Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   WIN (9/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $19.40 $11.40 143%
    EXA (9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-8 $177.80 $153.80 641%
    TRI (9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  2-8-ALL $251.20 $203.20 423%
    SFT (9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1)-(9/8/2/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  2-8-ALL-ALL $1197 $1149 2395%
ARP-5   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.80 $3.80 48%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-4   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG BLUE CAT 2 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 13½ (guadarrama )VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 6% 15.60 8.70 W
8  A WALK ON THE MOON 6 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 23½ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 3.50 7% 12.50 1.60 P
9  ENTICED BY LOV 7 2 52¾ 32   33½ 38 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 122 4.50 54% 0.80 18.00 S
6  WHAT THE HEY 4 6 42½ 42¼   44½ 410½ (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00 2.30  
7  LEAF OF WISDOM 5 3 63¼ 65¾   57½ 514½ (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 8.00 6.20  
3  TIZ GIGI 3 7 78¼ 712¾   711½ 622¼ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 12.70  
1  SILENCE'S NATION 1 5 32 53¾   610½ 748½ (parsons ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
SCR  ALL MY VICES               (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50    
SCR  MR. BIZ               (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
 
ARP-5   11/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:132     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMY D 3 6 43 52   31½ 11 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 52% 0.90 4.90 W
9  LADY LANA 8 1 53½ 31½   1½ 21 (graber jessi)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 10.60  
6  AKASI 5 3 2nk 21   2½ 33½ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 4.00 8% 12.30 10.90 S
5  RIGHT OF REFUSAL 4 2 32 63½   52 43¾ (thompson )IRONEYES R 124 3.50 9% 10.10 4.90  
2  QUALITY BOW 1 7 75 75½   73½ 54½ (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 8% 11.10 1.10  
7  TRIBAL SPIRIT 6 4 64 41½   62½ 65 (arceo salvador)CARRENO J 124 8.00 ★ 7.40  
3  GUARDING ELK CAMP 2 8 86 86   86½ 713¾ (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00 10.10  
8  COLD AS YOU 7 5 1nk 11   41½ 814¼ (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 17.70  
SCR  SILVER LIGHTENING               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
 
ARP-6   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 3 6 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50 2.50  
7  SCHLEICHER 5 3 74¼ 54½   41 21 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 124 12.00 13.30  
3  DANCE FOR RANSOM 1 4 3.2 1nk   2nk 31¾ (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 19% 4.30 4.00 S
4  CAN DANZER 2 5 63¾ 77   72¾ 44¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 43% 1.30 3.80  
6  MUSKET POWDER 4 7 52¼ 65   62¼ 56¼ (scudder rick)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
8  DOCS CARO CAT 6 8 88¼ 810   86¾ 69¼ (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 8% 11.20 15.70  
9  WIN FOR FUN 7 2 2nk 3½   3½ 79¼ (rushton temple)CARRENO J 121 2.50 2.20  
10  RANDOM AFFAIR 8 1 4¾ 42½   52 811¼ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 22.30  
SCR  ORO               (jenkins l)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
SCR  TAP THE BRAKES               (arceo salv)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   11/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Arapahoe Park Derby Purse ($38.85K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:122 1:41   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TOOMANYNAMES 7 6 42¼ 45 45 2nk 14 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.60 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GREATEST SHOW by STORM CAT)
3  ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF 3 4 2nk 1½ 11 1nk 24 (parsons riley)ARANA MINOR 122 2.50 6.00  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  RED FROST 4 9 32 33 34 32 38¼ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 6.00 7% 12.90 6.10 S
  (by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
6  MY BUDDY MEL 6 10 65¼ 710 78½ 53¾ 412¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.00 17% 4.80 6.50  
  (by TONALIST out of TILDE by SWISS YODELER)
11  PROOF OF PURCHASE 11 1 96 69½ 56 43½ 513¾ (rushton stac)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 8.00 14.30  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHOPPER by BERNSTEIN)
5  COPPER SKY 5 8 1112½ 1117½ 1114¾ 1110 623¼ (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 7.40  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  JET STREAM 10 7 106½ 911 88½ 75¾ 728¼ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00 8.40  
  (by CONGRATS out of AVIATING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
8  EZ FITZ 8 11 75¼ 810 66½ 64¼ 835¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 9.70  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
2  TAPITBOY 2 3 54¼ 59 98¾ 85¾ 938¾ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 122 12.00 25.40  
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
9  SILENT REASON 9 2 85½ 1011½ 108¾ 109¾ 1055¼ (ortega joe)CARRENO J 122 10.00 15% 5.70 14.30  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SWEET ROSE by HAT TRICK (JPN))
1  SHARMA'D 1 5 1nk 2½ 21 97¾ 1178 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
  (by TAPWRIT out of HEARTBREAK HILL by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
ARP-8   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Debutante Purse ($37.8K) 3 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ART QUEEN 2 3 52¾ 45½   31 14½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 4.00  
  (by TONALIST out of DONTSTOPQUITNO by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  LONG MAY SHE RUN 3 5 42½ 55¾   42 24½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 10% 8.70 4.80 P
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  ARIZONA REINA 4 4 1nk 1½   1½ 35½ (ortega joe)CARRENO J 122 3.00 25% 2.90 2.50 S
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HONEY CANDY by DESPERATELY)
8  ZORINA 6 2 3½ 3½   2½ 46¼ (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 27% 2.80 2.70  
  (by ENTICED out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
1  KONA KINLEY 1 6 65¾ 610¾   69½ 514 (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 12.00 4.40  
  (by PROTONICO out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
7  CRESSONS LIL CHARM 5 1 2nk 2½   53½ 614½ (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 6.40  
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
SCR  LADY ATHENA               (williams )IRONEYES R 122 10.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of ROSE GUITAR by STAR GUITAR)
SCR  RASPBERRY WINE               (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 3.50    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.