Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - February 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(4/7/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/2)-(7/3/6/1)-(3/7/8/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (3/7/8/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/9/2)-(3/7/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/9/2)-(3/7/8/9/2)-(3/7/8/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/9/2)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/2/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-5   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (4/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/9/8/5)-(10/1/5/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-8   WIN (4/6/9/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/8/5)-(4/6/9/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/8/5)-(4/6/9/8/5)-(4/6/9/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/9/8/5)-(10/1/5/8/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-9   WIN (10/1/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPA Jan30 Dec04 Nov20 Oct23 Aug23 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
WOODY'S CHOICE Jan26 Dec01 Oct23 Sep26 Sep11 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00    
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Oct06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug17 Jul14 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
GRACIOUS KAT Jan29 Dec28 Nov23 Oct12 Aug09 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUDO Dec12 Nov11 Oct24 Oct16 Sep30 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
GHENT Feb12 Dec11 Nov23 Nov01 Sep11 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 5.00    
PRIME EXAMPLE Jan21 Dec31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun21 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
FON-2   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE Oct20 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01   (ramaek)BAILON JADHIR 125 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GAMBLER'S DREAM by FLASHBACK)
HELENA AGRICHEM May04 Feb25 Oct29     (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of ICE CRYSTAL by IT'S FREEZING)
ALL LEGS Sep21 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 May04 (donlin la)IRONEYES R 125 2.50    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
GIO FACTOR         (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of BE A FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  NEW EXPECTATIONS         (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
  (by GIANT EXPECTATIONS out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
DAZZLE YOU MY WAY Sep21 Sep13 Aug31 Apr26 Apr12 (mcclain stan)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of DAZZLE YOU by DAZZLING FALLS)
FABLED TALE Sep26 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10   (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TALETOBETOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
EYE EYE BIRDIE Sep13 May04 Mar24     (luke l)HISBY RONALD 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of P R KIPLING'S GOLD by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
 
FON-3   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 Sep20 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY BOAZ Sep27 Sep13 Sep02 Aug24 Aug16 (musquiz j)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
HIT THE SEAM Dec09 Nov19 Oct20 Sep27 Sep19 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
OBVIOUSLY TOO Nov02 Oct26 Oct12 Sep16 Sep08 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00    
I'M CRENSHAW Sep20 Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 May24 (big gera)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00    
TAP THE BRAKES Nov17 Oct27 Oct11 Oct05 Sep16 (arceo a)BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
PATIO'S PORCH Nov30 Nov22 Oct23 Sep26 Sep02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
FON-4   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R THAT'S JUDY Jul21 Jul07       (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 15.00    
  (by GIANT EXPECTATIONS out of WINSOME GAMES by GRAND SLAM)
P R SORRY KIDS Jul07         (wise jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of HOLY DEVINE by RUSHIN' TO ALTAR)
PARTY BUG         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SMARTY PARTY by SMARTY JONES)
FAST N BREEZY         (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of MIDNIGHT STREET by SUMMER FRONT)
P R BIG WHEELS Aug09 Jul07       (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 122 15.00    
  (by GIANT EXPECTATIONS out of EBONY EVITA by ROCK THE ROCK (IRE))
ADETERMINEDMOM Nov17 Sep28 Aug25 Aug02 Jul07 (donlin d)RAMOS B 122 3.50    
  (by COURT VISION out of CHELSEA'S LINCOLN by MULDOON)
NIGHT TRIX         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TOUGH BUSINESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
HATTIES RULER         (hines ann)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 12.00 7% 12.50    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of HATTIES CONFESSION by CONGAREE)
HEAVEN CENT         (martin)BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00 7% 12.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SICK LOVE by WHERE'S THE RING)
 
