Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/3/4)-(4/1/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/1/2/8)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/6/8)-(4/1/2/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/2/8)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/8)-(1/6/4)-(3/1/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/1/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/1/9/8)-(8/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/8)-(3/1/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/8)-(3/1/9/8)-(3/1/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/9/8)-(8/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/9/8)-(8/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/11) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/11)-(2/8/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/11)-(4/3/1/10/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/11)-(4/3/1/10/11)-(4/3/1/10/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/1/11)-(2/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7/9)-(2/8/1/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY PLEASE Jan24 Oct18 Sep28     (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50    
NEVER WALK ALONE Jun06 May10 Apr20 Sep02 Aug13 (ceciliano misa)GALVAN JHAIR 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
MOUSE TO MOUSE May17         (tobin l)ADAMS L 109 5.00 12% 7.70    
HEY MACARENA Jun06 May17 Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
SARAH'S PRIDE Nov22 Nov07 Oct25 Aug16 Jul19 (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 124 30.00    
GOLDEN RUN May17 Apr20 Apr04 Mar27 Mar13 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
STATELY APRIL Jun06 May16 Apr25 Apr04 Mar27 (rose j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 1.80    
 
CT-2   06/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVERFOLD May25 May03 Apr14 Nov30 Nov18 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
ONE CANDY CASTLE May25 May02 Apr19 Mar21 Mar01 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
DIRECT THE SHOW Jun08 May18 May02 Apr06 Mar20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
OCEAN STORM Jun01 May25 May10 May03 Apr19 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOON FALL May24 Apr13 Mar14 Dec13 Nov30 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
JEFFERSON SECURITY May25 Mar13 Feb08 Nov11 Nov02 (carson la)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 30.00    
DOCTOR PARDO May25 May03 Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00    
 
CT-3   06/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST WEEKEND Jun07 May23 May09 Apr19 Mar29 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jun03 May03 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCARE DEM May09 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
SAM WHEAT May25 Apr27 Apr18     (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
IRISH FLIGHT Apr12 Mar01 Feb03 Jan04 Nov24 (espinosa m)CULLUM W 122 30.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK May31 May18 Apr19 Apr13 Mar13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
AGAIN WE MEET May04 Apr11 Mar21 Feb22 Jan31 (sewell lenwor)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
HOT FUDGE SONDE May10 Apr18 Mar23 Mar14 Feb23 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY YEARS May31 May03 Nov06 Sep19 Aug22 (calhoun aman)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
 
CT-4   06/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JLODIAMOND Apr27 Mar16 Nov24 Nov02   (rangel )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 1.20 51% 1.00    
MAMA MARGE Feb24 Nov22 Oct14 Sep22 Jul20 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00    
BET YOUR BOOTS Apr20 Feb17 Jan03 Nov15   (groves janice)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
SLEWING Nov10 Sep30 Aug19 Jun30 Mar25 (groves janice)MAWING A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
REMY'S HOTSHOT May23 Nov22 Sep21 Aug31   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.50    
O K SMARTY PANTS Mar22 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov17 (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
CT-5   06/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE BAD May04 Apr18 Feb10 Nov30 Nov16 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
FREE DROP BACH May23 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
COLT ROCK Jun04 May03 Apr18 Mar23 Mar02 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  FIRST CROWNED May18 May07 Apr23 Nov14 Nov02 (sanchez emma)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
ANGEL OF ATTACK Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 May29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
REMYS GUNSMOKE May03 Mar21 Feb23 Dec16 Jan19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS May18 Apr26 Apr06 Mar14 Feb22 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR May09 Apr13 Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUBA BOUND May17 May04 Apr18 Mar16 Mar02 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  Z MYSTIQUE May04 Apr06 Mar14 Feb22 Feb10 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   06/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTED DREAMS May30 May04 Apr13 Mar28 Feb11 (ceciliano misa)GALVAN JHAIR 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
SAFFRON May30 May04       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 8% 11.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DANCE AGAIN by WILD WONDER)
GRAN PATRONA May30 Apr13       (perez ernesto)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of WHENNOONE'SLOOKING by STREET BOSS)
HEAVENLY CIELLA Jun08 Jan14       (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WHISKEY WILD May10 Jul30 Jun16     (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 1.60 12% 7.70    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPLODEN MOONSHINE by BLACK MOONSHINE)
MAKAAN May30 Apr12 Feb09 Dec15 Nov24 (soldo elain)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  SUGGAFREE DAIQUIR May24         (rangel ricard)ADAMS L 111 30.00    
  (by BLANK CHECK out of SUGARFREE LOLLIPOP by GUNNERSIDE)
I'M FRIESAN         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 34% 2.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of ROYAL FIREWORKS by BOP)
 
CT-7   06/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST It's Only Money Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYQUIST May29 Oct14 Aug04 Jun15 May13 (catalano w)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of HONEY CHILE by INVISIBLE INK)
SCR  AMIDSHIPS Apr19 Mar21 Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 123 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
PENGUIN POWER May25 Apr19 Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 (runco c)HO WESLEY 123 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of AYE ROBBIN by ROBB)
DUNCAN IDAHO May25 Apr11 Feb08 Dec08 Nov22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JEFFERSON NATIVE Mar21 Feb29 Nov29 Nov16 Oct14 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 123 12.00    
  (by OFFICER ROCKET out of ABSOLUTELYGORGEOUS by BEST TURN)
DERBY DAY DREAMS May25 Jan18 Dec14 Nov29 Oct28 (barber c)BOCACHICA O 123 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LAND OF DREAMS by MARLIN)
NICO Feb19 Dec23 Nov16 Oct14 Sep21 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
EL LUCERITO May17 Apr26 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 123 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
SCR  GOLDEN KEY May25 Apr19 Mar02 Dec14 Nov16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOLDEN DEBUTANTE by MALIBU MOON)
10  LITTLE ROO ROO May24 May09 Nov16 Oct28 Oct14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 6.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
11  MARSHALL PEANUT May11 Apr06 Mar16 Feb02 Dec14 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CROOKED AGAIN by TASTE OF PARADISE)
SCR  GOLD FIBER May25 May03 Mar16 Feb24 Dec08 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 123 30.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MRS. STROUD by GRAND SLAM)
13  PORK CHOP PETE May31 May11 Apr20 Mar21   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  IRISH WIZARD May31 May10 Apr19 Jan03 Dec02 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 123 50.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-8   06/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S S ITS FUN TO RUN May30 May10 Apr20     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
PASS THE CASH May30 Mar27 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAY May02         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 6.00    
HIDDEN RIVER May30 May10       (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 118 30.00    
MONSTER SUMMER May24 Aug18 Aug11     (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
FEATHER WISH May30 May10 Jun22 Jun03   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
DICE ARM May30 May10 Apr14 Jan07 Jul01 (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ VINNO May22 Mar08 Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 118 1.80 21% 3.90    
BOBBI TWO STEPS May24 May10 Apr20 Apr04 Mar13 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
10  DEE DEE SIX May24 May03 Mar27 Mar07 Feb14 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.