Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/2)-(8/2/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/2)-(8/2/9/4)-(5/8/7/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (8/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/4)-(8/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/4)-(8/2/9/4)-(8/2/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/9/4)-(5/8/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9/4)-(5/8/7/9/2)-(6/9/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/8/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/9/2)-(5/8/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/9/2)-(5/8/7/9/2)-(5/8/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/7/9/2)-(6/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/9/2)-(6/9/8/7)-(4/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/8/7)-(4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/7)-(4/3/9)-(6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/6/9/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/9)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9)-(6/7)-(10/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(10/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-9   WIN (10/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/9)-(10/11/6/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/9)-(10/11/6/7/9)-(10/11/6/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUGGS Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Aug04 Jun30 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  TIGER TOO Jan06 Feb09 Jan13 Jan01 Dec10 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ULTIMATE Dec30 Dec17 Sep06 Jul21 Jun07 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 16% 5.50    
4  NOLONGERAHOBBY Feb12 Dec26 Dec09 Dec02 Sep23 (silva jr)BARNES JOSE 122 10.00    
5  JOE DON LOONEY Jan23 Jan01 Dec08 Nov08 Oct12 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 2.00 12% 7.40    
6  SMUGGLER'S RUN Jan06 Dec11 Oct06 Sep13 Aug11 (schnell don)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
7  BEER MONEY Jan08 Dec08 Nov29 Sep14 Aug24 (valeri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-4   02/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAN ANDRES Jan23 Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 Oct18 (perkinson cc)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
2  MANGIA PANE Jan27 Dec26 Sep15 Aug30 Aug04 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
3  ROSENQUIST Jan23 Dec10 Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
4  PHOENICIAN GHOST Jan14 Dec30 Sep07 Aug09 Jun14 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNUSUAL WIN Jan01 Dec23 Dec09 Oct27 Oct05 (martin)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
6  MOESAHANDFUL Jan16 Dec05 Nov19 Jul05 Jun15 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
SCR  BLUES RAPPER Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 Nov27 Nov18 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
8  FLINT STROLL Jan07 Dec23 Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
9  SWAMPDRAINER Jan13 Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov18 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 8% 11.50    
 
TUP-5   02/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY STORM Jan15 Nov30 Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 (van horne)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
2  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Jan24 Dec28 Apr23 Mar28 Feb29 (o'brien danny)HARVEY B 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHINOOK BEND Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 Sep16 Aug09 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
4  R. A. E.'S DREAM Dec31         (ferguso)BRAVO MISAEL 124 6.00    
5  MONGOLIAN NINJA Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 Apr23 Apr08 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  HATAGASAL Dec28 Nov29 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.50    
7  RAIDER NATION Jan07 Dec19 Oct06 Sep15 Aug03 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
8  EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM Dec03 Nov18       (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
9  AUTISM MIND Jan24 Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 Nov09 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-6   02/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OM FIRE Oct06 Sep07 Jul28 Jun14 May19 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
2  ALPINE SERMON Jan15 Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 Aug17 (story chad)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
SCR  OUR BOY ROY Jan13 Dec26 Dec05 Nov18 Aug17 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
4  BEER BEGONE Jan15 Dec23 Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00    
5  B D R BAXTER Jan15 Dec26 Nov01 Sep15 Apr30 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 122 10.00    
6  REGAL REDWOOD Jan24 Jan07 Dec27 Dec01 Nov03 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
7  AS LUCK HAPPENS Jun28 Jun08 May19 Mar19 Jan29 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRINCE OTTO Jan24 Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 (esquibel mark)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  QUEBECK (ARG) Jan24 Jan09 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
 
TUP-7   02/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY THURSDAY Jan14 Dec26 Dec03 Nov11 Sep29 (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
2  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Jan25 Jan14 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 (villamar cand)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
3  SHARP WARNING Jan21 Dec26 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 (warren ka)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COASTAL FOG Jan24 Dec26 Dec10 Jun06 Apr22 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 2.50 76% 0.30    
5  SCRATCHY APACHE Dec31 Dec17 Dec04 Nov26 Jun23 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
6  ROCKET RIBBON Jan15 Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 Oct19 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 3.00 ★    
7  CONTINENTAL UNION Nov29 Nov17 Nov08 Sep29 Sep02 (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
8  MR. SHORTY Jan14 Dec31 Nov30 Jul28 Jul20 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
9  MIRROR IMAGE Jan07 Dec04 Nov13 Sep13 Aug24 (garcia valen)MARTIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHARK HARBOR Jan19 Jul24 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   02/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THIRSTY VISION Jan20 Dec15 Nov23 Sep15 Aug10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
2  BITTERLY Jan09 Dec21 Dec07     (kenney)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 12.00    
3  JUST TRUST ME Dec27 Dec10 Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 5.00 ★    
4  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Dec23 Dec05 Nov18 Sep17 Aug28 (brown jared)MOJICA O 116 4.00 ★    
5  BODI ZAFA Dec17 Aug04 Jul07     (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 3.00    
6  DESERT BREEZE Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 Apr11   (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 6.00 40% 1.50    
7  BUTTERMAKER Jan16 Nov25 Oct11 Sep05 Aug02 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 36% 1.80    
8  STRIKING NOTES Jan06 Dec17       (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 116 6.00    
 
TUP-9   02/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR BOLD PRINCE Jan14 Dec30 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 (anderson )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
SCR  SAINT PIO Dec27 Dec18 Nov20 Sep24 Sep17 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 12.00    
3  SQUARE DEAL Apr13 Mar14 Mar01 Jan28 Dec29 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00    
SCR  ROBO WARRIOR Dec30 Nov04 Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
5  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Dec26 Dec09 Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
6  BEDROCK (GB) Jan14 Dec26 Dec09 Sep23 Sep16 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
7  GONNA GETCHA GOOD Dec01 May05 Mar23 Feb11 Jan12 (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  VICENTE'S SHADOW Jan14 Nov30 Nov20 Oct19 Aug25 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
9  PACO'S PICO Jan27 Dec30 Dec17 Mar01 Feb02 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  NEW EVERY MORNING Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 71% 0.40    
11  STAR ENTRY Jan25 Jan13 Dec18 Nov30 Nov13 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.