Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/7/8)-(5/1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(5/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4)-(5/7/1/3)-(1/9/10/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(1/9/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(1/9/10/3)-(4/10/1/8/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3/6)-(1/9/10/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/10/3)-(4/10/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/3)-(4/10/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/7/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/10/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/8/2)-(4/10/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/8/2)-(4/10/1/8/2)-(4/10/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/1/8/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7/6)-(4/1/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7/6)-(4/1/8/7/6)-(4/1/8/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT EQUAL Jan13 Dec19 Nov26 Sep28 Sep12 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50    
2  SYNTACTIC Jan07 Dec23 Dec05 Nov19 Sep22 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50    
3  CLEAR THE COAST Dec12 Nov26 Sep21 Aug11 Jul06 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
4  BIG STICK Jan13 Jan02 Nov26 Nov09 Oct05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
5  ECHO CANYON Jan13 Dec30 Dec12 Dec02 Nov18 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
6  STREET HUMOR Jan13 Dec26 Dec05 Nov26 Sep14 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-3   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSIE CRU Dec13 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep22 (tamayo isidro)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
2  DESERT RUMBLE Jan07 Dec12 Oct27 Sep29 Aug17 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
3  SHES GOT THE POWER Jan07 Dec12 Nov20 Sep13 Aug23 (crowe shelly)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
4  WILLING TO BURN Jan08 Dec11 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.00 68% 0.50    
5  GOLD COAST GIRL Jan07 Dec27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
6  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jan07 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Oct11 (perez serg)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.00 ★    
7  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jan07 Nov20 Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MERINO WOOL Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 Jul28 Jul14 (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPANY'S DREAM Jan13 Jul14 Jun23 May18 Aug27 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 7% 13.00    
2  BUGLER Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 Oct06 Sep02 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
3  STRENGTH OF AUTISM Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 Nov26 Oct11 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
4  READY TO STORM Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct11 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOVE MY JIMMY Dec23 Nov19 Jun21 May27 May10 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
6  POPS AWESOME Dec31 Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 Aug25 (williams )IRONEYES R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STREET BEHAVIOR Dec28 Dec16 Dec05 Nov01 Oct11 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
8  TOM BOMBADIL Jan23 Jan29 Dec31 Dec08 Nov18 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-5   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONELLA Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 Sep01 Aug03 (ortiz isai)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAZED N' CONFUSED Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 Dec31 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00    
3  CHARLEY PAINTS Jan07 Dec16 Dec04 Nov19 Sep07 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARYBDIS Dec04 May20 Apr30     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
5  GIMME MO MONEY Jan08 Dec23 Nov25 Nov13 Sep26 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 118 4.00 64% 0.60    
6  STARRY BEACH Dec19 Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 12.00    
7  COASTAL GIRL Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
8  CAT ON THE RUN Mar28 Mar18 Mar05 Feb15 Apr29 (ortega je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENDETTIJOE Jan15 Dec26 Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
2  CUT ACROSS SHORTY Jan13 Dec15 Dec01 Oct20 Oct05 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
3  REGULATION DAZED Jan22 Jan13 Dec05 Sep13 Sep01 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIMONSITO Jan13 Dec31 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 (crowe s)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
5  SIDE STREET DAVE Jan15 Jan02 Dec10 Aug19 Aug05 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50    
6  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Dec30 Nov12 Oct20 Sep01 Aug04 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 ★    
7  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Jan08 Dec28 Dec05 Nov15 Oct26 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
8  OUTOFQUEMADO Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov14 Aug31 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
9  HICKORY WIND Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 124 3.50 25% 3.10    
10  BEL RAGAZZO Jan15 Jan02 Dec16 Nov26 Nov14 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Dec16 Nov26 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPULIST Jan07 Dec16 Dec05 Nov11 Sep09 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
2  SEA OF LIBERTY Jan07 Dec18 Nov29 Nov10 Oct14 (van debbi)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SURPRISE FASHION Jan13 Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
4  SKY CLOUD Jan21 Jan01 Dec12 Nov26 Oct04 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
5  CALIFORNIA SWING Jan08 Nov14 Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
6  MAD LUTHER Jan08 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 Aug03 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
7  HANDSOME HARRY Jan08 Dec07 Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
8  COASTAL WATERS Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00 6% 14.60    
9  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Jan08 Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct11 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
10  SUMMER SHANDEE Jan13 Dec19 Dec11 Nov30 Nov14 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  NORTHCUT Jan13 Jul08 Jun25 Apr08 Jan29 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/30/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJAVE (GB) Dec26 Nov26 Nov14 Sep01 Aug16 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 2.00 10% 9.20    
2  CHASING THE VISION Jan14 Sep24 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
3  TRIBUNAL LOVE Jan14 Dec04 Nov14 Oct13 Sep29 (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
4  ALMANERA (IRE) Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
5  GONZAGA BAY Dec31 Nov13 Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
6  CAJUN TREASURE Jan02 Dec12 Nov30 Nov20 Nov11 (hernandez miguel )KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HERMISTON Jan14 Dec26 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUNRISE JOURNEY Jan14 Nov15 Sep20 Aug16 Aug04 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SMOOTH PAPA Jan13 Dec26 Nov30 Nov13 Sep13 (fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
10  HEAD FOR BUSINESS Aug24 Jul28 Jun13 Jun02 May25 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
SCR  MR. SHORTY Jan14 Dec31 Nov30 Jul28 Jul20 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
SCR  SHAKE N FRIES Mar22         (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.