Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(5/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/1/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(5/1/2/6)-(3/6/5/8/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(3/6/5/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(3/6/5/8/11)-(2/7/4/8/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/6/5/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8/11)-(3/6/5/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8/11)-(3/6/5/8/11)-(3/6/5/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/8/11)-(2/7/4/8/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/8/11)-(2/7/4/8/3)-(4/3/5/8/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-5   WIN (2/7/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/8/3)-(2/7/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/8/3)-(2/7/4/8/3)-(2/7/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/4/8/3)-(4/3/5/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/8/3)-(4/3/5/8/9)-(1/9/5/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/8/9)-(4/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/8/9)-(4/3/5/8/9)-(4/3/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/5/8/9)-(1/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/8/9)-(1/9/5/7)-(8/1/7/11/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/7)-(1/9/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/7)-(1/9/3/5/7)-(1/9/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/5/7)-(8/1/7/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/7)-(8/1/7/11/3)-(9/7/10/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/1/7/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/11/3)-(8/1/7/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/11/3)-(8/1/7/11/3)-(8/1/7/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/11/3)-(9/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (9/7/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/10/4)-(9/7/10/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/10/4)-(9/7/10/8/4)-(9/7/10/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREATIZLOVE Jan30 Jan08 Dec21 Dec07 Nov14 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 8.00    
HE'S A REAL OUTFIT Feb08         (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
JONAS GRUMBY Jan27 Dec29 Dec14 Aug31   (dandridge courtn)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
POLITICAL AGENDA Feb16 Oct10       (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FLINT ROCK Nov05 Sep16 Jul22     (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
BLONDATE Jan02 Dec13 Nov23 Aug28   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCOOTIN' BOOTS Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 Dec06   (castille )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
BATTLE FACE Feb08 Jan27 Dec28     (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
LUCKY BOURBON Jan29 Dec28 Dec06     (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
 
FG-2   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZE DEBATE Jan12 Dec28 Dec08 Oct24 Sep25 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 13% 7.00    
SISTER SAINT Feb07 Jan27 Dec27 Sep26 Sep02 (burkes bob)ALBERT S 121 12.00    
CAPELLA RED Feb13 Oct19 Sep16 Aug24 Jul09 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
FOREIGN TOURIST Jan12 Nov29 Sep23 Aug05 Jul23 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50    
LADY HELENA Jan01 Oct19 Sep12 Aug08 Jul25 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
WEATHER MAP Feb14 Dec20 Nov29 Oct26 Sep25 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
TOOTOO TOURIST Jan17 Nov07 Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 (wong jonat)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 4.00 16% 5.30    
MRS. MACOMBER Feb05 Jan18 Dec12 Nov07 Sep26 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
 
FG-3   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEELIEVE HER Jul20 Jun28 Jun08 May23 Mar14 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
MISS HARMONIC Jan27 Jan02 Dec12 May24 Apr21 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
PRINCESS POM POM Feb02 Jan16 Jan04 Nov13 Oct24 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
MY BOSSY LADY Feb08 Jan10 Nov07 Oct19   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 117 6.00    
ROGUE DIAMOND Jan29 Dec05 Oct19 Aug22   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 2.50 34% 1.90    
SPECTACULAR FORCE Feb02 Jan02 Dec21 Dec08 Oct21 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET CHARLIZE Feb02 Jul27 May25 Apr27 Feb25 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 4.00    
 
FG-4   02/27/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESCUE SQUAD         (williams )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FOLSOM SWEETHEART by ROGER THAT (GB))
THAT'S APRIORITY Jan28         (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 125 8.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
RUNNING RAGGED Feb08 Nov15 Oct10 Jul25 Jun29 (castille carro)THORNTON G 117 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
STAR STAR STAR Feb14 Jan19 Dec08 Aug28 Dec09 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
BLAME ME SERIOUSLY Feb16 Jan31 Dec27 Dec23 Nov18 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 125 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by BLAME out of SERIOUS STEAM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ANACREON Jan18         (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by SASSICAIA out of ATCHATA by APRIORITY)
CESIUM         (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WILSHIRE BOULEVARD by SADLER'S WELLS)
CUSTOM'S CLEARED Feb08 Jan18 Aug31 Jul29   (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50 10% 9.10    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of SKY ENTRY by POINT OF ENTRY)
CHASTE ONE Dec08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 (sharp j)GRAHAM J 125 15.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
10  JAYNE'S ROCKSTAR         (williams k)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BOBBIELU by LAABITY)
11  TURF MONSTER         (breaux samu)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET THE KITTEN RUN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
FG-5   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM FOREVER Jan03 Dec06 Oct25     (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 117 4.50    
ELWIN Dec13 Nov15 Oct23     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
SHEHASANATTITUDE Jan16 Dec04 Mar07 Feb21   (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LA CLASICA         (lopez elias)TORRES A 117 8.00 11% 8.50    
HIDE THE BRIDE Feb14         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
TALE OF CHIANTI Feb14 Dec20 Aug31     (west henry)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
MY SOUTHERN GIRL Feb14 Jan16 Aug23 Jul20 Jun15 (breaux samu)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
LINDA FAYE May21 May02 Mar07 Feb08   (journet al)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00 8% 12.10    
GIN RUN Feb14 Jan19 Jan04 Dec13   (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 117 8.00    
 
