Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (1/6/3/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2/8)-(1/6/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2/8)-(1/6/3/2/8)-(1/6/3/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/3/2/8)-(6/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/2/8)-(6/8/5/7)-(5/1/7/2/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(5/1/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/7)-(5/1/7/2/3)-(1/5/4/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/1/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2/3)-(5/1/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2/3)-(5/1/7/2/3)-(5/1/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2/3)-(1/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/2/3)-(1/5/4/2)-(9/8/1/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(9/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(9/8/1/4)-(9/4/6/5/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/4)-(9/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/4)-(9/8/1/4)-(9/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/1/4)-(9/4/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (9/4/6/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2)-(9/4/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   01/06/2025 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM Dec18 Oct19       (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00 34% 2.00    
2  HINT OF FRIPPERY Dec18 Sep24 Aug03     (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 121 6.00 6% 14.50    
3  INXPRESS Dec18 May04 Apr11     (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  STRIKING NOTES Dec17         (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
5  ON TIME TAM Dec15 Oct13 Sep15 Aug08 Jul06 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
6  FLATTERMEINCOURT Nov13         (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  BEAUTIFUL BREEZE Dec18 Sep12       (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
8  SLEW CITY TIZ Dec18 Nov17 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  STELLZONE Sep14 Jul06 Jun22     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00    
 
TUP-5   01/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCK OWENS Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 Sep29 Sep21 (story chad)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
SCR  EXXEL Dec23 Dec11 Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50    
3  LANSDOWNE (GB) Dec10 Nov18 Oct19 Sep22 Aug16 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50    
4  BALADI Dec26 Dec13 Nov29 Sep20 Aug24 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
5  RUGGS Dec16 Dec02 Aug04 Jun30 May27 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
6  CENTRAL PARK Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov04 Sep21 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  SMUGGLER'S RUN Dec11 Oct06 Sep13 Aug11 Jul21 (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIGER TOO Feb09 Jan13 Jan01 Dec10 Nov11 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
TUP-6   01/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC TIP Dec26 Nov13 Sep22 Sep05 Aug03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  HARD TO FORGET Dec18 Dec03 Nov13 Sep13   (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  POCKET KNIFE Dec09 Nov19 Sep06 Aug10 Jul28 (carlson dou)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ILA VEIW TOO Aug15 Jul28 Jul04 Jun22 Feb20 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
5  VALLEY ECHO Dec04 Sep06 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (toye joe)REYES R 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
6  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Dec28 Dec10 Nov29 Oct27 Oct12 (dennis clift)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
7  MAYA D Dec19 Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Aug04 (martinez a)VERGARA P 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  DAVID N RAYS CANDY Dec28 Nov23 Sep28 May10   (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
9  PRINCESS K Dec19 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Jan05 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  GRAZED N' CONFUSED Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 Dec31 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND RIM Dec16 May10 Apr23 Feb29 Feb15 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
2  PRAYER OF JABEZ Dec16 Apr23 Mar14 Feb20 Jan29 (kereluk ed)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Apr27 Apr06 Feb24 Jan19 Jul23 (lund valorie)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
4  COASTAL JAZZ Dec11 Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 Jul28 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
5  TRUTH SEEKER Oct27 Sep29 Aug31 Apr23 Apr11 (barraza s)TOHILL S 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  COLLUSIONIST Nov15 Oct27 Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
7  MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Jul25 Jul04 May27 May05 Mar23 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50    
 
TUP-8   01/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD LOVE Dec11 Nov26 Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 (lawrence heath)MOJICA O 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Dec16 Nov14 Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Dec16 Nov26 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 (whitehouse )KHELAWAN KERRON 124 10.00    
4  SENSEMAKER Dec16 Nov26 Sep01 Jul27 Jul06 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORT LANGLEY Dec05 Nov26 Oct05 Sep22 Aug16 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
6  LANGSTON ROAD Dec07 Nov17 Nov08 Oct20 Sep15 (lucarelli fran)REYES R 124 6.00    
7  HORNS N HALOS Nov02 Sep15 Jul19 Jun08 Mar29 (guadarrama o)CARILLO DANIEL 124 30.00    
8  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Dec05 Nov26 Nov11 Sep15 Sep07 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
9  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Dec16 Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 Jul13 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
10  ZUMURUDEE Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
SCR  SEA OF LIBERTY Dec18 Nov29 Nov10 Oct14 Sep23 (van debbie)TOHILL S 124 6.00    
SCR  ELECTROSTATIC Dec23 Dec09 Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
 
TUP-9   01/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN TIGER May18 May04       (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
2  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Dec19 Apr30 Mar26 Mar06 Feb21 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RALLY UP BECKA Jun14         (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
4  TWISTED MISCHIEF         (kemper kas)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  SAL GAL Dec18 Feb22 Jul09 May05   (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 4.50 6% 15.20    
6  KNOW BARAA         (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
7  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Dec28 Dec12 Nov13 Sep14 Aug31 (essex charles)REYES R 124 12.00    
8  DIVINE GIFT Dec12 Apr30 Apr17 Apr04 Mar20 (christian)JENSEN P 124 10.00    
9  AWESOME WILDCAT Dec19         (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.