Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   EXA (4/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-7 $16.10 $7.10 79%
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-7-6 $24.60 $15.60 173%
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-4 $11.30 $2.30 26%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:122 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STREET HUMOR 6 1 21½ 21½ 21½ 1½ 12 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50 20% 4.10 2.10 W
2  SYNTACTIC 2 5 11½ 11½ 11½ 2½ 22 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 3.50  
3  CLEAR THE COAST 3 6 65½ 64¼ 33 33 33¾ (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 15.00  
5  ECHO CANYON 5 3 33 31½ 44 54 44½ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.00 33% 2.10 0.90  
4  BIG STICK 4 4 54 43 55½ 44 54¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00 6% 17.10 20.00  
1  WITHOUT EQUAL 1 2 44 53¼ 69 69 610 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50 8.80  
 
TUP-3   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:123 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WILLING TO BURN 4 1 11½ 11 12½ 12½ 12½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.00 68% 0.50 1.00 W
7  WARREN'S MEMORABLE 7 2 33 33 22½ 22½ 22½ (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
6  LUVAHAPPYENDING 6 5 65 74¼ 55½ 56 35 (perez serg)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.00 ★ 4.10 S
5  GOLD COAST GIRL 5 8 76½ 64¼ 66 45 45¾ (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 4.80  
2  DESERT RUMBLE 2 3 21½ 21 32½ 34½ 56½ (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 15.90  
3  SHES GOT THE POWER 3 7 88½ 85¼ 79 710 612½ (crowe shelly)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 21.20  
8  MERINO WOOL 8 4 55 53¼ 44 68½ 712¾ (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
1  SUSIE CRU 1 6 43½ 43 810½ 812½ 818½ (tamayo isidro)MOJICA O 124 8.00 8.30  
 
TUP-4   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STRENGTH OF AUTISM 3 3 33 44   22½ 1hd (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 7.10  
5  LOVE MY JIMMY 5 1 11 11½   12½ 2hd (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.00 64% 0.60 0.30 P
1  COMPANY'S DREAM 1 4 21 21½   32½ 32¾ (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 7% 13.00 4.00 S
6  POPS AWESOME 6 6 64½ 67   44½ 42¾ (williams )IRONEYES R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
4  READY TO STORM 4 7 54 56   65¼ 53½ (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 40.60  
8  TOM BOMBADIL 8 5 43 34   55 64 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 15.90  
2  BUGLER 2 8 88 811   79¼ 76¾ (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 17.10  
7  STREET BEHAVIOR 7 2 76½ 710   89¾ 87 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 72.30  
 
TUP-5   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHARYBDIS 4 1 1nk 1½   11½ 1¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 1.80  
5  GIMME MO MONEY 5 5 31 31   21½ 2¾ (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 118 4.00 64% 0.60 5.90 P
7  COASTAL GIRL 7 6 63¾ 54   54½ 31¼ (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 12% 7.20 4.50 S
6  STARRY BEACH 6 4 53½ 64   64½ 42¾ (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 12.00 12.90  
3  CHARLEY PAINTS 3 3 74¾ 76   75 53½ (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
1  ONELLA 1 8 42½ 42½   43½ 64¼ (ortiz isai)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.00  
2  GRAZED N' CONFUSED 2 2 2nk 2½   32½ 75¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 11.20  
8  CAT ON THE RUN 8 7 85¼ 87½   88 88 (ortega je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 34.60  
 
TUP-6   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:114 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 5 9 97¼ 86¼ 4¾ 11½ 14¼ (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 ★ 5.00  
3  REGULATION DAZED 3 6 85¼ 74¾ 1nk 21½ 24¼ (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
8  OUTOFQUEMADO 7 3 63¼ 64½ 72¾ 65 39¼ (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 7.20  
1  BENDETTIJOE 1 5 4¼ 42 61¾ 33 410 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.50  
9  HICKORY WIND 8 8 52¾ 53 5¾ 55 511½ (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 124 3.50 25% 3.10 9.00  
10  BEL RAGAZZO 9 7 74¾ 97¼ 84¾ 87 613½ (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
2  CUT ACROSS SHORTY 2 4 2nk 21 2nk 44 714½ (baze t)CORBETT W 124 15.00 5.00  
5  SIDE STREET DAVE 4 1 3.2 31 3.2 76½ 819¼ (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50 21.20  
7  EMPEROR'S CHOICE 6 2 1nk 11 98¾ 914 927 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00 96.10  
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM               (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
SCR  SIMONSITO               (crowe s)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAD LUTHER 6 5 74 41½ 52¼ 51¼ 1½ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6.10  
2  SEA OF LIBERTY 2 6 31½ 21 3.2 1½ 2½ (van debbi)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.40 P
8  COASTAL WATERS 8 10 88½ 106¼ 84 72¾ 32¼ (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00 6% 14.60 42.10 S
9  MARKSMAN ON TARGET 9 3 42 63 73¾ 83 44 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 81.20  
10  SUMMER SHANDEE 10 9 99½ 96 94 62¾ 54 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 12% 7.50 8.40  
3  SURPRISE FASHION 3 7 63½ 52½ 41¾ 31 64 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 17.40  
1  POPULIST 1 1 1½ 11 1nk 2½ 74¼ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 9% 10.00 2.50  
7  HANDSOME HARRY 7 4 2½ 31 2nk 41 84½ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 4.20  
4  SKY CLOUD 4 2 52 74 63¾ 103½ 97 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 5.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
5  CALIFORNIA SWING 5 8 109¾ 85½ 104 93 107¾ (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 35.40  
SCR  NORTHCUT               (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:04
See original race card.
:22 :444       :51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJAVE (GB) 1 2 11½     13 1¼ (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 2.00 10% 9.20 1.50 W
5  GONZAGA BAY 5 7 64½     44½ 2¼ (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 124 4.00 4.80  
6  CAJUN TREASURE 6 5 74¾     65¼ 33 (hernandez miguel )KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00 S
4  ALMANERA (IRE) 4 6 54     23 43½ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 62% 0.60 2.80  
2  CHASING THE VISION 2 4 42½     34½ 54 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 7.60  
7  HERMISTON 7 10 86¾     75¼ 64¼ (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 20.00 5% 19.00 98.20  
3  TRIBUNAL LOVE 3 1 31½     55 77¼ (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 ######  
9  SMOOTH PAPA 9 8 97¾     89¼ 88¼ (fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 ######  
8  SUNRISE JOURNEY 8 9 1014¾     1013¾ 915 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
10  HEAD FOR BUSINESS 10 3 21½     910¾ 1017¼ (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 9.70  
SCR  MR. SHORTY               (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
SCR  SHAKE N FRIES               (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.