Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/7/1/4)-(4/1/5/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FON-3   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(6/4/7/8)-(2/8/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (6/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8)-(6/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/8)-(2/8/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-8   WIN (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNA LIRICA Apr06 Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Sep14 (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  REBA Mar29 Mar15 Feb17 Sep29 Sep16 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 66% 0.50    
3  RUN FOR JOY Mar29 Mar10 Mar03 Feb25 Feb08 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 1.80 10% 9.40    
4  COAST TO GLORY Mar22 Apr06       (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
5  KONA KINLEY Mar29 Mar08 Mar03 Dec14 Nov17 (rushton temple)DELORME L 121 8.00    
6  CANARY NATION Mar24 Mar10 Sep22 Sep08 May26 (foley p)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
 
FON-2   04/14/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR FROM FINAL Mar16 Feb24 Dec15 Nov21 Nov13 (davis rodney )BACON W 120 12.00    
2  WELDON G Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Sep23 Aug31 (black marissa)DELORME L 125 15.00    
3  ELIOT NESS Mar16 Feb24 Dec13 Oct21 Sep18 (ramaekers eric)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.50    
4  LODE OF BLARNEY Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Jan25 Dec29 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 ★    
5  THATSAFACTJACK Mar23 Feb24 Jan06 Dec27 Sep30 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 7% 13.30    
6  HACKER Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Jan06 Dec01 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 0.80 69% 0.40    
 
FON-3   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH INTENT Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 May13 Apr23 (hoffman robert)DELORME L 125 10.00 18% 4.50    
2  REASONABLY LOVELY Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Sep18 Aug26 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  I THINK I KNOW YOU Oct23 Oct01 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
4  LAYAWAY Mar29 Mar16 Mar02 Oct22 Aug17 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HERE AND VOW Sep28 Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Mar04 (mcdonald will)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
6  MISS CANEY Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Apr04 Mar20 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
7  MORE THAN A DIVA Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Feb18 Jan25 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
FON-4   04/14/2024 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO MO TOWN Mar22 Mar17 Mar02 Aug10 Jul20 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  KAPTAINS KROWN Aug27         (smith george )BACON W 120 15.00    
3  SASSY B KEEN Mar09 Feb24 Dec29 Dec08   (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 8.00    
4  ZEN WARRIOR         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  ENANO CARO Feb18 Feb10       (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  RIDIN SOLO Aug26 Aug06 Jul20     (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WATCHNTHETIDEROLL Apr07 Mar08 Feb24 Dec27 Dec14 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.50    
8  LAKE SENSE Mar29 Mar03 Mar29 Jan13 Jan01 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 115 12.00    
 
FON-5   04/14/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBOWED Apr05 Mar22 Feb24 Feb17 Jan05 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  LOVER BOY Mar09 Sep18 Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
3  MONTEREY PENINSULA Mar29 Mar16 Mar09 Oct21 Sep24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 9% 10.20    
4  MYSTERIOUS TALE Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00    
5  WILD FIREMAKER Mar29 Mar17 Mar02 Jul17 Jul03 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
6  WILLET KINDA NIGHT Mar29 Mar22 Mar02 Aug28   (compton jesse)DELORME L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUEY DUEY Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Jan11 Dec02 (black marissa)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
FON-6   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Mar30 Mar17 Oct29 Oct08 May14 (becker h)DELORME L 125 15.00    
2  BUY NOW Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 Oct28 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 10.00    
3  MISSION IS A GO Mar30 Mar03 Oct29 Sep23 Aug28 (hines hans)MARTINEZ R 121 4.00    
4  TIZ RED TIME Mar30 Mar23 Mar08 Oct28 Oct22 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
5  ROCKETSHIP RUN Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18   (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  ONE LUCKY BOY Mar29 Mar03 Feb18 Nov30 Nov04 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  GAME'S KARTEL Mar30 Mar17 Mar08 Feb18   (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 ★    
8  WILLHE LOVE Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Oct22 Oct01 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
FON-7   04/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINISTER MAZ Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Dec07 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
2  BREAD WINNER Mar16 Dec16 Nov13 Sep30 Sep16 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
3  DARYL'S BOLT Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 Jun17 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 10.00    
4  SPECIAL OPERATOR Mar29 Mar16 Feb24 Feb01 Dec14 (gonzalez v)DELORME L 125 8.00 14% 6.40    
5  SUEZ Mar29 Mar16 Feb25 Feb17 Jan25 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
6  PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Mar16 Feb25 Jan05 Dec16 Nov29 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  CASPER JUSTICE Mar29 Mar16 Feb17 Dec27 Dec15 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 8.00 13% 6.50    
8  BLUEGRASS BREEZE Mar23 Feb25 Dec16 Nov18 Oct12 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-8   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN GEM Mar15 Mar01 Oct27 Oct21 Sep23 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
2  GARBO SPEAKS Mar24 Mar10 Mar01 Oct21 Aug06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 55% 0.80    
3  TIZ HOPPIN Mar29 Mar01 Feb24 Feb16 Nov13 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WATERS OF MEROM Mar15 Feb25 Dec27 Dec08 Nov25 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 7% 12.90    
5  TAPIT'S LADY Mar29 Mar17 Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 (zastrow cary)PICKNER XAVIER 120 12.00    
SCR  GLAMOROUS LIFE Oct08 Sep22 Sep04 Jul21 Jun30 (martinez kelli)DELORME L 125 10.00    
7  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Mar29 Mar17 Feb25 Jan06 Oct28 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00    
8  PALM COURT Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Oct22 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 7% 12.40    
SCR  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Apr07 Mar17 Mar01 Aug13 Jul27 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.