Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   SFT (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-1-3-2 $3.63 $1.23 51%
TUP-5   WIN (5/8/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $11.80 $1.80 18%
TUP-6   WIN (6/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $13.80 $5.80 73%
    EXA (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-6 $27.20 $15.20 127%
    DD (5/8/7/9/2)-(6/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-9 $34.60 $14.60 73%
    PK3 (8/2/9/4)-(5/8/7/9/2)-(6/9/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1/7/8-8-9 $44.60 $4.60 12%
TUP-7   DD (6/9/8/7)-(4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-4 $23.40 $11.40 95%
TUP-9   SFT (10/7/9)-(10/11/6/7/9)-(10/11/6/7/9)-(10/11/6/7/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  9-11-6-10 $10.14 $2.94 41%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:221 :443 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE DON LOONEY 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 2.00 12% 7.40 0.90 W
RUGGS 1 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.20 P
ULTIMATE 3 6 4 32   3 3 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 16% 5.50 2.70 S
TIGER TOO 2 7 6 7   56 4 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
SMUGGLER'S RUN 6 3 5 5   4 5 (schnell don)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 9.30  
BEER MONEY 7 2 7 6   6 6 (valeri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 20.10  
NOLONGERAHOBBY 4 4 3.2 4   7 713½ (silva jr)BARNES JOSE 122 10.00 27.60  
 
TUP-4   02/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAMPDRAINER 7 5 53 42 3½ 1nk 1¼ (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 8% 11.50 8.30 DQ↓2
FLINT STROLL 6 7 75 5 5 4¾ 2¼ (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 W
ROSENQUIST 2 1 2½ 32 4 5 3¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 5.50  
MANGIA PANE 1 6 6 6 6 6 4 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 122 5.00 20% 3.90 3.70  
MOESAHANDFUL 5 4 31 2½ 2nk 3½ 57 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.50 5.60  
UNUSUAL WIN 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 68 (martin)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 32.70  
PHOENICIAN GHOST 3 3 4 7 7 7 7 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
SCR  BLUES RAPPER               (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
SCR  SAN ANDRES               (perkinson cc)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   02/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:22 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM 8 2 14     13 1¾ (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50 18% 4.50 4.90 W
HATAGASAL 6 1 24     23 2¾ (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.50 2.70  
RAIDER NATION 7 7 36     38 3 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 16% 5.20 1.50 S
CRAZY STORM 1 9 9     710¾ 4 (van horne)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 21.80  
MONGOLIAN NINJA 5 4 8     410 5 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 23% 3.30 4.00  
CHINOOK BEND 3 6 7     510 69 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 11.70  
AUTISM MIND 9 8 47     811¾ 7 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 15% 5.50 56.60  
I'M MR. SHENANIGAN 2 5 6     610½ 811 (o'brien danny)HARVEY B 124 20.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
R. A. E.'S DREAM 4 3 57     916¼ 916 (ferguso)BRAVO MISAEL 124 6.00 10.90  
 
TUP-6   02/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEBECK (ARG) 8 7 8 73   7 11 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 4.00 13% 6.90 5.90 W
REGAL REDWOOD 5 4 3½ 1nk   4¾ 21 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 3.00 65% 0.50 2.20 P
ALPINE SERMON 2 6 6 5½   5¾ 31 (story chad)GARCIA F 122 8.00 3.00  
BEER BEGONE 3 2 4¾ 2nk   3.2 4 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 9.80  
B D R BAXTER 4 1 1½ 3.2   2nk 53 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 10.00 21.30  
OM FIRE 1 3 2½ 4¼   1nk 6 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 3.80  
AS LUCK HAPPENS 6 5 5 6   6 7 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
PRINCE OTTO 7 8 7 8   8 8 (esquibel mark)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
SCR  OUR BOY ROY               (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   02/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL FOG 4 4 1nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 2.50 76% 0.30 1.40 W
THIRSTY THURSDAY 1 5 5 4   2nk 2¼ (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5.20  
SHARP WARNING 3 8 8 7   4 3 (warren ka)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.20 S
MR. SHORTY 8 3 4¾ 1nk   31 4 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 7.00  
SCRATCHY APACHE 5 2 2nk 52   5 5 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 12.00 52.80  
ROCKET RIBBON 6 1 3½ 3½   6 6 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 3.00 5.30  
MY DAD IS THIRSTY 2 9 1012¼ 1011¼   8 79 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 15.00 21.50  
MIRROR IMAGE 9 6 7 8   7 8 (garcia valen)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
CONTINENTAL UNION 7 10 9 9   9 916¾ (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 18.60  
10  SHARK HARBOR 10 7 6 63   1010¼ 1018¾ (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 15.00 33.20  
 
TUP-8   02/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODI ZAFA 4 4 6 42 3½ 1nk 1 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 3.00 2.50  
JUST TRUST ME 2 1 1nk 21 2nk 2nk 2 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 5.00 3.90 P
BITTERLY 1 3 52 32 4 4 3 (kenney)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 12.00 16.00  
WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD 3 2 2nk 11 1nk 3½ 47 (brown jared)MOJICA O 116 4.00 1.70  
STRIKING NOTES 7 7 7 7 65 55 5 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 116 6.00 5.00  
BUTTERMAKER 6 6 4 5 5 6 612½ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 36% 1.80 9.60  
DESERT BREEZE 5 5 31 63 710 712¼ 727½ (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 6.00 40% 1.50 8.90  
SCR  THIRSTY VISION               (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
 
TUP-9   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACO'S PICO 7 9 7 7   5 1¼ (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00 1.40 W
11  STAR ENTRY 9 7 8 86   63 2¼ (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 3.90 P
BEDROCK (GB) 4 4 4 4   32 3 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 4.40 S
10  NEW EVERY MORNING 8 1 11 2nk   1½ 4 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 71% 0.40 3.30  
VICENTE'S SHADOW 6 5 9 98   8 5 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00 51.40  
KHAIKY'S COMMAND 3 3 21 1nk   2½ 6 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 6.00 10.10  
OUR BOLD PRINCE 1 8 65 6   9 7 (anderson )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 18.40  
SQUARE DEAL 2 6 5 5   42 8 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 29.00  
GONNA GETCHA GOOD 5 2 32 32   7 99 (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
SCR  ROBO WARRIOR               (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  SAINT PIO               (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.