Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/5)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/1/6/3)-(3/7/4/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/3/7/2)-(3/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE BLOOMBOPPER Jul31 Jul18 Jun05 Dec30 Dec13 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
2  BUCKEYE SUZY Jul31         (adams l)HESS SARA 115 4.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  GOGO NEV'S Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May11   (campos paulo)MEZA JOSE 120 3.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
4  RAVEN'S HONOR Jul31         (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 17% 4.70    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
5  MY CARMELITA Jul18 Jul03       (antonuik jerry)MURGIA A 124 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by BIG ATLANTIC out of MY MARGARITA by TIZDEJAVU)
 
BTP-2   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVE SKIPPER Jul03 May28 Mar15 Feb01 Jan03 (greenhill jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHIQUITA MOSCA Jul27 Jul17 Jun30 Jun22 Mar28 (bahena ismael)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00    
3  NEVER TELL PATTI Jul24 May05 May18 Apr01 Mar02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 1.80 72% 0.40    
4  JACKIE'S LOVE May09 Apr11 Feb01 Dec21 Nov05 (butcher j)BEALMEAR C 117 3.50    
5  EVITA Jul31 Jun13 May24 Apr27 Mar16 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 117 3.00 ★    
 
BTP-3   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DEAR VALENTINE Aug09         (salcedo ramon)SOSA LAUREANO 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MY DEAR OPAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Aug02         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 120 3.50 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
3  SHAMANS IMAGE Aug02 Jul20 Jul03 Jun05 Dec30 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 3.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
4  SUPER SCAMP Jul03 Jun05 Apr01 Mar14 Feb24 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 124 4.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of LIEGE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
5  MS. DEBBIE ALAN Oct30 Sep27 Sep05     (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MRS. DEBBIE M by WAR CHANT)
 
BTP-4   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLIN MAKER Mar16 Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
2  MOONLIGHT JOKER Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun01 May18 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.00    
3  GRAN ROJO May29 May09 May31 Oct20 Sep14 (jordan rick)ROSARIO L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Jul31 Jul12 Jun11 Apr30 Mar27 (cannon steve)BUSH V 123 4.50 41% 1.40    
5  SOURNOIS Aug09 Jul24 Nov21 Oct29 Oct16 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00    
6  BEACH FRONT Aug03 Jul19 Jun21 May23 May10 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 2.50 7% 13.60    
7  GREENSFELDER Aug09 Jul03 Jun21 May24 Apr21 (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00    
 
BTP-5   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASERTA Jul18         (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00    
2  MY KATIE Aug07 Jul26       (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BINGO'S DREAM Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (mendieta alej)SOSA LAUREANO 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  CHIC N DA WADDA Aug07 Jul12 Jun11 May19   (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 Sep26 Sep05 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 124 2.50    
6  CHICA LINDA Jul24 Apr27       (huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00    
7  STORY CHANNEL Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 Jun01 Dec11 (monday kevin)JURADO EDDIE 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
BTP-6   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESOTHO Aug02 Jul03 Jun05 Aug12 Jul22 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 120 1.80    
SCR  SHARP E Jul25 Jul03       (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50    
3  FANCIFUL Jul25 Feb01 Jan27 Nov14 Oct28 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.00 57% 0.80    
4  LACY QUEEN Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 May24 Jan24 (aguirre jua)JIMENEZ J 122 5.00    
5  SHADY BABY Jul25 May15 Mar27 Mar12 Feb20 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   08/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jul26 May23 Mar13 Feb10 Jan17 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 117 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 May29 Dec16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 1.80    
2  ONE RED CENT Aug12 Jul17 Jun29 Jun13 May30 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  STRIDE Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 Sep23 Aug04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
4  HELLO HOT ROD Aug01 Jul17 Nov24 Oct14 Sep09 (caramori caio)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50    
5  OUT WORK'N Jul26 Jun26 May03 Oct11 Sep08 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  DRIFTWOOD Jun27 May30 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
7  JURA Jun21 Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 Oct24 (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  ROARING FORTIES Jul06 Jun01 Jan21 Oct29 Sep30 (vassilieva katerina)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
 
BTP-8   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BANKER MAN Jul31 Jul05 Jun22 Jun12 Nov14 (barrett grant)SOSA LAUREANO 125 10.00    
2  BENITO Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 125 6.00    
3  SOUTHERN BREEZE Aug10 Jul20 Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 2.50 77% 0.30    
4  PEACEAFTERTHUNDER Aug08 Jul20 Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 (smith mike )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  UTOPIAN TREASURE Aug08 Jul20 Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50 ★    
6  ENDOW Jul31 Jul20 Jul10 Jun22 Jun05 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  BALAMOR Jul20 Jan26 Jan11 Dec28 Nov17 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 5.00    
SCR  I JUST DON'T NO Aug08 Jul16       (jones l)SERPA ANGEL 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.