Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/4/3)-(8/2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(8/2/3/6)-(6/1/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (8/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/6)-(6/1/4/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/6)-(6/1/4/9)-(2/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/9)-(6/1/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/9)-(6/1/4/9)-(6/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/9)-(2/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/9)-(2/7/8)-(2/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(2/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(2/8/1)-(4/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(4/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(4/2/7)-(5/10/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(5/10/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/2)-(5/10/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/10/2)-(5/10/4/7/2)-(5/10/4/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOMER JONES Jul02 Apr27 Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 (trombett)MARTINEZ A 118 1.80    
2  CAMILO Jun26 Jun04 Feb02 Jan06 Nov10 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  DIZZY KITTY Jul02 Aug12 Jul22 Jun21 Jun02 (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 115 3.00    
4  SPERANZAS WILL Jun25 Jun07 May12 Jul26 Jun22 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00    
5  EXPRESS STAR Jul09 Jun18 May21 Oct05 Sep20 (miller henry)AYALA J 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  HIGH STAKES Jul03 May26 May05 Feb18 Jan25 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   07/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONI MARIE Jul04         (stephen )GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of MALIBU ROYALTY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TESSITURA         (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of OCTAVE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  LIZZIE BABY         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of SCENE QUEEN by BERNSTEIN)
4  HAZARD PAY Jun17 May29       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
5  ART NOUVEAU Jul03         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  COURAGEOUS ARI Jul03 Jun17 Jun05     (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
7  ICONA MAMA         (stites f)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CLASSE SIGNORA by BERNSTEIN)
 
PID-3   07/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERLAN Jul02 Apr06 Mar13 Feb17 Feb03 (kleine bernar)DELGADO DAVID 122 10.00    
2  LEONARD'S LEGACY Jul03 Jun12 Jun03 Oct26 Oct09 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
3  BEAR CREEK Jul15 Jun24 Jun12 May21 Mar17 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 115 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  JOE PHILLIPS Jul10 Jun21 May29 May10 Mar30 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00    
5  CLEMSON TIGER Jul03 Oct18 Sep21 Sep11 Aug28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
6  WHERE YOU WAS Oct23 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KHOZANDO Jul02 Jun10 May29 May21 Apr17 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50    
8  YARDMAN Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 Feb05 Jan18 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
PID-4   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARAK Jun24 Jun03 Mar23 Feb21 Jan24 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jun05 May21 Oct12 Sep21 Sep11 (musarro joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
3  GIANT PAYDAY Jun19 May28 May21 Oct24 Oct18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
4  TEMPLET Jul04 Jun12 May28 Oct07 Sep10 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 7% 13.30    
5  SECRETARY OF WAR Jul04 Jun19 Mar29 Mar02 Feb07 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
6  HAIG POINT Mar16 Feb07 Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  EL SOLITARIO Jul08 Jun12 May28 Oct24 Sep27 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00    
SCR  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Jul02 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Mar05 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
9  BLUEBERRY Jul04 Jun24 Jun03 Nov29 Oct26 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSCRUTABLE Jul15 Jun28 Jun15 May19 Nov16 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 117 5.00 ★    
2  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jul02 Jun25 Jun10 May27 May20 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  HOLD MY BEER BRO Jun26 Jun10 May12 Mar22 Mar01 (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 118 15.00    
4  ROBO WARRIOR Jul03 Jun05 May22 Mar12 Feb27 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 12.00    
5  BANDOOLA Jun25 May27 Apr13 Mar16 Feb24 (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 15.00    
6  SHY DA RUNNER Jul03 Jun12 May20 Jan11 Oct25 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
7  SPY NOVEL Jun25 Jan31 Apr28 Apr01 Feb23 (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
8  UNCLE KENNY Jul03 Jun18 May28 Feb02 Dec27 (potts g)WALKER M 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEECHNUT TROPHY Mar30 Jan27 Dec26 Aug31 Apr22 (ramsey nolan)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) Jun06 Mar23 Feb24 Dec30   (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  SHE'S DANCING Jun18 Jun04 May22 Mar08 Aug27 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
4  YANKEE DOLLAR Jun22 Apr11 Mar14 Feb19 Dec23 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
5  VALENTINA DAY Jun13 Apr21 Mar08 Aug19 Jul23 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 4.00    
SCR  SHE'S FIRE Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 May27 Nov04 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00    
7  BULSARA Mar22 Feb24 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 (toye lin)WALKER M 122 12.00    
8  SAND AND SEA May25 May06 Jan27 Dec31 Dec03 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 28% 2.60    
 
PID-7   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hard Spun Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jul04 Jun24 Jun05 May02 Apr19 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of SUBPOENA by TRICKY CREEK)
2  GOING UP Jul10 Jun17 May22 Oct23 Sep26 (potts g)ALLEN D 116 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
3  FIERCE AND STRONG Jun19 May31 May09 Oct26 Oct17 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
4  NICE ACE Jun24 May27 Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of A LADY WITH AN ACE by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  PAYNTED WARRIOR Jul01 Jun05 May27 Oct18 Sep12 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 118 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SULETA by PAYNTER)
6  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jun24 Jun05 May17 Apr21 Oct23 (trombett)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 ★    
  (by CONGRATS out of EXTRA SEXY PSYCHIC by FREUD)
7  HE'S A MESS Jun17 May31 Apr27 Apr07 Mar02 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
8  TWILIGHT DANCER Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 Feb19 Jan30 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 114 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
 
PID-8   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE BARONESS Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 Oct10 Sep28 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
2  SO MOXIE Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 May21 Apr19 (kleine bernar)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOWN TO EARTH Jul04 Jun19 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 20.00    
4  SONG OF INDY Jul04 Jun19 May21 Aug29 Aug09 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 8.00 ★    
5  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May22 Feb11 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
6  RUNAWAY BREEZE Jul02 Jun07 May04 Apr13 Mar21 (stokes lance)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00    
7  CHEROKEE CHATTER Jul02 Jun11 May22 Oct12 Sep27 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
8  STRAIGHT MADNESS Jul10 Jun11 Oct25 Oct11 Oct04 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 30.00    
9  WILD LOOKER Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May21 Apr19 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
10  KATESALUCKYGIRL Jul04 May29 Jul12 Jun13 May23 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.