FON-5   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AZTEC GEM Dec16 Nov28 Jan06 Nov23 Jul03 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 1.60    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MT. QUINCY by ERLTON)
MO MAMBO Jan23 Dec31 Dec12 Jun29 May19 (homer jason)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of RUSSKIY LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
ATTI'S THUNDER Nov13 Nov01 Oct11     (johnso)BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of DIVINE PAIRODOCS by DIVINE PARK)
FLASHIN CHIP Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec18 Nov24 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of STACKIN CHIPS by TIGER RIDGE)
SUBSEQUENT EVENT Jul12 Jun15 May11     (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SEQUENCE OF EVENTS by SUPER SAVER)
I BE A KING Sep11 Aug24 May15 May06 Mar19 (big hair )IRONEYES R 125 10.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of DIVINE DUTCHESS by DIVINE PARK)
HASTY FLYER Nov08 Oct24 Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED ON TAP by TAPIT)
THREE SEVENS Feb07 Dec18 Nov16 Oct23 Aug24 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of OUR SAMMI by SCHRAMSBERG)
SCR  OXFORD OUTING Sep28 Sep08 Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
  (by STROLL out of LADY BAN SHEE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
FON-6   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMY D Jan15 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00    
LIKING IT TWISTED Sep23 Sep11 Jul15 Jun19 Jun03 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 22% 3.50    
SABRIA Nov03 Oct27 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 (arceo a)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
CELTICS WILDCAT Sep26 Sep01 Jul14 Jun30 Jun13 (donlin larry )FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
HOT TUB HOTTIE Dec05 Sep20 Aug30 Jul10 Jun06 (big hair )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
FESSY Nov17 Oct18 Oct13 Sep08 Aug23 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
DOLLY DIMPLE Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 Jul20 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 4.00 18% 4.50    
T R'S FIRST Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep27 Sep07 (hibdon)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00    
 
FON-7   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARMA'D Jan09 Nov16 Oct18 Sep28 Sep19 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 125 8.00 10% 8.80    
LAZARUS Sep21 Sep02 Aug26 Aug02 Jul08 (lemburg m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00    
TUCKER THE GRUMP Jan15 Jan02 Dec20 Dec04 Nov21 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
RED CHEEKS Sep27 Sep13 Aug10 Jun22 May06 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
THIS IS A JOKE Jan27 Jan09 Dec27 Dec03 Nov14 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
XY FACE Jan02 Dec07 Nov02 Oct26 Jul13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
ANTIBES Jan16 Jan01 Dec01 Nov03 Sep22 (homer jason)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
SCR  GUN SHOW Dec11 Oct28 Oct15 Sep06 Aug19 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 125 4.00    
 
FON-8   02/23/2025 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECKCASHINGCONNIE Nov26 Nov13 Nov03 Sep28 May25 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 15.00    
TIFFANY'S FERRARI Feb01 Dec14 Nov17 Oct11 Sep27 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
PEACH STREET Dec05 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Jul29 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
SARAH'S COURT Feb01 Jan15 Nov29 Nov13 Oct29 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 61% 0.60    
LOW EURO CAT Dec13 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
JULIARD HONOR Sep27 Sep06 Aug24 Aug17 May11 (compton james)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00 8% 12.30    
SHE'S SO FANCY Nov15 Oct25 Sep28 Aug16 Jul20 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 125 20.00    
HOUSE WRECKER Sep22 Sep09 Aug16 Jul21 Jun02 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
COLLIER Nov15 Oct26 Oct11 Sep01 Aug03 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 6% 14.40    
10  SHACKED STATESIDE Sep26 Aug29 Jul07 Jun09 May25 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
 
FON-9   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALCULATED LUV Jan30 Dec13 Nov14 Oct30 Sep02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 16% 5.10    
DARNQUICK Jan03 Dec07 Nov19 Oct23 Sep14 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
JUST PLAIN ORNERY Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 Aug18 Jul27 (rushton stet)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 15.00    
HARD TO COME BY Dec13 Nov17 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
NEOKING Dec28 Dec05 Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 125 3.50 7% 14.10    
BLUEGRASS BREEZE Dec11 Nov26 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
QUARTER RAT Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec19 Nov13 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 5.00    
COPANELLO BAY Sep28 Sep01 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAILOR CHOW Nov23 Oct25 Sep08 Aug26 Jul13 (arceo a)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
10  UPSTRIKER Dec07 Nov11 Oct09 Sep15 Aug26 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.