Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/6/4)-(7/8/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/5)-(7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/5)-(7/2/5)-(1/4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(1/4/5/7)-(3/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7/3)-(1/4/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(3/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/7)-(3/6/7/2)-(5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(5/3/6)-(2/1/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG JOE B         (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  CHAR BAR'S LEGACY Apr25         (lee a)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of CARO KEY BAR by FIBER SONDE)
3  IRISH WIZARD Apr19 Jan03 Dec02     (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
4  STREAKALIGHTNIN         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of SHE'S A LADY CAT by CAME HOME)
5  BID ON BLUE Apr19         (brown a)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SYNERGIST by SMOOTH BID)
6  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Mar21 Feb24       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
7  UNCLE PRESS Apr19 Jul06 Jun16 May18 Apr27 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BACK DOOR CUT by CIVILISATION)
 
CT-2   05/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Mar29 Mar06 Jan25 Dec07 Nov06 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00    
2  XCELLENT START Apr18 Mar23 Feb10 Dec05 Nov14 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  NICO LUCKY May04 Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Jan05 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 120 3.50    
4  BILLYKUS Apr18 Mar12 Feb03 Dec10 Nov13 (cash norman )BATISTA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOT FUDGE SONDE Apr18 Mar23 Mar14 Feb23 Jan25 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
6  SPUNMAN Apr18 Mar23 Feb01 Dec16 Nov06 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CT-3   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD BUZZ Mar07 Feb17 Jan26 Nov25 Nov03 (pennella m)BAEZ M 116 15.00    
2  SHINEY GHOST Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Feb24 Feb17 (aylor william )REAP E 122 12.00    
3  KUMBAYA Apr11         (montilla carlos)PELTROCHE F 118 10.00 9% 10.30    
4  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Feb17 Jan26 (racanelli j)MAYHEW W 122 15.00    
5  BLAZE FOR DAZE Apr25 Apr11       (figgins ol)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  LORD CLANCY Apr25 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 (figgins ollie)CHILO JACINTO 122 3.50    
7  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  CANDY OUTLINE Apr25 Apr13 Mar28 Mar08 Feb22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 16% 5.30    
 
CT-4   05/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG LIL KOKORO Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec05 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
2  JAZZ WITH DENIS Apr18 Mar23 Mar06 Feb10 Jan12 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
3  OCEAN STORM May03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar07 Feb21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
4  EISELE Apr19 Mar28 Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 (hummer a)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
5  AIR MEDAL Apr19 Jan25 Dec01 Nov18 Nov11 (gazzier kristy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM May03 Apr19 Mar28 Mar13 Mar02 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
7  SIMPLY JACK Apr26 Dec09 Sep20 Aug20 Jul31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
8  LEG UP Apr26 Mar28 Mar06 Jan31 Jan04 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 ★    
 
CT-5   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER WALK ALONE Apr20 Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 Apr19 (perez ernesto)GALVAN JHAIR 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  SHARED AUTHORITY Apr12 Mar29 Jan26 Jan14 Dec29 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
3  VIENNA'S TWIRL Apr20 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 6.00 ★    
4  FEATHER WISH Jun22 Jun03       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  HIDDEN RIVER         (atkins g)ACOSTA D 118 15.00 7% 14.20    
6  BOBBI TWO STEPS Apr20 Apr04 Mar13 Oct28 Sep29 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00    
7  S S ITS FUN TO RUN Apr20         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  IMAGINE RITA Oct18 Sep21 Aug11 Aug03 Jul05 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 20.00    
9  VALLEY STAR May03 Apr12 Mar02 Feb10 Jan07 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
10  J J'S JOY Apr05 Mar16 Feb25     (comi w)PELTROCHE F 118 4.50    
 
CT-6   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANK YA PETE May04 Aug26 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 (cooney susan )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00    
2  IT'S MY RAINBOW Apr18 Feb28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 (runco c)HO WESLEY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MON GATEAU Mar28 Mar07 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  DOCTOR JERRY Apr19 Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 Nov22 (shanley mark)BAEZ M 120 8.00    
5  SMOKIN SMITTY May04 Apr19 Apr05 Mar28 Mar13 (campbell larr)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
6  AKITO Apr19 Mar19 Jan11 Dec27 Dec18 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  LANDON JACK Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 Jan27 Jan12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 22% 3.60    
8  MONEY MAC Apr19 Mar20 Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVANESCO Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan12 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
2  RAISE A RUCKUS Apr19 Mar28 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50    
3  WHALE OF A RUN Apr28 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Jan13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 5.00 16% 5.30    
4  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Apr12 Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 Dec14 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
5  CUPID'S SONG Mar29 Mar08 Feb23 Jul06 Jan06 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  RIDE THE BRAND Apr05 Mar13 Feb24 Feb14 Jan13 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWIPED THE CASTLE May02 Jan03 Dec02     (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE HEIRESS Apr30 Feb21 Jul14 Jun02 Apr14 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  SISTER'S DUTY Nov27 Nov10 Oct20 Jul29 Jul07 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  CASTLE LIGHTS Mar23 Mar06 Feb01 Nov30 Oct05 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  MIDNIGHT REGRET Apr06 Mar27 Feb01 Oct28 Oct07 (dillon l)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  REINE SECRET Mar28 Feb21 Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 (babcock rebec)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  MARTHA'S BANNER Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
7  SUPER WILDCAT Mar27 Mar20 Mar06 Jan13 Dec02 (pennella rhea )REAP E 122 15.00    
SCR  CLEARLY VISIBLE Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
9  MYGIDGETMARIE Mar29 Mar08 Dec08 Nov02 Oct05 (perri gina)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 10.00    
10  AMERICAN BOUND Apr22 Mar20 Feb21 Feb05 Dec06 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.