Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(1/5/7/6)-(8/5/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(8/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(8/5/1/9)-(7/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (8/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/9)-(8/5/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/9)-(8/5/1/9)-(8/5/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/9)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/9)-(7/3/1)-(3/12/9) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(3/12/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(3/12/9)-(7/11/1/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-5   WIN (3/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/12/9)-(3/12/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/12/9)-(3/12/9)-(3/12/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/12/9)-(7/11/1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/12/9)-(7/11/1/3/2)-(9/10) 30 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-6   WIN (7/11/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/1/3/2)-(7/11/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/1/3/2)-(7/11/1/3/2)-(7/11/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/11/1/3/2)-(9/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/11/1/3/2)-(9/10)-(7/9/4/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-7   WIN (9/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/10)-(9/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/10)-(7/9/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/6)-(7/9/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/6)-(7/9/4/6/2)-(7/9/4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S ALL ELLIE Jun20 Jun08 Aug01     (elliott michelle)PARKER L 121 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
MISS MONROE COUNTY         (lovell miche)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LITTLE SANDY by BRILLIANT SANDY)
SCR  DON'T LOOK BACK Jun06 May14 Apr18 Mar23   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 121 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELOPE by GONE WEST)
VINO IN FLORENCE May30         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUIRKY by BERNARDINI)
NOTA BELLE Dec20 Oct25 Oct12     (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of COULD BE MAGIC by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
U AIN'T THAT LUCKY Jun06         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 32% 2.20    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEEKING LUCK by SEEKING THE GOLD)
ADALENE Jun20 May23 Mar09 Feb22 Jan31 (salas f)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET ON SMOKEY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DARK FURY Jun06 Apr27       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 6% 17.10    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of OAKS LILY by BADGE OF SILVER)
 
IND-2   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR MARSHAL Jun26 May14 May01 Apr08 Dec01 (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
WISHY WASHY May21 Apr24 Nov09 Sep21 Sep05 (spraggins)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00    
BINGE Jun11 May08 Apr08 Mar08 Jan25 (davis jos)CORREA L 119 12.00    
MIKIE O'PRADO Jun11 Sep13 Aug30 Jul13 Jun20 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 119 10.00    
FOREVER LASTING Jun19 May06 Apr23 Nov08 Oct03 (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 1.80 16% 5.10    
COMMANDO JOE May21 Dec21 Nov26 Oct28 Sep12 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KINGOFTHERAINBOW Jun08 May21 Mar27 Feb14 Jan27 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
IND-3   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM TRAVELER Jun08 May21 Apr23 May30 May17 (wittek ka)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
SILENT SONATA Jun26 May30 May07 Nov15 Nov02 (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
SCR  CLASSIC EXPRESS Jul06 Jun10 May27     (leonard geor)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00    
SHIESTY TO CHASE Jun08 May27 Nov15 Oct23 Oct03 (langemeier j)MORALES JOSHUA 118 8.00    
ANCHOR MANNE May22 Jul08 Jun21 May10 Apr20 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  EASY OPERATOR Jun08 Apr08 Mar10 Feb09 Jan06 (londono geneviev)PRESCOTT R 122 4.00    
MEDAL OF VALOR Jun25 Jun08 May07 Aug15   (leonard george)ROMAN A 120 8.00    
HUMBLE WARRIOR Jun08 May22 May16 Mar16 Mar01 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 51% 0.90    
PAYNTER'S CANVAS Jul03 Jun08 May16 Nov16 Nov07 (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-4   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORT ROYAL Jun19 May30 Apr30 Apr12 Mar22 (sanchez emma)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  METALLIC MAN May29 Apr23 Nov17 Nov08 Oct04 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00    
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE May29 May14 Apr16 Sep12 Aug18 (spraggins)BERMUDEZ E 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
HOLIDAY HOUSE May29 May16 May04 Apr12 Mar30 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00    
SINNER'S SIN Apr07 Feb24 Jan01 Oct12 Aug26 (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50    
SCR  ZAPPINIT Jun26 Jun05 May04 Apr08 Feb07 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 119 6.00    
HEART N SOUL Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Nov16 Oct25 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00 42% 1.40    
 
