Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/1/8)-(6/2/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/8)-(9/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(9/1/7/4)-(2/4/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (9/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/7/4)-(2/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/4)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/5/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(2/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(6/10/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(6/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(6/10/11)-(7/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6/10/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/11)-(6/10/11/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/11)-(6/10/11/8/3)-(6/10/11/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/10/11)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/10/11)-(7/2/5)-(1/6/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-6   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(1/6/7/4)-(2/8/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(2/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(2/8/9/1)-(6/3/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/4/1)-(2/8/9/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/9/1)-(6/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-9   WIN (6/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEE JEE Apr17 Mar02 Feb09     (david b)VARGAS P 115 4.00    
KEV MAN Apr19 Mar15 Mar01 Feb17 Jan20 (williams kevin )MCMAHON J 115 4.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  MOON TRIP Apr17 Feb17       (segura kearney)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00    
SCR  BOLD AND BRASH Apr27 Feb22 Feb10     (giangr)RUIZ GARCIA 115 15.00    
ROCKY BOY May01 Apr11 Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 (escobar alis)QUILES ANTONIO 123 12.00    
LEGENDARY DRAGON Apr20 Mar06 Feb08 Dec06 Nov15 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 2.50 52% 0.90    
ITZCOATL Apr25 Feb09 Nov24 Oct20   (gelner scott)ROSIER R 118 3.00    
KAH NIGH May01 Apr20 Mar15 Feb23 Feb09 (dussette alv)DEL-CID MARLON 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-2   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN YA WIN Apr19 Mar14 Feb18 Feb01 Dec21 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 115 10.00 17% 4.90    
AHIMAAZ Apr06 Jan13 Jul22 Jun22 Jun04 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 12.00    
GEAUX SUGAR Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Oct18 Jul27 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 2.50    
THE FEATURE Apr13 Mar24 Jun03 May12 Mar24 (ellis j)STOKES J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
AFTER FIVE Apr04 Sep29 Aug02 Jul07 Jun15 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
INDIA INK (ARG) Apr13 Dec29 Jun30 Jun05 Feb22 (borel renay)BOREL H 118 5.00    
SECRET VISTA Apr20 Feb15 Jan13 Dec15 Apr20 (west henry)STOKES A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Mar03 Feb08 Jan04 Nov10 Sep30 (romero d)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
DOUBLE BARREL MAN Apr13 Mar14 Feb03 Jan12 Nov30 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
EVD-3   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEM BUOY Apr17 Mar08       (demouchet ricky)STOKES J 120 20.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of HILDEGARDE by GHOSTZAPPER)
CUNIMBUS Apr17 Mar08 Feb02 Nov10 Oct06 (briley lonnie)THORNTON G 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MIDNIGHT HALO Apr27 Mar23 Feb09 Jan20 Dec31 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LANGSYNE by LANGFUHR)
RAZOR CREST Apr17 Mar22 Mar02 Jan19 Dec23 (david b)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of CHIRIMOYA by COBRA KING)
VEGA STAR Mar22 Mar02 Feb17     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAINTLY JOAN by NORTHERN AFLEET)
ZESTINY Feb24 Feb01 Jan20     (dison m)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
  (by ZONG out of DESTINY HOPE by ZARBYEV)
WHO IS CHIEF Apr17 Mar23       (mouton chadw)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by DAAHER out of INDIAN WIND by EUGENE'S THIRD SON)
 
