Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Miles City
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MC-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MC-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-4   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MC-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-11   WIN (5/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MC-13   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MC-2   05/19/2024 1980ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA ROSA DRIVE Oct21 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 (falls j)JOURNET JARRED 126 9.00 28% 2.50    
2  FIREFLOWER Sep03 Jul22 Jul15 May14 May06 (meineke jessica)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.40    
3  ALWAYS A TIZ Apr26 Apr06 Mar10 Oct29 Oct22 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  BIG BLUE NOTE Jul30 Jul16 May29 Apr24 Mar29 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 126 8.00    
SCR  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Mar10 Feb18 Jan13 Dec16 Nov29 (conway e)GAMEZ M 126 3.50    
SCR  KISS RIDE GOODBYE May12 May05 Apr14 Mar29 Mar17 (conway e)BEETEM BRIAN 126 10.00    
7  POSEIDON'S MAGIC May05 Sep24 Sep02 Aug27 Aug11 (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MC-3   05/19/2024 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Apr12 Mar15 Feb09 Jan26 Dec28 (haar amanda)WOOD DAKOTA 126 7.00    
2  SASSY CAT May12 Aug20 Jul13 Jun18 May29 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 10% 9.50    
3  BONNIE AND Apr27 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 (haar j)DELORME L 126 5.00    
4  QUEEN CORDELIA May05 Mar29 Mar17 Feb17 Aug20 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  STOLEN HALO Apr26 Apr12 Mar29 Mar01 Oct29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
MC-4   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTERN BANKER Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb08 (olson ken)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00    
2  WITCHY WINDSOR Apr12 Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 May13 (crooked dale)GAMEZ M 121 4.50    
3  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Apr27 Apr20 Mar24 Oct29 Oct21 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EL CENTENARIO Apr13 Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Jul16 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  ZOE'S PAPA CEE May12 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Oct09 (allery m)SEESTHEGROUND KOBY 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  MAGIC IN A HAT May12 Apr21 Apr07 Mar10 Oct29 (schindler jeff)WOOD DAKOTA 121 3.50    
7  NATE'S REVENGE Apr20 Apr06 Mar15 Feb18 Dec29 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
MC-5   05/19/2024 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KREWS PASS Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 (cavanaugh perry)GAMEZ M 126 6.00    
2  FASCINATED Apr19 Mar08 Dec15 Nov13 Oct22 (schindler jeff)HAAR NATHAN 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  AS LUCK HAPPENS Mar19 Jan29 Dec26 Dec09 Nov24 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  BIG CITY BOY Dec07 Nov14 Oct11 Sep16 Jun28 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 3.50    
5  SOUTH SEA May05 Apr09 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 (nelson bu)IRONEYES R 126 4.00    
6  ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY Sep12 Sep04 Aug02 Jun18 Aug23 (hanson deborah )WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MC-11   05/19/2024 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP WARNING Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Jan30 Dec18 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 126 6.00 13% 6.60    
2  BIBLEMAN Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 (jones j)LARSEN S 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE BONDSMAN May05 Jul23 Jul15 Jun17 May29 (cross p)GAMEZ M 126 4.50    
4  FAYETTE WARRIOR Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 Oct29 Oct21 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 8.00 26% 2.80    
5  SAN GIORGIO Sep23 Sep08 Sep03 Jul30 Jul23 (warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  WISKEY CROWN May05 Mar15 Feb29 Jul28 Feb12 (warren kayla)DELORME L 126 2.50    
7  ARIZONA STEPHEN Apr16 Mar28 Mar08 Nov15 Oct04 (greer randy)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.50    
 
MC-13   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARRIZO SPRINGS May12 Sep03 Aug26 Jul30 Jul22 (nelson bu)IRONEYES R 126 8.00    
2  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE May05 Apr20 Apr06 Mar24 Mar09 (schindler jeff)WOOD DAKOTA 126 6.00 6% 15.50    
3  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Jul31 Jun18 May12 Apr29 Apr15 (falls down )PADILLA ANSELMO 126 3.50    
4  DAAHERS BULLY May12 Apr19 Mar24 Mar08 Feb24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 4.50 20% 3.90    
5  BRUIN MAGIC May05 Apr21 Apr13 Mar24 Mar15 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CHISMOSO Sep24 Sep10 Sep03 Aug09 Jun24 (fitzpatrick ry)BEETEM BRIAN 126 12.00    
7  CATS GOTTA CHANCE Apr13 Mar28 Mar18 Feb02 Oct13 (crooked arm )BETHKE A 126 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.