Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/8)-(9/1/2/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/8)-(9/1/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/8)-(9/1/2/6/3)-(6/4/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (9/1/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/6/3)-(9/1/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/6/3)-(9/1/2/6/3)-(9/1/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/2/6/3)-(6/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/6/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(5/4/8/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(5/4/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(5/4/8/6)-(6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/6)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/6)-(6/4/7)-(8/11/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/8/10)-(6/4/7/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(8/11/3/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/11/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/3/2/6)-(8/11/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/3/2/6)-(8/11/3/2/6)-(8/11/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-2   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR THE COAST Jan30 Dec12 Nov26 Sep21 Aug11 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
SCR  RESPECT THE UNION Jan21 Dec30 Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50    
MT. ZEROR Feb05 Jan22 Jan09 Dec27 Dec17 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
MOESAHANDFUL Feb04 Jan16 Dec05 Nov19 Jul05 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 5% 17.80    
SYNTACTIC Jan30 Jan07 Dec23 Dec05 Nov19 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
WITHOUT EQUAL Jan30 Jan13 Dec19 Nov26 Sep28 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
 
TUP-3   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANDYN Jan14 Dec02 Nov13 Oct16 Sep29 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.00 9% 10.20    
CHICKEN WING Jan23 May02 Apr02 Mar12   (story chad)MAWING A 124 8.00    
BIYOMBO Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 Sep21 Sep02 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
BANGO FOR BUCKS Jan13 Apr17 Jan30 Dec21 Apr21 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 122 3.50    
BENNIGAN Jan28 Jan09 Dec16 Nov29 Nov14 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 122 10.00    
HEZADOOZIE Jan22 Jan14 Jan02 Dec16 Sep24 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SILVERBULLITBADGER Jan14 Dec02 Nov13 Sep12 Aug25 (lewis kevin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
 
TUP-4   02/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jan29 Jan08 Dec27 Dec03 Nov18 (bean a)MOJICA O 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
DERRYGOOLIN Jan20 Dec07 Nov17 Oct05 Aug17 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 32% 2.20    
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Jan08 Dec11 Nov21 Sep23 Jul30 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
SCATALICIOUS Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 Aug30 Aug23 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
PACIFIC ZIP Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 Aug22 Aug03 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
EVEN PANDURA Jan16 Dec27 Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 (sanderson bruce)KRIGGER K 124 10.00    
JOY IN GRACE Jan08 Dec11 Nov25 Sep29 Sep22 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
LOCK IT DOWN Jan16 Dec03 Nov18 Sep21 Aug18 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLIMPSE OF GOLD Apr17 Sep09 Aug12 Feb01 Jan10 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
STANFORD HOLIDAY Jan23 Dec18 Nov17 Oct13 Aug25 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 118 6.00 8% 12.20    
C'MON LETS SWITCH Jan23 Sep22 Aug16 Jul20 Dec17 (lucas j)HARVEY B 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LA' MOMINA Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Nov03 Oct14 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 5.00    
LUCKY LARA Jan29 Dec18 Aug18 Apr08 Mar12 (dominguez an)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
INZAWAY May02 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb06 (dennis cl)JENSEN P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HARBOR STRIKE Jan23 Dec15       (dennis clif)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 20.00    
HARRY'S BIG DREAM Mar01 Jan15       (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 4.00    
FORGOT THE ROSES Jan24 Aug06 Jul09 Jun26   (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
10  LOVELY BRIDE Sep08 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 (garcia valen)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELBY SHORTSTOP Jan27 Jan02 Dec10 Nov12 Sep08 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 122 12.00    
RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Nov27 Sep09 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
JESSICA BLAH BLAH Jan27 Dec27 Jul10 Jun26 May04 (vitali)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
DREWY Jan27 Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Jan08 Dec28 Nov24 Nov10 Oct12 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
BOOSICAL LADY Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Jun30 Jun09 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
HAUGHTY KITTY Jan27 Jan09 Dec05 Nov15 Nov03 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 4.00    
TIA SUZI Jan28 Jan08 Dec19 Nov12 Oct12 (kemper kasey)REYES R 124 3.00    
 
TUP-7   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY NOW Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 Jun16 Apr30 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
BRUCKNER Jan23 Dec29 Nov10 Sep08   (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00    
DISOBEY Nov23 Sep20 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (scolamieri sam )CORBETT W 122 6.00    
HOT CHICKS ONLY Nov30 Nov10 Oct06 Aug25 Jul28 (thomas jamey)CRUZ M 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
HOLDEN THE LUTE Dec02 Nov13 Jul17 Jul10 Feb29 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
MISTER BEAMS Jan28 Dec31 Oct11 Sep18 Aug22 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CENTRAL PARK Jan25 Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50    
PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jan23 Dec13 Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 (lucas j)HARVEY B 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LETTHELIQUORTALK Jan15 Dec15 Nov03 Oct20 Sep14 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/13/2025 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM Molly Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWELVE STARS Jan29 Jan16 Dec30 Aug18 Jul25 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of WILD ROAN by WILD RUSH)
JAMIES INHERITANCE Jan28 Dec12 Sep14 Aug11 Jul21 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Jan16 Dec27 Dec03 Nov11 Sep08 (essex charles)REYES R 120 20.00    
  (by HOUSEOFROYALHEARTS out of JADEDITE by CAHILL ROAD)
AVENTAPP Jan24 Dec28 Dec09 Aug17 Jul25 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVENTINA by DYNAFORMER)
VALENTINA DAY Jan28 Dec14 Oct17 Sep11 Jul22 (toye joe)CRUZ M 120 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of ONE IN A ROMP by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
FLAME MCGOON Jan15 Dec27 Sep05 Oct22 Sep08 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by STANFORD out of LULA TALULLAH by MORE THAN READY)
PEPPER MILL Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Nov13 Sep21 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Jan15 Nov26 Nov08 Oct06 Aug30 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
  (by BELARDO out of PILE OU FACE by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jan28 Dec12 Sep08 Jul27 Jun07 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
10  DIRT FLIRT Dec31 Aug11 Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
  (by JAMES STREET out of GRANTMARTYAMIRACLE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
11  COASTLINE HOTTIE Jan27 Jan16 Apr24 Apr03 Feb27 (sepich f)CORBETT W 120 20.00    
  (by COASTLINE out of HOLLYWOOD HOTTIE by CITY ZIP)
 
TUP-9   02/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAL GAL Jan29 Jan06 Dec18 Feb22 Jul09 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
GOOD LIQUOR Jan09 Nov01 Oct05 May14 May06 (baze t)MAWING A 124 10.00 8% 12.30    
ACES OVER DEUCES Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  DAVID N RAYS CANDY Dec28 Nov23 Sep28 May10   (valeri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00    
GROOVY GRAY GAL Jan22 Nov29 Nov12 Oct05 Jul20 (kemper kasey)BARNES JOSE 124 6.00    
SALLY STANFORD Jan22 Jan09 Apr29 Apr10 Mar12 (hop mike)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LEGAL MISCHIEF Jan28 Jan08 Dec19 May02 Apr16 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
RANDOS LADY Dec06 Oct20 Jan01 Nov25 Oct21 (story chad)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 37% 1.70    
MISS WATERLOO Nov29 Nov14 Oct24 Sep26 Sep12 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
10  PLUM CREEK Dec29 Jun22 May19 May05 Feb18 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
11  RIVER OF AMBITION Dec06 Nov10 Oct27 Oct04 Sep22 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  CAT ON THE RUN Jan30 Mar28 Mar18 Mar05 Feb15 (ortega je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.