Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(7/3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/3)-(7/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/3)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/8/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/6)-(7/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/6)-(7/8/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(10/6/4/3/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5)-(10/6/4/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(10/6/4/3/11)-(6/8/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (10/6/4/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/4/3/11)-(10/6/4/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/4/3/11)-(10/6/4/3/11)-(10/6/4/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/4/3/11)-(6/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/4/3/11)-(6/8/9/2)-(11/6/7/9/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (6/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/9/2)-(11/6/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/2)-(11/6/7/9/3)-(12/1/7/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (11/6/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/7/9/3)-(11/6/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/7/9/3)-(11/6/7/9/3)-(11/6/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/7/9/3)-(12/1/7/10/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (12/1/7/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/7/10/5)-(12/1/7/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/1/7/10/5)-(12/1/7/10/5)-(12/1/7/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY CHARLEE Dec04 Sep28 Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
2  RITABOOK Dec04 Aug18 Jul26 Jun28 Jun02 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50    
3  TWISTED JUSTICE Nov14 Oct29 Sep17 Aug28 Jul25 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DIOSA CATRINA Nov17 Oct27 Oct10 Aug30 Aug01 (wright mich)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 10.00    
5  SOLAIR Nov30 Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 6.00    
6  HOP AWAY HOTTIE Nov30 Oct31 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 6% 14.50    
 
TAM-2   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLETS SMILE Nov20 Nov10 Oct18 Sep27 Aug25 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 120 4.50 24% 3.30    
2  AWESOME EMPRESS Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
3  ZOYA'S FAITH Nov03 Oct25 Oct05 Aug10 Jul27 (spanabel k)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIVEMINUTSOFPASION Nov06 Oct06 Sep10     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  PLAY FREE BIRD Dec11 Oct18 Sep13 Aug17 Jul26 (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00    
6  HARD SPICE Jul12 Jun20 Apr19 Mar17 Feb24 (lusk r)LINDSAY CHAD 118 15.00    
SCR  OOPS HAHA Dec18 Nov27 Sep21 Aug11 Jul10 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
8  MO'S VINO MESA Dec04 Nov20 Oct22 Sep14 Aug17 (wilson tony)COTTO L 118 3.00 6% 16.10    
 
TAM-3   12/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jul14 Apr29 Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 10.00 12% 7.70    
2  VIVA VICTORY Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 Jul05 May31 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 30.00    
3  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Apr12 Mar03 Jan31 Jan12   (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  TUSCAN RULER Dec04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00    
5  BLACK SEAL Oct26 Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 (dobber arno)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 12.00    
6  FREE RAMBLING MAN Dec21 Nov29 Oct23 Oct03 Sep06 (orantes yon)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ZINGALES KING Nov30 Oct18 Sep28 Aug17 Jul19 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  MIDNIGHT ONYX Dec04 Nov20 Sep27 Aug03 Jul07 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00    
 
TAM-4   12/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOL Nov16         (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FOREVER SMART by SMART STRIKE)
2  VEKOMA'S WAR Dec07         (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of WAR TAP by TAPIT)
3  DYNA SOAR Dec07 Sep21       (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of DYNATAIL by HIGHTAIL)
4  CHANTALS HOPE Oct25         (munoz carlo)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
5  SECRET VICTORY Oct12         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of KIZUNA by DEEP IMPACT (JPN))
6  QUEEN OF SPIRITS Sep26 Sep12 Aug24     (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BLING QUEEN by FIRST SAMURAI)
7  LYING BY OMISSION (IRE) Oct13         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 119 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by HELLO YOUMZAIN out of SOUNAYA by NAYEF)
8  EVELYN LOUISE Oct19 Sep11 Aug12     (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of YOUNGEST DAUGHTER by THE FACTOR)
 
