Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(6/4/1)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/4/2)-(4/7/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/6/8)-(3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/8)-(3/1/4)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1/4/2)-(2/8/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUT WORK'N Aug21 Jul26 Jun26 May03 Oct11 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 8.00    
LUCK OF THE DRAW Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 Jun12 May23 (delacruz meji)SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50    
MR CLINE Aug22 Jul22 Jul05 Jun01 May10 (cline c)BUSH V 123 5.00    
NUEVO AMANECER Aug23 Jul13 Jul03 Jun08 May29 (salas marceli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUPREME SONG Aug28 Aug09 Nov29 Oct03 Sep14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
BUZZER Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun01 May25 (baez sergio)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug22 Jul19 Jun07 May17 Apr27 (delong ben)MURGIA A 125 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
BTP-2   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRIFUGAL FORCE Aug08 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 May10 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAST FELIX Aug17 Jun06 May23 May02 Apr25 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.50    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 Jul06 Mar28 (short travis )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
AMICABLE (IRE) Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul10 Dec17 (vaughn terry)MURGIA A 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
SHAMMAH Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun06 May23 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
PLATINUM GHOST Aug04 Jul04 May26 Apr27 Mar10 (molloy thomas)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
BTP-3   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIPOSA DE PISTA Aug28 Jul17 Jun14 May22 May03 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.50    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
CERTAIN VICTOR E Aug26 Jun26       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ELKE by DIXIE UNION)
MALEAH Aug10 Jul19       (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 120 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by MITOLE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
GOOD LOOKING Aug28 Jul17 Jun24 May13 Apr24 (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOWN FLIRT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
RUN IN GOLD Aug28 Jul30 Jun29     (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
SCR  TRUE COMPANION Jul17 Jul04 Jun15     (dailey ronald)BUSH V 120 6.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARTING SHOT by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
BTP-4   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY SIS Aug16 Jul31 Jul17 Jun29 Jun06 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 122 5.00    
PINK SHOELACES Aug24 Jul24 Jun23 Apr14 Mar24 (ashmore m)HESS SARA 117 8.00 11% 8.00    
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Aug28 May23 May04 Apr11 Mar28 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
JANUARY JUBILEE Jul06 May01 Apr14 Mar21 Jan12 (hartman chris)NAVAS YOEL 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
YOGURT Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 Jun05 (short billy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00    
LONG BLACK VEIL Aug14 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 122 4.50    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun18 (ocasio osvald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
Q BOND Aug15 Jul25 Jun21 Jun13 May17 (alvarez ner)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00    
 
BTP-5   09/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL ARMOR Aug03 Jun20 Jun06 May15 Apr16 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 116 3.50    
  (by BLAME out of MISS TATTLE TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
MUCHO GRANDE Aug01 Jul04 Jun06     (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of AES SEDAI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
INTERVAL         (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LENGTH by WAR FRONT)
LINESMAN May04 Mar02 Jan20     (ramos rafae)JIMENEZ J 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SPRING ECLIPSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
AHUMADO Aug27         (meredith char)CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEN'S HONOR by BEN BULBEN)
QUEBRANCHO Aug26 Jul13 Jun19 May26 Apr12 (bahena ismael)SOSA LAUREANO 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of OCEAN BERTIE by POSSE)
READY TO REIGN Aug22 Jun18 May06     (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of DARK WOMAN by PRIVATE THOUGHTS)
COACH PETRO Aug01 Jun06 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR  ONORE Aug15 Oct25 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 8.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
 
BTP-6   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 2 F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POOTOOGOOK Aug21 Jul30 Jun28     (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
LOOKATMYBUCKLE Aug28 Aug17 Aug05 Jun26 Apr26 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 2.00    
KID MATTIE MATT Jul17 Jun15       (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.50 40% 1.50    
SPEED COLLECTOR Aug01 Jul17 Jun15     (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUN CAMILA RUN Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 May13 Apr07 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 119 3.50    
HEAVENLY CHARM Aug14 Jul17 Jun29     (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 121 8.00    
 
BTP-7   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE TIME Aug12 Jun27 May25 May17 Apr25 (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Aug23 Aug09 Jul16 Jun03 May15 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
PURE ELEGANCE Aug29 Aug09 Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 4.50    
MISS MOON PIE Jun29 Jun16 May28 Mar13 Feb10 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
TAMI ANN Jul25 Jun27 Jun14 May17 Mar02 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Aug14 Aug01 Jul03 Jun26 Jun15 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.00    
 
BTP-8   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATNAPPING Sep04 Aug17 Jun28 Jun12 May31 (aguirre juan )SOSA LAUREANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
G'DAY LADY Aug01         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
CORTADO Aug15 Jul11 Jul05 Jun20 Jul13 (salas marceli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.00    
BLOSSOM DIVA Aug29 Aug07 Jun28 Jun12 May30 (quezada i)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 6.00    
BINGO'S DREAM Aug31 Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 116 5.00    
ROYAL ITCH Jul18 Jun28 Jun14 May23 May16 (wilson jr)MURGIA A 121 4.50    
RUNNETH OVER Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 May30 (bates l)BUSH V 124 12.00    
GUSSY         (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  LIGHTNING MELODY Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 May26 Feb16 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.