Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(2/7/6)-(4/6/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(4/6/2/9)-(9/2/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/9)-(4/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/9)-(4/6/2/9)-(4/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/9)-(9/2/5/7/4)-(3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/2/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/7/4)-(9/2/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/7/4)-(9/2/5/7/4)-(9/2/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/7/4)-(3/4/6)-(4/9/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LS-6   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/3)-(4/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/3)-(4/9/3)-(4/9/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/6/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/10)-(1/6/5/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/10)-(1/6/5/4/10)-(1/6/5/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/10)-(1/8/11/2)-(2/11/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-9   WIN (1/8/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/11/2)-(1/8/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/11/2)-(1/8/11/2)-(1/8/11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/11/2)-(2/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-10   WIN (2/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/11/8)-(2/11/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/11/8)-(2/11/8/3/9)-(2/11/8/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDINA DREAMS Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 Feb10 Jan05 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 ★    
2  HOLIDAY RUN Apr18 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan13 (ascenc)HERNANDEZ A 119 20.00    
3  FANDO Mar24 Mar03 Aug26 Jul02 Jun18 (u)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
4  TAKE MY MONEY Jan28 Jan07 Sep15 Aug20 Jul17 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Apr18 Mar24 Feb10 Jan12 Aug07 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 124 4.50    
6  CIBOLO ERL Apr07 Aug26 Jul15 Jul01 Mar03 (jolley ja)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRUE AND READY Nov17 Jul01 May07     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.00 71% 0.40    
 
LS-2   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO PRINCESS Jun23 Jun03 May14     (herreros steph)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
2  ROYAL LIAISON Mar17 Feb19 Jan27     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by LIAISON out of BETTY THE QUEEN by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
3  GEOMETRIQUE Jul02 Jun03 May14 Apr20 Jan15 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EQUILATERAL by ARCH)
4  MISTY MOOD         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of OCEAN SPRAY TOO by MR. GREELEY)
5  LADY ATHENA Apr27 Apr06 Mar24 Mar02 Jan27 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of ROSE GUITAR by STAR GUITAR)
6  CALLE REINA Apr27 Dec30 Nov11 Sep30 Aug13 (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ETCHING by PAYNTER)
7  CIRCA STAR Apr27         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  EQUUS Feb19         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.50    
  (by MITOLE out of SWEET ESPRIT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
LS-3   05/18/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOO MUCH DREAMING Feb17 Jan06 Sep24 Aug31 Jul02 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 116 4.00 ★    
2  BLING IT TO ME Apr19 Mar16 Feb18     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  CROSS CLAIM May05 Apr19 Mar30 Feb16 Jul01 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 122 1.80    
4  FAST TRACK Apr19 Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Jan05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00    
5  THE NEXT BIG BLING Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 10.00    
6  BLING ON THE LIGHT Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIBBIES BABY Apr28 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Jul23 (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 14% 6.00    
8  RIVER'S END Apr27 Mar29 Feb24 Feb03 Jul03 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
 
LS-4   05/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HUNK Apr28 Mar30 Feb25 Jan20 Jan05 (ascenc)HERNANDEZ A 119 20.00    
2  POETIC UNION Apr26 Mar30 Mar24 Mar16 Feb09 (c)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
3  GREY HALO Jun15 May27 May14 Apr22 Apr14 (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
4  ITS MY MONEY TOO Apr26 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Feb09 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  ART QUEEN May11 May03 Mar21 Mar10 Feb25 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
6  SUPERCENTS Apr26 Mar07 Mar01 Jan12 Oct05 (cappellucci dick)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
7  WICKED SONG May05 Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb25 (dupuy allen)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00    
8  KOLKATA Apr26 Feb02 Jan12 Nov09 Oct27 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 124 2.50    
9  SING IT BESSIE Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 Jan20 Jun25 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   05/18/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELEWS GOLD Apr07 Mar23 Feb09 Jan06 Nov21 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
2  JUST CHILLIN Feb17 Nov30 Nov01 Oct20 Oct07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  RASSLER Apr28 Mar24 Feb11 Jan12 Dec01 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00    
4  CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Feb19 Jan20 (ashford trist)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUPER BRADY Apr28 Apr05 Feb24 Feb09 Sep09 (pish danny)DIEGO V 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  LET'S GO ALAMO Apr05 Mar23 Feb17 Sep04 Aug17 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
7  BLING BLING BLING Feb23 Feb09 Jul01 Jun15 May13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  STREET ART Feb02 Jan04 Dec14 Nov24 Sep05 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 121 15.00    
9  GOOD HEART May04 Apr19 Mar16 Mar07 Feb16 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
10  PLAY RULE May03 Feb25 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00    
SCR  SUNDAY BLING Apr28 Mar09 Feb03 Jan12 Dec19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50    
 