IND-5   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHASING KITTY May02 Apr06 Mar08 Jan26 Dec29 (bindner walt)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTEN'S SLEW by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  FRENCH BREAD Jun20 Apr24 Mar16 Feb17 Dec28 (bicknell whitney)PARKER L 124 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SATURDAY LONG LEGS Jun20 May30 Apr24 Jan27 Dec28 (frazier matt)MOJICA O 124 10.00 41% 1.40    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
D DAY REUNION         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SILVER REUNION by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  ENGLISH CHUNNEL Jun16         (catalano )BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTERROGATION by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MERLIN'S MAGIC Sep14 Aug31       (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of BLUE WHALE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
ANGLICAN May29 Mar10       (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
SCR  CHANNEL Z Jun05 May13 Apr24 Mar22 Mar13 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 124 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ZOUZOU by UNKNOWN)
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER May18         (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  DADDY'S DINERO Mar08 Jan05 Oct24 Sep25   (vaughan e)BEALMEAR C 113 30.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  POLYGLOT Jun20 May30 Feb24 Jan27 Dec28 (estvanko )CORREA L 124 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MULTILINGUAL by DANSILI (GB))
12  HOT WINGS May08 Jan31 Dec21 Nov18 Oct14 (correas ignaci)ROMAN A 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
  (by CUPID out of DAEDAL by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
IND-6   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V TU BRUTUS Jun12 May21 Jan04 Dec15 Oct05 (gonzalez agustin )PEREZ E 122 20.00 5% 18.50    
NIGHT LIVIN Jun25 Jun06 May20 Apr30 Apr16 (labra rogeli)FIGUEROA JOVAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
Z'S LUCKY GIRL Jun06 Oct19 Jul05 May30 May06 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BREAKUP WITH TITOS Jun24 Jun06 May08 Nov08 Oct19 (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
K S GERALDINE Jun14 Nov13 Oct28 Sep15 Aug29 (douglass d)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 30.00    
HARD TRUTH WINS Jun06 May20 Apr30 Apr17 Oct28 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 4.50    
UNBRIDLED DEVINE Jun24 May29 Aug22 Aug01 Jul15 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
NO JOKING MATTER Jun10 May21 Nov16 Oct16 Sep25 (gonzalez li)ROMERO M 112 3.50    
PASSIONFORJUSTICE May20 Apr30 Nov08 Oct28 Oct04 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 119 5.00    
10  ANJAWAY Jun06 May08 Oct19 Oct04 Aug22 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 12.00    
11  BEREA Jun06 May08 Nov08 Oct28 Oct19 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
IND-7   07/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS May23 Mar13 Feb10 Jan17 Dec20 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
MARIA'S REVENGE May23 Apr24 Mar09 Feb10 Dec31 (sancal )DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
LIVI ME DREAMING Feb01 Dec31 Dec03 Oct10 Sep20 (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SPARKLING STAR (PER)         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
SCR  YARBOROUGH Jun13 May04 Apr04 Mar01 Jan21 (reed r)ROMAN A 122 3.50    
SCR  BAG LADY May11 Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 Jan01 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
SCR  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY May30 Apr27 Oct11     (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  BIG BRASS BED Jun01 Mar03 Jan27 Jul23 Jun22 (walsh brenda)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Jun12 Nov23 Oct15 Sep03 Aug04 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 45% 1.20    
10  PEACOCK ROAD May28 May07 Mar20 Mar06 Feb09 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STAR WISHER Oct26 Oct11 Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00    
 
IND-8   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARING Jun20         (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
U R NOT THE FATHER Jun19 Jun04 May13 Apr24   (richardville )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 15.00    
INSTINCTUALLY Jun08 May01 Apr17 Oct18   (mullins scot)MORALES JOSHUA 120 12.00    
GET ME ONE TOO Jun08 May21 Apr30     (nance jon)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
SWIFT RELIEF Jun08 May23 Sep08     (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
MAMA'S BOY Jun08 May01 Apr16 Jun17 May15 (mullins scott )ROMAN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC IN MOTION Jun08 May23 May07 Apr30 Apr17 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 0.80 53% 0.90    
YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Jun13 May23 May01 Apr16 Nov09 (donjuan)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE Jun05 May16 Apr24 Oct31 Oct18 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.50 17% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.