Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/5)-(5/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/5)-(5/8/3/1)-(2/5/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/1)-(2/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/1)-(2/5/3/8)-(5/8/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8/1)-(2/5/3/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/8)-(5/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/8)-(5/8/7/6)-(7/1/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/6)-(7/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/6)-(7/1/5/9)-(2/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/9)-(2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/9)-(2/8/3)-(8/2/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(8/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(8/2/3/7)-(9/1/6/13/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/7)-(9/1/6/13/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/1/6/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/13/10)-(9/1/6/13/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/13/10)-(9/1/6/13/10)-(9/1/6/13/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEANORS JACK Apr13 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 120 5.00    
2  BERTRAM FLIGHT Apr13 Mar22 Mar02 Dec16 Aug17 (boggs joanna)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
3  TAKE YOUR TIME Sep22 Aug11       (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.50    
4  SWIPED THE CASTLE Jan03 Dec02       (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  MAKIN' GOLD Apr13 Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 Sep15 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  POWERED BY LOVE Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 Jan05 Dec14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 1.60 31% 2.30    
7  WYSOQUIET Apr12 Mar29 Mar07 Feb17 Jan24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
CT-2   05/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S CLEVER Apr06 Mar21 Feb28 Feb17 Mar18 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ON A WHIM Apr06 Mar20 Oct27 Sep07 Aug28 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 122 15.00    
3  METALLIC CAT Mar20 Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 Nov16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 16% 5.30    
4  MONKEY WRENCH Apr06 Mar07 Feb07 Jan12 Dec09 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
5  J. WICK Apr06 Mar21 Feb29 Nov25 Nov08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  BOP ZAPPER Apr06 Feb28 Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
7  DOG TOWN ALLEN Apr06 Mar20 Feb07 Jan12 Dec06 (harrison glenn )BOCACHICA O 122 2.50    
8  TALKING TEDDY Aug31 Jul13 May13 Mar30 Feb15 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
CT-3   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Apr12 Mar21 Feb09 Feb03 Jan10 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
2  THUNDERHOUSE Mar21 Mar01 Jan25 Dec22 Nov26 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  LOVETHEBAND Apr12 Mar28 Mar08 Jan25 Jan10 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
4  SUGAR LIPS Apr19 Mar20 Nov30 Nov24 Oct27 (carlisle )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00    
5  ASTRAYAL Mar21 Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Nov24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
6  STORMI VANNA Apr04 Mar06 Feb14 Nov30 Nov01 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
7  ONE CANDY CASTLE Apr19 Mar21 Mar01 Feb09 Feb03 (johnson r)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
8  DIRECT THE SHOW Apr06 Mar20 Feb24 Jan24 Jan13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CURB THAT TIGER Mar21 Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Nov24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
10  DR RENDEZVOUS Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Nov25 Jul15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
SCR  LAST PARTY Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 Dec06 Nov08 (armstrong)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Mar27 Mar09 Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 (comi w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 3.50    
SCR  EX RATED Apr05 Oct26 Sep16 Sep09 Jul28 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
3  VAN HOOK Apr11 Mar15 Feb24 Jan24 Mar23 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
4  JUST HAVE FAITH Apr05 Mar14 Feb22 Dec07 Nov15 (boggs joanna)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
5  STRONG WILLED Apr06 Feb29 Feb01 Oct26 Sep09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 43% 1.30    
6  LIL BOUGIE Mar02 Feb10 Jan26 Nov30 Nov01 (figgins o)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRINCESS HALO Apr12 Mar21 Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 6% 15.50    
8  POUR ME A DRINK Mar27 Jan13 Dec06 Nov17 Nov02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
CT-5   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PYEONG CHANG Mar20 Mar01 Feb09 Jan03 Nov17 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  MR HOOVER Apr12 Mar28 Dec13 Nov15 Nov01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
3  JUMPSTER Feb23 Feb07 Oct28 Oct12 Aug06 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
SCR  ENVISION SUCCESS Mar28 Jan04 Dec15 Dec06 Jul14 (hummer a)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
5  NEVER CHANGE Apr12 Mar21 Feb23 Jan27 Oct12 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  JAMMIN STILL Apr12 Mar22 Feb29 Feb16 Oct12 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
7  WELLING Apr12 Mar20 May20 May05 Apr21 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  URBAN BANDIT Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 Nov17 (figgins)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
9  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Mar28 Feb14 Dec13 Nov12 Oct18 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Dec06 Nov04 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
SCR  TEXTPECTATION Apr24 Apr08 Feb21 Feb08 Jan26 (morzan e)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY CHAMP Mar20 Feb28 Jan24 Nov29 Nov19 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   05/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM LEADER         (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of RUBY FALLS by BROKEN VOW)
2  AIM'S REDIRECT Apr19 Apr06       (reggetts st)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  UNITE THE GIRLS Apr19 Mar20 Mar06 Feb02 Jan03 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  CLASSY FOE         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of CLASSICA by PURE PRIZE)
5  TINA'S BACK Apr06         (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SWEET CANE by LAABITY)
SCR  MY LUCKY DEIA Apr06 Feb14 Jan27 Jan12 Nov17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
7  MOONLIT KISS         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MOONLIT SONG by FIBER SONDE)
8  DAY DRAMA Apr06         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GROUSE GRIND by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CT-7   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHORT OF DINERO Mar23 Mar01 Dec27 Dec15 Nov17 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
2  BAHITI Apr11 Apr01 Mar01 Feb07 Jan25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Apr11 Mar01 Feb15 Oct12 Sep29 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  GOLDEN STAR Apr20 Mar13 Feb09 Dec21 Nov24 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 8.00    
5  LINDA'S TAJ Apr20 Mar30 Feb09 Jan26 Jan18 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
6  SYBARITE Apr20 Apr04 Mar27 Mar09 Feb04 (joy j)ACOSTA D 116 4.00    
7  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Apr11 Mar22 Mar16 Mar01 Jan25 (peltroche van)CHILO JACINTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NONESUCH GIRL Apr25 Apr13 Mar23     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-8   05/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHING BIP BOP Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14   (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 1.60 11% 8.10    
2  SWISS HORIZON Apr11 Mar06 Feb07 Jan13 Nov24 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
SCR  ONE LAST DRINK Apr11         (espinosa m)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
4  SPECIAL KAYLEE Apr18 Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00    
SCR  JUNIPER GRACE Apr11 Dec14 Nov24 Aug26 Aug04 (bowman d)MAYHEW W 124 15.00    
6  BOLD INDY         (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  FANTASY FROST Mar14 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30   (tobin l)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
8  LOCKDOWN VANNA Dec02 Nov02 Oct06 Aug26 Jun17 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
9  CEDAR'S IMAGE Apr06 Oct06 Sep15     (greaves vernon)REAP E 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
10  OUR BREW Apr11 Apr05 Mar14 Feb17 Feb07 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIZZY LOU Apr20 Apr11 Mar06     (jones e)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
SCR  AFIRE Feb22 Nov17 Aug04 Jul14   (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
13  BIT OF BLESSINGS Apr21 Apr05 Mar06 Feb22 Jan13 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 5% 18.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.