LS-6   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS PRADO Mar17 Mar02 Feb04 Nov03 Oct26 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
2  SILVER AND GOLD Apr07 Mar29 Mar17 Jan26 Oct28 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
3  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Apr26 Apr07 Mar23 Mar17 Feb25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
4  MY FAVORITE SONG Apr26 Apr07 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 124 2.00 7% 12.60    
5  GOD'S GOLD Feb25 Feb02 Dec18 Nov22 Nov09 (martin b)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00 ★    
6  HARRY May10 Mar10 Feb11 Aug26 Aug13 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CROSSTIME Apr26 Apr18       (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 119 20.00    
8  WINGS FOR ENO Apr26 Oct18 Sep05 Aug26 Jul31 (payne danny )PIVARAL GERBER 124 8.00 ★    
9  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Mar17 Feb25 Feb02 Jun16 May27 (echev)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNION DATA May04 Apr03 Feb11 Dec16 Nov25 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 20.00    
2  AFTER FIVE May10 Apr04 Sep29 Aug02 Jul07 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 124 2.50    
3  AMERICAN CODE Apr28 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Jan28 (ashford trist)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MARKS PROMISE Apr27 Jan25 Jan06 Dec08 Nov17 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SHADOW MATTER Apr27 Feb23 Jan12 Dec15 Feb17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00    
6  SUITABLE Apr28 Mar22 Sep14 Aug24 Jun16 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
7  TIGER DAD Apr13 Mar16 Mar02 Feb01 Nov03 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00    
SCR  SEIZE THE TREASURE Apr18 Mar15 Jan25 Dec29 Dec06 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 20.00    
9  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov14 Oct14 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
LS-8   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINNAMON FACE Feb19 Jan12 Dec02 Nov09 Sep28 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  CASHMERE DANCER Apr06 Mar15 Jan28 Jan07 Nov09 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50    
3  HAILEY'S JEWEL Jan07 Jul03 Jun09 May29 May13 (g)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
4  FAYETTE BLUE Feb19 Jan19 Sep30 Sep09 Jul24 (rossi j)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 ★    
5  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Apr06 Feb19 Jan28 Sep05 Jul31 (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
6  ELLE OF THE BALL Mar22 Mar01 Dec15 Nov21 Oct25 (gelner j)DIEGO V 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
7  MISSWISH Mar27 Mar05 Feb23 Jan28 Jan07 (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00    
8  CLAUDETTE HEIR Mar16 Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 Oct27 (young bob)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 8.00    
9  RIOBELLA Mar16 Jan25 Nov15 Oct19 Sep01 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 10.00    
10  HOURGLASS FIGURE Apr06 Mar16 Feb16 Nov09 Nov04 (young scott )ALVAREZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAUSE I'M DEVINE May05 Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 (saavedra mary)GLASS DERBE 119 20.00    
SCR  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Apr27 Feb02 Jan12 Jul01 Jun03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
SCR  TAHITIAN BREEZE Apr27 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Feb02 (hurley tin)ERAMIA E 124 5.00    
SCR  ARINNITI (FR) May04 Mar15 Feb03 Jan06   (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
 
LS-9   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER KEITH Apr07 Mar15 Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  GOLD PRIZE Apr07 Mar24 Feb23 Jan19 Oct13 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPECIAL STORMY Apr05 Mar01 Feb08 Dec08 Nov24 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 20.00    
SCR  MO WINNING May03 Jan28 Jan01 Nov13   (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00    
5  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Apr07 Feb23 Jan19 Dec19 Sep01 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
6  MO SATURDAYS Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 Dec01 Sep02 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
SCR  SARA'S SHAMAN Apr13 Feb18 Jan21 Sep10 Aug06 (young bob)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
8  UNLOAD Apr28 Mar23 Jun25 Apr02 Feb18 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
9  AZTEC FIRE May04 Mar23 Feb03     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00    
10  WITHOUT A TRACE Apr26 Apr06 Mar24 Sep11   (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
11  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Apr07 Feb18 Feb02 Aug13 Jun24 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
LS-10   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKE ACTION Apr19 Mar03 Jan28 Jan05 Dec08 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50    
2  EMBOITE (IRE) Jan21 Dec23 Dec07 Jun17 Apr07 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 70% 0.40    
3  BROTHER REID Apr16 Mar26 Feb25 Jan27 Nov19 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 4.00 ★    
4  CANATLAN Apr18 Mar17 Mar09 Feb23 Jan28 (t)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
5  BAY BE GONE Apr18 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 (garza joaqui)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00    
6  SINGING DIXIE Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Feb02 Jun24 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Apr28 Apr18 Mar24 Feb18 Jan28 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00    
8  TALE TWISTER Apr28 Apr07 Jun10 May20 Mar31 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BIG WAVE JAMES Apr18 Mar16 Feb02 Oct07 Sep23 (eoff terry)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 ★    
10  TAKE FLIGHT Apr26 Apr07 Mar10 Jan28 Jan12 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
11  PRODIGIOUS BAY Apr21 Apr05 Mar07 Jun01 Mar31 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PURE MALICE May10 Feb09 Nov23 Nov02 Oct07 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
13  SPEIGHTSVILLE Apr27 Apr14 Mar17 Feb24 Nov14 (trout r)ALVAREZ L 124 15.00    
SCR  AROLLERCOASTERRIDE Apr21 Mar09 Jan27 Sep09 Aug07 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.