Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/5/4)-(1/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/3/7)-(4/10/11) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(4/10/11) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(4/10/11)-(3/6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/10/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/11)-(4/10/9/11) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/10/11)-(4/10/9/11)-(4/10/9/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/10/11)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/10/11)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/5)-(3/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/5)-(3/2/7)-(5/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(5/4/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(5/4/8)-(2/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8)-(5/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/8)-(2/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Jun19 Jun04 May21 Oct18 Oct10 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 5.00    
2  VELOCE Jun19 May28 May21 May04 Apr21 (herringt)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  EL SOLITARIO Jun12 May28 Oct24 Sep27 Sep03 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EPIC (ARG) Jun25 Jun03 Oct11 Jun28 May31 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00    
5  ADIOS BOBBY Jun25 Jun05 Jan04 Dec20 Nov20 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  SIR TERRE Jun05 May02 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 (cheeks katy)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00    
 
PID-2   07/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT IN THE DOG Jun11 May27 Oct25 Oct16   (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
2  REGAL MISS Jun24 Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Jan04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.00 ★    
3  PEDDLING HOPE Jun12         (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 120 8.00    
4  GIO'S MY DAD Jun24 May28 May06 Dec26 Dec11 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  METANOIA Jun24 Jun08 May06 May12 Apr26 (uhacz wendy)SERPA ANGEL 124 4.00 8% 11.30    
6  VERSACE SUMMER Jun24 Jun11 May22 Oct16 Oct03 (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 120 12.00    
7  BET THE HOWES Jun24 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00    
 
PID-3   07/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Jun24 Apr12 Mar02 Feb14 Dec23 (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  MISS FOXANN Jun26 May03 Apr14 Mar28 Mar09 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50    
3  STARSHIP BELMONT Jun08 Mar22 Mar02 Feb10 Dec08 (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  CARMEL SUNRISE Jun18 Feb11 Jan20 Nov04 Oct07 (lucas bonnie)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
5  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Jun18 Apr13 Mar16 Jan26 Nov04 (lucas bo)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
SCR  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jun24 Jun03 May20 Oct23 Sep27 (williams oman)ROJAS MARTINA 122 8.00    
7  SHORESY Jun24 Jun04 May16 Oct03 Sep21 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   07/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' NELSON         (ruberto louis )ALLEN D 120 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of POTENTIAL DIVA by SUAVE)
SCR  SPEIGHT THE SNOW         (potts g)WALKER M 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
3  SAKI BOMB         (walsh colleen)DELGADO DAVID 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CACTUS KRIS by CACTUS RIDGE)
4  TIME FOR RESTRAINT Jun19         (danner k)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by TIMELINE out of MOONLITEDISCRETION by DISCREET CAT)
5  AND THATS MY STORY Jun19         (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 20.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  DRUNKLE         (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  DANCING ON AIR Jun19 Jun05       (uhacz wendy)SERPA ANGEL 120 4.50    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
8  SNOWSTORM (GB) Jun19         (potts g)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
9  HIGHS N LOWS         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of STAR WHITE by NAEVUS)
10  IMPROBABILITY         (morey william)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  GOOD DIRECTIONS         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS SAMMY by TALE OF EKATI)
 
PID-5   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW SWEET SHE IS May26 Apr20 Mar01 Oct24 Oct06 (trombett)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 8% 11.70    
2  IMMORTALLOVE Jun17 Mar31 Feb17 Dec20 Oct24 (gonzalez alda)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
3  AWATEA Jun04 May02 Aug18     (mott ril)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
4  SOLAIR Jun17 May27 Dec27 Dec06 Oct28 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
5  RED WREN Jun11 May27 Apr21 Mar09 Jan03 (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEAVEN RULES Jun26 Jul10       (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
7  BOYNE VALLEY Jun11 Jan17 Dec06 Nov11   (heath destin)ALENCAR WALBER 118 15.00    
 
PID-6   07/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I RECALL Sep26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 May22 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.50    
2  COULD BE A COUGAR Jun20 May31 Apr22 Mar07 Feb08 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
3  WELL INTO May06 May19 Apr08 Mar12 Jan22 (thomas jonath)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  NO CHALK Jun18 May27 May07 Nov08 Sep19 (iorio jr)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00    
5  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Jun02 Oct13 Sep16 Aug27 Jul02 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
6  SHE'S FIRE Jun25 Jun17 May27 Nov04 Oct15 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.50    
7  SINGLE LADY Apr24 Apr03 Mar11 Feb13 Feb01 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   07/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Malvern Rose Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MODAROSA Jun17 May18 Nov02     (mott riley)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  CARMELINA Jun16 May17 Apr06 Mar02 Dec30 (reid e)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
3  ROCK N REWARD Jun11 May29 Oct02 Sep20   (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LUST FOR DIAMONDS by STREET BOSS)
4  FLAMINGO WAY May20 Nov22 Nov08     (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of MIA by REGAL CLASSIC)
5  BACK FORTY Jun20 May29 May09 Mar15 Feb08 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
6  AIROSILVER AWAY May11 Mar29 Oct21 Sep22   (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 119 15.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  FLEUR DELACOUR Jun26 Jun17 Dec20 Dec02 Oct25 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
8  GREAVETTE Jun08 Apr12 Nov04 Oct16 Sep07 (begg jam)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
 
PID-8   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTIN' THE RUT Jun24 Jun05 Oct11 Sep27 Sep12 (carr-rozantz )WALKER M 122 8.00    
2  GOLDEN SODA Jun05 May21 Oct26 Oct09 Sep06 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  BACKDOORPARTY Jun24 Oct26 Oct16 Sep21 Jul25 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Jun24 Jun05 Oct19 Oct05 Sep25 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 5.00 ★    
5  GET ALONG Jun24 Sep27 Sep04 Aug13 Jul04 (buhrow d)LOPEZ DERECK 112 20.00    
SCR  RANSEUR Jul01 Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr07 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 1.80    
7  UNCLE JOCK Jun24 Jun10 May22 Jan26 Dec29 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
8  GOLDEN OAK Jun03 May21 Apr30 Apr23 Nov26 (schneider kim)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.