JAZZ 4 2 1½ 11½   15½ 16 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.50 10% 9.30 1.40 W
5  TRUTH SEEKER 5 7 610 611¼   410½ 26 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 17% 4.80 8.70 P
2  PRAYER OF JABEZ 2 4 41½ 44   35½ 36¾ (kereluk ed)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.90 S
1  DIAMOND RIM 1 5 31½ 21½   25½ 48¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 48% 1.10 4.10  
6  COLLUSIONIST 6 6 711½ 713¾   712¾ 512 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 8.00 27.10  
7  MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH 7 1 52 34   612½ 615¼ (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 1.90  
3  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 3 3 2½ 54¼   512 716 (lund valorie)CRUZ M 122 5.00 7.20  
 
TUP-8   01/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:111 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ABRAAJ MIRAGE 6 6 56½ 41¾ 1½ 11½ 12½ (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.10 W
1  HARD LOVE 1 5 67½ 62¾ 32½ 21½ 22½ (lawrence heath)MOJICA O 124 20.00 5% 19.00 2.20 P
10  ZUMURUDEE 7 7 79½ 73¾ 65½ 54½ 36½ (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 6.10  
6  LANGSTON ROAD 3 3 45½ 31½ 43 33 411¼ (lucarelli fran)REYES R 124 6.00 8.90  
8  EMPEROROFTHENORTH 5 4 22 21½ 54½ 64¾ 514¼ (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 21% 3.80 4.90  
4  SENSEMAKER 2 1 12 11½ 2½ 44½ 615 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
7  HORNS N HALOS 4 2 32 51¾ 77½ 77¼ 718¾ (guadarram)IRONEYES R 124 30.00 35.30  
SCR  ELECTROSTATIC               (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
SCR  FORT LANGLEY               (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM               (whitehouse )KHELAWAN KERRON 124 10.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE               (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
SCR  SEA OF LIBERTY               (van debbie)TOHILL S 124 6.00    
 
TUP-9   01/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:02
See original race card.
:222 :46       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWISTED MISCHIEF 4 5 1nk     1½ 11¾ (kemper kas)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 21% 3.70 2.10 W
2  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER 2 2 43     43½ 21¾ (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.60 P
9  AWESOME WILDCAT 9 7 54½     66 32¼ (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.00 33% 2.10 1.00 S
5  SAL GAL 5 6 76½     54½ 42½ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 4.50 6% 15.20 10.60  
7  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER 7 4 89     88 52¾ (essex charles)REYES R 124 12.00 17.10  
8  DIVINE GIFT 8 8 65½     77 63½ (christian)JENSEN P 124 10.00 11.30  
1  HIDDEN TIGER 1 1 3½     2½ 74½ (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 30.30  
3  RALLY UP BECKA 3 3 2nk     32½ 89¼ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11.10  
6  KNOW BARAA 6 9 912½     911½ 912¾ (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 20% 4.10 12.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.