Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/3/4)-(5/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/1/7)-(1/4/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(1/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(1/4/8/6)-(7/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/6)-(7/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/6)-(7/4/5/3)-(9/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(9/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3)-(9/2/4)-(6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (9/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/4)-(9/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/4)-(9/2/4)-(9/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/2/4)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT'S BRIM Apr27 Mar16 Feb25 Feb02 Jun15 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEKING SAWYER Mar20 Dec07 Aug20 Jun04 Mar24 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
3  VIOLENT RIVER Apr27 Mar16 Mar03 Feb09 Dec30 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00    
4  BRIARTOWN May06 Feb21 Feb01 Dec30 Dec16 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MR RAMIREZ Mar06 Feb09 Jan11 Dec02   (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
6  MALAKI EMPIRE Mar22 Feb03 Jan18 Dec02 Sep03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
 
LAD-2   05/15/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADFIELD BABY Mar16 Feb13 Dec30 Aug21 Aug05 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  NOW NOW SAINT Apr17 Jan18 Dec14 Nov09 Aug12 (delany sara)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00    
3  PRINCE PERFECTA Mar22 Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 Nov11 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  SAUCER EYES Apr19 Mar10 Dec20 Oct18 Sep03 (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  COMPUTERIZED Mar13 Feb22 Feb08 Nov17 May27 (west g)WADE LYNDIE 124 12.00    
6  HIT THE BULLSEYE May01 Mar13 Feb22 Dec19 Nov29 (pedigo randy)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.50    
 
LAD-3   05/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEDAL OF HONOR         (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  MALIBU MONEY Dec31 Dec03 Jun10 Feb28 Feb11 (mojica a)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00    
3  WINONESOON Apr25 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 Jul04 (washington)RAMIREZ JR 115 10.00    
4  STREAKIN DEACON Apr13 Mar17 Mar03 Feb09 Jan13 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
5  PAINTED SUNDAY May06 Apr04 Mar06     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  YES JACK Feb09 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov18 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 ★    
7  CHIEF HARLAN May06 Mar20 Feb07 Aug06 Jun24 (del eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENCH FRANC (FR) Apr26 Feb11 Jan03 Dec22 Sep22 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 122 3.00 61% 0.70    
SCR  SHUTUP PLEASE May05 Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 Feb11 (dixon ti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SCR  XTRA SPICY Mar02 Feb16 Nov09 Jun09 May18 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00    
4  SWIZZLECITY May04 Mar13 Jan04 Sep04 Jul02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  LAYLA'S SONG Apr17 Feb24 Feb02 Dec27 Oct25 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
6  C C'S COWGIRL Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Sep25 Aug16 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHE'S STORMING May05 Apr19 Apr06 Feb11 Jan13 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
8  MY MY Apr07 Mar17 Mar07 Nov21 Nov09 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  ROLL GYPSY ROLL May04 Feb16 Feb02 Dec27 Nov22 (larrosa juan )LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
SCR  LIKE FINE WINE May01 Apr17 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 (daigle walte)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00    
 
LAD-5   05/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRAPBOOK Feb17 Jan20 Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 (beavin judy)MURRAY M 121 12.00    
2  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 Nov17 Aug21 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
3  WA WA WEE WA May05 Apr19 Apr07 Mar29 Mar21 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TENACIOUS LADY Apr19 Mar17 Feb09 Jan05 Oct28 (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  WAIT ON ME Feb29 Jan04 Dec17 Sep09 Aug27 (hatcher nathan )WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
6  MARDI GRAS ALARM Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Dec21 Nov29 (bruno donal)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 6.00    
7  CADEAU DE PAIX Mar14 Feb19 May11 Apr30 Apr08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
8  HURRICANE TIZWAY Feb24 Feb10 Dec27 Nov17 Oct14 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-6   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLENDALE Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 Jan06 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00    
2  CHIEF CHEETAH May06 Mar29 Nov17 Aug26 Aug12 (del erick)BOREL H 124 6.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  VERB May04 Apr27 Apr14 Mar22 Mar01 (hewitt)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00    
4  ASPEN CLUB Apr12 Mar21 Feb18 Feb10 Jan06 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPARKIN May06 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00    
6  SABER RUN May03 Mar14 Feb17 Dec03 Sep04 (pedigo randy)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 20.00    
7  HAPPY BOY ROCKET May03 Apr12 Feb21 Oct13 Sep30 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
SCR  PHARME'S PHAITH Feb18 Aug14 Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00    
9  MEN OF KYLE Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 Aug19 Jul23 (duhon paul)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  EZMOSH Feb18 Jan06 Dec07 Nov18 Nov01 (jacks karen )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
 
LAD-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLONANITA'SLUCK Apr12 Sep09 Jun05     (washington)RAMIREZ JR 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY DEAL         (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
3  DUE WE DARE         (pedigo randy)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 8.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  FRAN'S STAR May02 Mar23 Feb02 Dec19 Nov29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
5  A STAR ON THE RISE         (schmidt )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
6  OUR DETERMINATION Mar06         (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  CAJUN MISCHIEF Feb15 Jan25 Dec21 Dec07 Sep09 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.