Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-4   Win (9/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 11.40
ARP-5   Win (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
ARP-6   Win (4/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.00  
ARP-7   Win (7/6/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
ARP-8   Win (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.00  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-4   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BLUE CAT 2 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (guadarrama om)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 6% 15.60 8.70 W
A WALK ON THE MOON 6 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 3.50 7% 12.50 1.60 P
ENTICED BY LOV 7 2 5 32   3 38 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 122 4.50 54% 0.80 18.00 S
WHAT THE HEY 4 6 4 4   4 410½ (kemper kerr)MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00 2.30  
LEAF OF WISDOM 5 3 6 6   5 514½ (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 6.20  
TIZ GIGI 3 7 7 712¾   711½ 622¼ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 12.70  
SILENCE'S NATION 1 5 32 5   610½ 748½ (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
SCR  ALL MY VICES               (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50    
SCR  MR. BIZ               (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
 
ARP-5   11/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:132     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMY D 3 6 43 52   3 11 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 52% 0.90 4.90 W
LADY LANA 8 1 5 3   1½ 21 (graber jessica)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 10.60  
AKASI 5 3 2nk 21   2½ 3 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 4.00 8% 12.30 10.90 S
RIGHT OF REFUSAL 4 2 32 6   52 4 (thompson gr)IRONEYES R 124 3.50 9% 10.10 4.90  
QUALITY BOW 1 7 75 7   7 5 (chavez veronica)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 8% 11.10 1.10  
TRIBAL SPIRIT 6 4 64 4   6 65 (arceo salvador)CARRENO J 124 8.00 7.40  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 2 8 86 86   8 713¾ (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00 10.10  
COLD AS YOU 7 5 1nk 11   4 814¼ (hibdon mark )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 17.70  
SCR  SILVER LIGHTENING               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
 
ARP-6   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 3 6 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50 2.50  
SCHLEICHER 5 3 7 5   41 21 (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 124 12.00 13.30  
DANCE FOR RANSOM 1 4 3.2 1nk   2nk 3 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 19% 4.30 4.00 S
CAN DANZER 2 5 6 77   7 4 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 43% 1.30 3.80  
MUSKET POWDER 4 7 5 65   6 5 (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
DOCS CARO CAT 6 8 8 810   8 6 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 8% 11.20 15.70  
WIN FOR FUN 7 2 2nk 3½   3½ 7 (rushton temple)CARRENO J 121 2.50 2.20  
10  RANDOM AFFAIR 8 1 4¾ 4   52 811¼ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 22.30  
SCR  ORO               (jenkins l)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
SCR  TAP THE BRAKES               (arceo salvad)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   11/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Arapahoe Park Derby Purse ($38.85K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:122 1:41   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOMANYNAMES 7 6 4 45 45 2nk 14 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.60 W
ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF 3 4 2nk 1½ 11 1nk 24 (parsons riley)ARANA MINOR 122 2.50 6.00  
RED FROST 4 9 32 33 34 32 3 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 6.00 7% 12.90 6.10 S
MY BUDDY MEL 6 10 6 710 7 5 412¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.00 17% 4.80 6.50  
11  PROOF OF PURCHASE 11 1 96 6 56 4 513¾ (rushton stacy)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 8.00 14.30  
COPPER SKY 5 8 1112½ 1117½ 1114¾ 1110 623¼ (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 7.40  
10  JET STREAM 10 7 10 911 8 7 728¼ (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00 8.40  
EZ FITZ 8 11 7 810 6 6 835¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 9.70  
TAPITBOY 2 3 5 59 9 8 938¾ (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 122 12.00 25.40  
SILENT REASON 9 2 8 1011½ 10 10 1055¼ (ortega joe)CARRENO J 122 10.00 15% 5.70 14.30  
SHARMA'D 1 5 1nk 2½ 21 9 1178 (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
 
ARP-8   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Debutante Purse ($37.8K) 3 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ART QUEEN 2 3 5 4   31 1 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 4.00  
LONG MAY SHE RUN 3 5 4 5   42 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 10% 8.70 4.80 P
ARIZONA REINA 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 3 (ortega joe)CARRENO J 122 3.00 25% 2.90 2.50 S
ZORINA 6 2 3½ 3½   2½ 4 (moreno carlo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 27% 2.80 2.70  
KONA KINLEY 1 6 6 610¾   6 514 (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 12.00 4.40  
CRESSONS LIL CHARM 5 1 2nk 2½   5 614½ (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 6.40  
SCR  LADY ATHENA               (williams de)IRONEYES R 122 10.00    
SCR  RASPBERRY WINE               (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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