EVD-4   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICAN ME Apr17 Feb16 Jan20 Dec21 Oct28 (larros)RUIZ GARCIA 115 3.00 12% 7.40    
BLEEP BLEEP Apr17 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Dec14 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 115 5.00 38% 1.60    
HOLIDAY DIAMOND Apr19 Feb18 Jan28 May20 Mar01 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
OLDER AND WISER Apr17 Mar08 Jan05 Nov23 Aug10 (woodley car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 2.50    
LET'S GO RANDOM Apr24 Mar22 Feb08 Jan06 Nov15 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MY LIL DUDE Dec31 Dec07 Nov25 Nov04 Aug05 (bruno l)GREEN AUBRIE 115 8.00    
POINT AT YOU Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 (patt roland )DEL-CID MARLON 110 12.00    
MAJOR DEAL Dec01 Nov11 Aug29 Aug12 Jul31 (tillis jerry)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
EVD-5   05/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATHENAIS Jan03 Dec02 Nov01 Sep28 Aug03 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 123 3.00    
LIGHT FACE Apr18 Feb24 Feb07 Jan11   (perron gerard)FUSILIER C 115 20.00    
NO COST Apr25 Jan05 Nov02 Oct11 Sep22 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
SCR  EVERLYN'S ANGEL Apr13 Feb22 Jan06 Dec13 Nov01 (landry allen)MAGNON H 116 20.00    
LA VILLANA Apr24 Mar07 Oct26 Oct07 Sep12 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00    
HUNTLEIGH Apr24 Mar30 Mar03 Feb15 Jan01 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
HONEST ANGUS Aug04 Jul07 Jun17 May26 May05 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
HAUNTRESS Apr18 Mar16 Jan21 Dec31 Nov17 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
PLANTS AND BIRDS Apr24 Mar13 Feb23 Jan21 Aug04 (cuccia j)STOKES J 119 5.00    
10  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Apr20 Mar07 Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10% 9.40    
11  SARAH'S COURT Apr26 Apr11 Feb29 Feb15 Jan18 (landry ray)ROSIER R 115 10.00 5% 18.20    
 
EVD-6   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RING TWICE Feb22 Jan05 Dec19 Nov21 Oct26 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.00    
MYFRIENDSAWINNER Feb03 Dec28 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  CAMI CAT Apr20 Aug12 Jul21 Jul08 Jun21 (claire alexi)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
WON DAY Mar14 Feb29 Feb03 Jan05 Dec15 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 5.00    
MARY JACK Apr26 Apr11 Mar14 Mar01 Jan27 (prejean ray)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BECKY'S TATTOO Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Nov11 Oct25 (jackson dwayne)STOKES J 118 15.00    
SAINT EROS GIRL Apr25 Mar21 Feb29 Feb03 Dec14 (terre david)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 39% 1.60    
DROP DEAD SEXY Mar14 Feb10 Jan15 Nov25 Sep10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 8.00    
 
EVD-7   05/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PERFECTO Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Jan19 Dec29 (claire alexis)THORNTON G 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
TARAASHOQ Apr17 Feb29 Jan13 Nov30 Nov21 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00    
BRITE OUTLOOK Apr12 Dec21 Jul01 May25 Apr27 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
FREDDIE BY A NOSE Apr26 Mar15 Feb23 Feb13 Nov25 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER LOVER Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan04 Dec16 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
TODDCHERO Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 Feb04 Aug25 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
CLARESTOWN Apr12 Mar08 Feb16 Dec07 Oct26 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  LIL BRO COOP Apr05 Mar22 Feb18 Feb03 Jan13 (sanchez juan)QUILES ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  DUVEE Apr12 Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan19 (david b)STOKES J 115 3.00    
 
EVD-8   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIESTY FIST Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 May08 (castille carro)THORNTON G 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLOWER CAT Mar03 Feb08 Dec20 Nov15 Oct27 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
CRAKEN JAX Mar09 Jan04 Dec07 Nov03 Oct13 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 113 15.00    
HOSTILE AFLEET Apr18 Mar06 Feb21 Feb03 Jan12 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 4.00    
SONO Apr18 Mar21 Feb18 Jan28 Dec21 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
STOVALL Apr27 Feb03 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 113 10.00    
BATTALION STRIKE Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06   (singh s)SINGH R 118 8.00    
HARD FOUR Apr13 Mar24 Feb18 Nov30 Jul22 (david b)BARRERA J 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
HARDLY ABLE Apr19 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Dec07 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 123 12.00 18% 4.50    
 
EVD-9   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE STRONG         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
PURRRFECT RHYTHM Apr17 Mar10 Feb24 Jan27 Jan06 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
GAME AND GORMLEY Apr19         (castille carro)THORNTON G 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
BOSTON BLITZ Apr19 Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 3.50    
MIDNIGHT BEAST         (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 6.00 6% 14.60    
YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU Apr19 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov23 (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Apr19 Mar08       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
SEEKING A SOLDIER Apr27         (thompson kevin)STOKES A 123 15.00    
CANAL ST. CUPID Apr19 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 Dec21 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
SCR  TWICE AS SASSI         (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.