TAM-5   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Oct03 Sep19 Nov23 Oct15 Sep24 (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  GET EVEN Dec06 Oct24 Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 8.00    
3  TALKSCHEAP Aug07 Jun26 Jun19 May11 May03 (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
4  HUNTERS GHOST Dec20 Dec06 Oct19 Sep22 Sep08 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  STAR KANOO Aug29 Jul28 Jun22 May18 Mar27 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Nov29 Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  LIEUTENANT STAN Dec11 Nov29 Oct04 Sep13 Aug10 (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 5.00    
8  BALTASAR Oct12 Sep25 Sep04 Jul25 Jun15 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   12/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Dec07 Nov08 Sep08 Jul19   (kutt m)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
2  DOROTEA DREAM Dec07         (rice kevin)COTTO L 119 15.00    
3  SUNNY MONDAY         (parra )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00 6% 16.90    
4  BINGO BABY Nov15         (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 6% 16.60    
5  NEW WAY Dec07 Nov08 Aug24     (ochoa gerard)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
6  CENTEYA Oct04         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
7  QURBAAN D ORO Dec07 Nov20 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
8  TINY TEARS Sep20 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (ryan )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
9  SURPRISE COCO Dec07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07   (morales gui)GONZALEZ MELVIS 112 30.00    
10  ARANCIATA Nov15 Sep21 Aug04     (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
11  NOTIPTONI Nov23 Oct03 Sep15 Aug22 Aug01 (duffy sean)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00 5% 18.90    
12  CLASSICALS FINALE Dec06 Nov21 Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 (contessa c)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
 
TAM-7   12/28/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INBOUND Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Oct17 Oct05 (simone micha)BATISTA A 121 10.00    
2  AZURE SKY Sep27 Sep05 Aug24 Aug02 Jul17 (mendieta ale)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GLOBES Dec06 Nov23 Sep21 Aug31 Aug04 (to)LUNA PAUL 121 6.00    
4  YONO Dec07 Nov09 Aug18 Jul19 Jun15 (hernandez sand)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50    
5  BREAK THE ICE Nov23 Nov03 Sep27 Aug25 Aug10 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
6  CONSPIRACY FACT Dec04 Aug31 Jun22 May25 Apr20 (arriagada juan)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  SCAR Oct18 Sep20 Aug17 Jun09 May16 (klesaris steve)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
8  LORD KNOWS Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 Aug31 Aug11 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 12.00 7% 14.10    
9  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Nov23 Sep27 Sep14 Aug08 Jul24 (dominguez r)HESS SARA 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   12/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA EMPIRE Sep10 Aug08 Jun26 Mar15 Feb15 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 30.00    
2  SHE FLED THE SCENE Nov01 Oct18 Sep07 Aug04 Jul06 (dobber arnoud)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 20.00    
3  MRS. KATZ Dec13 Nov27 Nov03 Sep28 Aug24 (contessa c)LEON SONNY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLOSSOMING Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 (alessi james)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
5  BOARDWALK FRIES Nov30 Oct16 Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 114 30.00    
6  TIKI BAR Dec18 Oct20 Sep11 Aug22 Jul31 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  RED WIND Dec20 Nov09 Oct18 Oct05 Sep28 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00 7% 14.30    
8  ROSE VIEW Dec04 Oct27 Oct04 Aug30 Jul27 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 110 12.00    
9  COVENANT LADY Oct17 Jul21 Jun18 May06 Apr13 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Nov30 Aug17 Jul25 Jun02 May18 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
11  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA Oct18 Sep29 Jul20 Jun21 May10 (ramse)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
TAM-9   12/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARPOON HARRY Nov30 Aug25 Aug11 May25 May01 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 8.00 14% 6.30    
2  GILDED AGE Nov23 Aug04 May27 May04 Mar20 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
3  LATE CALL Nov29 Oct31 Sep28 Sep02 Aug04 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
4  EJTIMAA Dec11 Nov29 Nov05 Apr12 Mar22 (dini mike)MARTINEZ W 114 15.00    
5  LONELY RIDE Nov30 Oct31 Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 (ryan s)CASTANON L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Dec20 Oct02 Aug31 Aug02 Jul17 (mendieta ale)MENESES MARCOS 115 30.00    
7  COPPERLITE Nov09 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 Jun01 (ramse)DIAZ RAFAEL 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  EDDIE THE GREAT Nov30 Nov03 Oct04 Sep07 Aug11 (simone micha)BATISTA A 116 12.00    
9  COACHES MEETING Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Sep05 Aug11 (sillaman richard)LEON SONNY 116 20.00    
10  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Dec04 Nov15 Oct14 Nov15 Oct17 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  MAX'S MAP Nov29 Oct10 Sep21 Aug31 Aug05 (arnett g)FERRER C 113 20.00    
12  MORE THAN WORK Nov30 Oct11 Sep17 Jul08 Jun17 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  STING MUSIC Nov08 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug09 (cordero ant)OLIVEROS CHARLE 111 12.00    
SCR  SCENIC JUSTICE Oct22 Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.