Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(6/3/5)-(2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(2/7)-(5/8/2/10/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/8/6)-(2/7/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(5/8/2/10/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(5/8/2/10/3)-(1/3/4/5/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/8/2/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/10/3)-(5/8/2/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/10/3)-(5/8/2/10/3)-(5/8/2/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/10/3)-(1/3/4/5/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/10/3)-(1/3/4/5/8)-(7/8/9/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/3/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5/8)-(1/3/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5/8)-(1/3/4/5/8)-(1/3/4/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5/8)-(7/8/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/8/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/11)-(7/8/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/11)-(7/8/9/11)-(7/8/9/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON JUAN BUBBA Dec02 Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 Jul07 (velasquez rigob)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00    
2  HEZADOOZIE Sep24 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARIZONA JEREMY May02 Apr15 Mar21 Apr22 Apr15 (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  CRYPTO CONSPIRACY Nov30 Nov14 Oct06 Sep08 Aug17 (valerio raymond)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
5  BENNIGAN Nov29 Nov14 Sep19 Sep07 Aug08 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 8.00    
6  POP D'ORO Dec02 Nov09 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
7  CODE FIVE Apr14 Mar14 Feb23 Dec10   (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
 
TUP-4   12/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER DANCE Sep06 Aug24 Aug03 Sep16   (freeman v)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
2  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Nov26 Nov18 Aug31 Aug11 Jul19 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50    
3  CLASSY LASS Nov29         (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  VALLEY ECHO Dec04 Sep06 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 4.50    
5  BANGIE GO Nov30 Aug24 Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNA PALABRA Nov26 Sep27 Aug24 Jul05 Apr24 (belvoir vann)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  CHARLEY PAINTS Dec04 Nov19 Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 119 12.00    
SCR  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW Nov12 Aug04 Jun29 Jun15 May01 (zimmerman)IRONEYES R 122 15.00    
 
TUP-5   12/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ALE Nov19 Jun30 Jun02 Apr30 Feb10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
2  DIAMOND RIM May10 Apr23 Feb29 Feb15 Jan29 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 122 4.00 61% 0.60    
3  THIRSTY Dec02 Apr23 Apr03 Mar12 Feb13 (alcoverde)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
4  QUEENS EFFORT Dec02 Nov13 Aug17 Aug04 May12 (cruz omar)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 20.00    
5  KINGDOM HEART May12 Mar14 Feb18 Jan29 Nov25 (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 3.00    
6  PLANE TALK Nov19 Sep26 Aug11 Aug01 Jun22 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★    
7  RUGGS Dec02 Aug04 Jun30 May27 May04 (ferguson curt)MOJICA O 124 5.00 8% 11.70    
8  PRAYER OF JABEZ Apr23 Mar14 Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 (kereluk ed)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   12/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORN POP Dec02 Nov13 Oct14 Oct04 Sep06 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
2  WINTER FALCON Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep21 Sep07 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 13% 7.00    
3  RAILWAY Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug09 Jul19 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ITS KRAKEN TIME Dec02 Nov18 Sep15 Aug30 Aug11 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 8.00    
5  CORNISHMAN Nov10 Sep14 Aug24 Jun30 May04 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  LAST MARTINI Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul06 Jun20 (wo)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00    
7  ARISTOCRACY Dec02 Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 Aug24 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 20.00    
8  BAD SNEAKERS Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 Jun16 Apr21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Nov25 Sep05 Aug08 Jun15 May24 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.50    
10  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Sep15 Aug11 Jul27 Jul03 Jun16 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 6% 15.60    
 
TUP-7   12/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 (kowalski liz)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  LESLIE CHOW Dec09 Nov13 Nov03 Oct24 Oct14 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 124 5.00    
3  POPULIST Dec05 Nov11 Sep09 Aug14 Jul20 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  WAR CHEST Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 Jul28 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Nov26 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Aug10 (whitehouse)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  STREET BEHAVIOR Dec05 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
7  ZUMURUDEE Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 Jul28 (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
8  SENSEMAKER Nov26 Sep01 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 (mccartney jack)MONTALVO C 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MARQUET MALICE Nov14 Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.50    
10  BEL RAGAZZO Nov26 Nov14 Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
SCR  ANTIBES Dec01 Nov03 Sep22 Sep13 May24 (williams )IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
SCR  ROBO WARRIOR Nov04 Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Nov29 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Feb15 (nelson amy)REYES R 121 12.00    
SCR  SILVER SECRET         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
SCR  LISA'S DOCTOR S Nov29 Nov14 Sep20 Jul25 Jul07 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00    
SCR  CLASSIC ALPHIE Nov29 Nov11 Oct04 Sep21 Aug15 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 121 3.00    
5  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Sep21 Sep15 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.00    
6  SET POINT (IRE) Nov02 Oct19 May02     (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
7  BOOP ME         (evans justin)MOJICA O 121 5.00 63% 0.60    
8  YANKEE TEA PARTY Dec03 Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 Jan29 (vitali ma)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 8% 11.10    
9  MOBLEY Nov29 Sep14       (carlson d)JENSEN P 124 8.00 5% 18.30    
10  MONGOLIAN NINJA Nov29 Apr23 Apr08 Nov04 Oct22 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
11  MARVELOUS MARK Apr18 Apr04 Mar28     (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.