Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(6/2/3)-(2/6/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/6/8/5)-(1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/10/5)-(2/6/8/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/8/5)-(1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/5)-(1/5/7)-(9/12/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(9/12/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(9/12/7/5)-(10/3/2/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (9/12/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/7/5)-(9/12/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/12/7/5)-(9/12/7/4/5)-(9/12/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/12/7/5)-(10/3/2/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/12/7/5)-(10/3/2/1/6)-(6/7/8/1) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (10/3/2/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/1/6)-(10/3/2/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/1/6)-(10/3/2/1/6)-(10/3/2/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/2/1/6)-(6/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2/1/6)-(6/7/8/1)-(4/9/6) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (6/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/1)-(4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/10/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/10/6/1)-(4/9/10/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC THE LEGEND Aug17 Aug01 Jul10 Jun10 May27 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
SCR  JENNY'S BEIGNET Sep03 Aug06 Jun11 May27 May08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00    
ROYAL ICING Sep06 Aug14 Jul05 Jun18 May21 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
COWBOY CHURCH Sep04 Aug01 Jul10 May13 May01 (duran a)DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
SCR  SECRETO DE AMORE Sep11 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 1.40    
DOLINSKI Aug26 May13 Apr23 Nov02 Oct05 (mcgovern )BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
FOREVER LASTING Sep06 Aug13 Jul11 Jun19 May06 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
SHAGBARK Sep09 Aug17 Jul09 Oct28 Oct04 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
IND-2   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN CHILL Aug12 Jul11 Apr07 Mar02 Jan05 (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
RAVIN'S TOWN Aug04 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 May18 (haran j)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
AZTECA'S GOLD Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 Apr16 Nov07 (lacroix gene)PARKER L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PORT ROYAL Aug05 Jul11 Jun19 May30 Apr30 (sanchez emma)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
GUIDED ARROW Aug27 Jul05 Mar14 Feb16 Dec30 (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 4.50    
ZIPPIN GIGI Aug29 Aug20 Jun28 May25 Apr18 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
SINNER'S SIN Jul11 Apr07 Feb24 Jan01 Oct12 (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 122 3.00    
 
IND-3   09/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($35.36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF THE PARTY         (west ethan)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 10.00    
GET AHEAD NOW Sep01 Aug18 Jun05 Apr30 Jan11 (wilkes r)ROMAN A 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
KAUAI BREEZE May08         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00    
MEMPHIS PHAROAH Aug15 Jul24 May05 Apr06 Mar15 (waltz bri)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
TRACK OF MY TEARS Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26   (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
D DAY REUNION Aug22 Jul11       (mcgovern sha)RAMOS D 120 15.00 21% 3.80    
ACTING DEBUT Sep01 Jul15 Jun08 Apr14   (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
BEE PLUS Sep07 Aug13 Dec23 Dec07   (crichton ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SNOW KING Aug13 Jun18 May04 Mar01 Feb09 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
10  GOLDENTOWN Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 Jun02 Apr19 (forster t)PARKER L 120 3.00    
11  AMENTUM Aug24 Jul28       (walsh bre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
12  MONEY MEMOLO Aug25 Jul29 Apr25 Feb15 Dec28 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY Aug14 Jun13 May23 Apr25   (pinzon maria)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
 
