Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TUP-3   Win (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-4   Win (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $16.20  
TUP-5   Win (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.60  
TUP-6   Win (1/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $12.00  
TUP-7   Win (4/10/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $14.20  
TUP-8   Win (4/1/8/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:122 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET HUMOR 6 1 2 2 2 1½ 12 (tubbs scott)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50 20% 4.10 2.10 W
SYNTACTIC 2 5 1 1 1 2½ 22 (bean a)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 3.50  
CLEAR THE COAST 3 6 6 6 33 33 3 (woolley ben)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 15.00  
ECHO CANYON 5 3 33 3 44 54 4 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.00 33% 2.10 0.90  
BIG STICK 4 4 54 43 5 44 5 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00 6% 17.10 20.00  
WITHOUT EQUAL 1 2 44 5 69 69 610 (lund val)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50 8.80  
 
TUP-3   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:123 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLING TO BURN 4 1 1 11 1 1 1 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.00 68% 0.50 1.00 W
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 7 2 33 33 2 2 2 (tubbs scott)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
LUVAHAPPYENDING 6 5 65 7 5 56 35 (perez sergio)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.00 4.10 S
GOLD COAST GIRL 5 8 7 6 66 45 4 (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 4.80  
DESERT RUMBLE 2 3 2 21 3 3 5 (rosales jorge)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 15.90  
SHES GOT THE POWER 3 7 8 8 79 710 612½ (crowe shelly)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 21.20  
MERINO WOOL 8 4 55 5 44 6 712¾ (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
SUSIE CRU 1 6 4 43 810½ 812½ 818½ (tamayo isidro)MOJICA O 124 8.00 8.30  
 
TUP-4   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRENGTH OF AUTISM 3 3 33 44   2 1hd (silva jo)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 7.10  
LOVE MY JIMMY 5 1 11 1   1 2hd (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.00 64% 0.60 0.30 P
COMPANY'S DREAM 1 4 21 2   3 3 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 7% 13.00 4.00 S
POPS AWESOME 6 6 6 67   4 4 (williams de)IRONEYES R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
READY TO STORM 4 7 54 56   6 5 (gleason t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 40.60  
TOM BOMBADIL 8 5 43 34   55 64 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 15.90  
BUGLER 2 8 88 811   7 7 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 17.10  
STREET BEHAVIOR 7 2 7 710   8 87 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 72.30  
 
TUP-5   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARYBDIS 4 1 1nk 1½   1 1¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 1.80  
GIMME MO MONEY 5 5 31 31   2 2¾ (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 118 4.00 64% 0.60 5.90 P
COASTAL GIRL 7 6 6 54   5 3 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 12% 7.20 4.50 S
STARRY BEACH 6 4 5 64   6 4 (silva-martinez ale)MAWING A 124 12.00 12.90  
CHARLEY PAINTS 3 3 7 76   75 5 (kato akifum)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
ONELLA 1 8 4 4   4 6 (ortiz isaiah)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.00  
GRAZED N' CONFUSED 2 2 2nk 2½   3 7 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 11.20  
CAT ON THE RUN 8 7 8 8   88 88 (ortega jesu)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 34.60  
 
TUP-6   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:114 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 5 9 9 8 4¾ 1 1 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 5.00  
REGULATION DAZED 3 6 8 7 1nk 2 2 (nunnally jenn)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
OUTOFQUEMADO 7 3 6 6 7 65 3 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 7.20  
BENDETTIJOE 1 5 4¼ 42 6 33 410 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 124 2.50 54% 0.90 1.50  
HICKORY WIND 8 8 5 53 5¾ 55 511½ (velasquez rigobert)MAWING A 124 3.50 25% 3.10 9.00  
10  BEL RAGAZZO 9 7 7 9 8 87 613½ (kereluk edwa)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
CUT ACROSS SHORTY 2 4 2nk 21 2nk 44 714½ (baze t)CORBETT W 124 15.00 5.00  
SIDE STREET DAVE 4 1 3.2 31 3.2 7 819¼ (sanderson br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50 21.20  
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 6 2 1nk 11 9 914 927 (leon alexis)IRONEYES R 124 20.00 96.10  
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM               (whitehouse )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
SCR  SIMONSITO               (crowe she)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD LUTHER 6 5 74 4 5 5 1½ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6.10  
SEA OF LIBERTY 2 6 3 21 3.2 1½ 2½ (van debbie)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.40 P
COASTAL WATERS 8 10 8 10 84 7 3 (homer jason)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00 6% 14.60 42.10 S
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 9 3 42 63 7 83 44 (bean a)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 81.20  
10  SUMMER SHANDEE 10 9 9 96 94 6 54 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 12% 7.50 8.40  
SURPRISE FASHION 3 7 6 5 4 31 64 (rosales jorge)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 17.40  
POPULIST 1 1 1½ 11 1nk 2½ 7 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 9% 10.00 2.50  
HANDSOME HARRY 7 4 2½ 31 2nk 41 8 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 4.20  
SKY CLOUD 4 2 52 74 6 10 97 (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 124 5.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
CALIFORNIA SWING 5 8 10 8 104 93 10 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 35.40  
SCR  NORTHCUT               (silva jo)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:04
See original race card.
:22 :444       :51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOJAVE (GB) 1 2 1     13 1¼ (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 2.00 10% 9.20 1.50 W
GONZAGA BAY 5 7 6     4 2¼ (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 124 4.00 4.80  
CAJUN TREASURE 6 5 7     6 33 (hernandez l)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00 S
ALMANERA (IRE) 4 6 54     23 4 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 62% 0.60 2.80  
CHASING THE VISION 2 4 4     3 54 (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 7.60  
HERMISTON 7 10 8     7 6 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 20.00 5% 19.00 98.20  
TRIBUNAL LOVE 3 1 3     55 7 (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 ######  
SMOOTH PAPA 9 8 9     8 8 (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 ######  
SUNRISE JOURNEY 8 9 1014¾     1013¾ 915 (uranga jesu)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
10  HEAD FOR BUSINESS 10 3 2     910¾ 1017¼ (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 9.70  
SCR  MR. SHORTY               (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
SCR  SHAKE N FRIES               (simpson s)BRAVO MISAEL 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.