FG-6   02/27/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSI D Feb19 Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 Oct23 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
TUSSLING CHARLIE Jan30 Jan01 Nov23 Oct30 Jun15 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50    
MARKS PROMISE Feb01 Jan08 Nov22 Nov06 Oct16 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
HE'S JUST LUCKY Feb01 Jan08 Dec16 Oct30 Aug24 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
BERTIE'S GALAXY Feb01 Nov22 Jun01 Apr20 Mar16 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00 7% 12.60    
SONO Dec28 Dec07 Nov23 Aug16 Jul05 (bourgeois ke)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Feb15 Feb01 Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 (landry ray)CURTIS BEN 124 10.00    
BIG CHOPPER Feb17 Feb01 Jan08 Nov22 Oct06 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 121 10.00 6% 16.80    
MIKE J Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 Jul11 Jun01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 Dec16 Dec05 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
 
FG-7   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASKETEE Jun01 May08       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
CHECK ME OUT Feb06 Jan02 Nov23 Jun29 Jun14 (cuccia j)TORRES A 122 6.00    
GARFISH Jan10 Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 Jun15 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50    
TWOFEXUSNEXUS Jan29 Feb02 Dec30 Dec02 Aug10 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
ANGELIC KNIGHT Feb06 Jan18 Dec21 Nov28 Apr13 (marechal merlin)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PETITFOR Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 Sep04 (meaux h)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
MYSTIC HOPE Jan29 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Oct11 (rivera nestor )PEREZ CARLOS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. RONNIE Jan08 Nov27 Nov06 Oct12 Aug22 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
GORDITO HERMOSO Feb06 Jan02 Nov24 Mar10 Feb24 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
FG-8   02/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS FOREVER Aug19 Jul21       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NASREDDINE by NYQUIST)
CONTINUANCE Jan20 Dec19       (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAFFLING by MONTBROOK)
QUEEN JUBILEE Jan19 Dec29 Nov30 Oct27 Sep22 (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PARTY STARTER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NEVER REALLY KNOW (IRE) Aug15 Jul18       (casse norm )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of DEADLY REEL by POUR MOI)
RATHER DISTINCT Jan04 Oct06 Aug19     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RATHER SPECIAL by GALILEO)
SCR  TWIRLING DIXIE Jan20 Nov30       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RHO CASSIOPEIAE by TIZWAY)
CANTORA Jan08         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6% 14.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SINGING HILLS by SUPER SAVER)
SYCAMORE SHOALS Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 Oct24   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 38% 1.70    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
PRETTY TAPIT Jan20 Nov30 Oct10     (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
10  SPUNDERDOG         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of THE SENSE ANGEL by MINESHAFT)
11  BLACK DOG Feb01 Dec26 Nov30 Aug31 Jul21 (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DECLARATIONWARRIOR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
12  MASSARAT Jan20 Dec26 Nov02     (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AYAADY by TAPIT)
13  GOLDENAGEACTRESS Feb01 Jan04 Nov30     (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of APPEALING AUDREY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  MISS BIRKIN (IRE) Feb01 Jan04       (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of FASHION LINE by MORNING LINE)
SCR  ALL NIGHT REVIVAL Oct13 Sep15 Aug04     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
 
FG-9   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MILA'S KAT Feb06 Jan18 Dec20 Dec07 Aug20 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 116 15.00    
OUR LITTLE GIRL Feb07 Jan16 Dec12 Oct23 Jul15 (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 10.00    
MISS KENNEDY Feb07 Jan16 Dec05 Sep24 Aug19 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
STARSNMOTION Jan25 Sep26 Aug19 Jul01 Jun05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
AVERI EVER AFTER Feb07 Jan16 Dec12 Nov22 Sep17 (duke steven)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING Feb07 Jan26 Dec21 Nov28 Nov09 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
GYPSYROSELEE Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Dec18 Nov21 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Feb07 Jan15 Dec18 May02 Apr12 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
SIKARA SIKARA Feb07 Jan26 Dec20 Nov29 Aug31 (delhomme )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
10  AGAMI Feb07 Jan26 Jan04 Dec20 Nov26 (patt roland )BARRERA J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANITA'S VISION Feb17 Jan11 Aug19 Feb29 Feb08 (savoie sherman)MCMAHON J 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.