IND-4   09/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RODEO ZONE Sep04 Aug07 Jul09 Jun12 May16 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 0.80 38% 1.60    
TEXAS FREE Aug07 May20 Apr25     (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 5.00    
SCR  FUNTASTIC VOW Sep03 Jul29 Jul09 May01 Apr08 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.50    
MIKE'S CYCLONE Aug27 Jun24 Nov10 Oct23 Oct12 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
BAD BOY GEIST Sep04 Jul09 Jun18 May27 Apr24 (haran john)ROMAN A 122 10.00 24% 3.10    
THREE TWO RUN Aug22 Apr16 Nov17 Nov09 Oct09 (chavez sacra)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
EL MICHOACANO Sep04 Aug07 Jul09 Jun24 Jun08 (duran antonio)PARKER L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-5   09/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMAGINE THE MOON Sep03 Aug07 Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 5.00    
CHARGED LEGACY Aug06 Jun12 May21 Oct04 Sep06 (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 115 30.00    
SPLASH MASTER Feb17 Jan19 Nov19     (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 20.00    
GIRLS ARE TUFFER Sep03 Aug07 Jul18 Jun05 May06 (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00    
BEACH CRUISER Aug17 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Apr20 (ortiz ale)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL OF MY DREAMS Aug01 Jun13 May05 Apr07 Mar10 (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 118 1.80    
STELLA TERESA Aug23 Jun24 Jul13 Jun24 Jun01 (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  B FLAT OUT Sep05 Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 Jul02 (phillips ter)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 30.00    
MIDNIGHT GRIND Aug23 Jul18 Jul03 Feb21 Jan31 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 6.00 33% 2.00    
10  EVITA Aug21 Jul31 Jun13 May24 Apr27 (meah m)SERPA ANGEL 122 15.00    
11  FLUENT Jul13 May18 Jun18 Mar26 Feb20 (drury t)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
12  SICKLE DANCE Jun18 Dec21 Nov24 Sep02 Aug18 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 27% 2.70    
 
IND-6   09/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL MO Sep04 Aug17 Jul03 Jun12 Mar04 (orantes r)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 13% 7.00    
BROWN LIQUOR MAN Aug01 Jul06 Jun08 Apr25 Mar23 (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
BRIT'S WIT Aug17 Jul15 Jun06 May16 Jul06 (maker j)PARKER L 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  HUGE BIGLY Jul14 Jun07 Apr05 Mar21 Feb02 (shorter aaro)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
NAVY SOUL Aug18 Jul14 Jun07 May16 Apr14 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00    
QUOKKA Aug23 Jul25 Jun13 Apr26 Mar09 (blair j)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
NIP N TUCK Sep04 Aug05 Jul16 Jun20 Jun08 (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 6.00    
HYDRO FROST Aug18 Jul29 Jun07 May11 Apr20 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 122 20.00    
LIAM THE BRAVE Aug19 Jun21 May12 Apr11 Mar21 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00    
10  BIZZEE CHANNEL Sep04 Jul12 Jun23 May17 Mar10 (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
 
IND-7   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACKLIN FUEL Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jun20 Jun10 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
GREEWHIZ Aug27 Aug08 Jul09 Jun20 Jun05 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 6.00    
SLINK Aug27 Jul31 Jul02 Jun11 May28 (short z)DE CRUZ 117 20.00    
OIL MAN Aug06 Jul06 Jun19 Jun06 May22 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 117 5.00    
HOLIDAY CITY Aug20 Jul31 Jul16 Jun19 Jun08 (gonzalez l)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 15.00    
HAWKEYE (IRE) Aug06 Jul06 Jun05 May22 Sep06 (haran john)ROMAN A 117 1.20 37% 1.70    
DIGGER DALE Aug27 Aug08 Jul06 Jun04 Nov13 (granitz anth)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 4.00 34% 1.90    
LIGHTING FIGHTER Aug27 Aug06 Jun20 Jun04 May13 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 12.00 6% 15.50    
 
IND-8   09/19/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 May30 (jarvis ka)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
FIRST CROWNED Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 Jul04 Jun19 (sanchez em)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 30.00    
SCR  YOLO SANTIAGO Aug17 Nov14 Nov02 Oct17 Sep14 (labra rog)CORREA L 122 30.00    
FIREWATER JAKE Sep04 Aug01 Jun08 Mar10 Feb08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
MAKE IT SPEND IT Aug22 Jul15 May19 Apr26 Feb11 (sanchez emma)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 30.00    
DOG RED Aug14 Jul03 Jun06 May13 Apr21 (cunningham s)RAMOS D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
INDIGO RICH Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun18 (riley donna)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00    
J'S NAUGHTY BOY Sep09 Aug06 Jun10 Jan04 Nov30 (elliott)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
JURA Sep04 Aug21 Jun21 Feb03 Dec20 (meah m)SERPA ANGEL 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
10  EPIMYTHIUM Sep03 Aug20 Jul15 Jun20 May30 (hayes s)PARKER L 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.