Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/8/5/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/5/3/2)-(4/2/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/8/5/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/3/2)-(7/8/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/3/2)-(7/8/5/3/2)-(7/8/5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/5/3/2)-(4/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/3/2)-(4/2/3/8)-(1/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/1/8)-(4/2/3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/3/8)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/8)-(1/4/6)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/5/1)-(11/3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(11/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(11/3/7/1)-(4/3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (11/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/7/1)-(11/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/7/1)-(11/3/7/1)-(11/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/3/7/1)-(4/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/3/7/1)-(4/3/2/5)-(10/4/7/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(10/4/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/4/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/7/9/1)-(10/4/7/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/7/9/1)-(10/4/7/9/1)-(10/4/7/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMASH FACTOR Feb17 Jan24 Jan12 Dec13 Oct21 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  O ROMEO Dec15 Nov21 Nov01 Oct05 Sep25 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 ★    
3  CAJUN HOPE Feb17 Jan17 Dec10 Oct01 May14 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  FREELANCE Feb17 Jan14 Aug11 Apr29 Apr19 (manning denni)IORIO MELISSA 114 3.00    
5  MEROKEE Feb10 Jan13 Jan15 Sep24 Jul29 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
6  CLEVELAND ROCKS Jan21         (ellebracht gar)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 57% 0.70    
7  THE GOLDEN ONE Feb17 Feb04 Jan24 Jan06 Dec23 (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 10.00    
 
TAM-2   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Feb09 Jan17       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
2  PIZZICATO         (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00    
3  MISS FABIANA Mar02 Jan24 Dec22     (yanez rey)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00 7% 13.80    
4  ABOVE THE SKY         (nunez mauricio)SUAREZ JESUS 120 15.00    
5  GLORIOUS LADY         (o'connell kath)COTTO L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CRAFTY CAJUN         (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
7  AWESOME ELISSA Feb18         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
8  STYLE TO FOLLOW         (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
TAM-3   03/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASUAL CAUSE         (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
2  A ROSE FOR TINA Feb21 Oct16 Sep21 Sep04 Aug21 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAS VINO Mar01 Feb09 Jan17 Dec31 Dec02 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 120 3.50 9% 9.80    
4  LADYS CHANT Feb02 Jan17       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00    
5  LITERATI Jan31 Jan13 Dec22 Dec02   (morey wil)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00 14% 6.30    
6  CAJUN GAL Feb28 Feb09 Jan05 Dec23   (paragallo jenn)MBATHA LUCKY 113 15.00    
7  ALMA PURA Feb24 Feb02 Jan05 Dec02   (agostini ar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  TOUGH DAME         (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 15% 5.50    
9  PINK ROSE Feb21 Jan03       (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
10  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Feb09 Jan31 Jan12 Nov18   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
 
TAM-4   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK CHALK Jun17 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan27 (smith ro)CASTANON L 118 6.00 ★    
2  GENERAL COMMAND Feb14 Jan06 Dec13 Aug20 Jul29 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.50 10% 9.50    
3  DISCREET DEVIL Feb21 Dec13 Dec01 Nov12 Oct05 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 3.00 6% 15.80    
4  WOW WISH Feb14 Dec23 Dec03 Oct01 Aug13 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
5  JEST ABOVE Feb21 Feb10 Jan13 Jan06 Dec23 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
6  MO TOWN BLUES Dec06 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 Oct03 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 30.00    
7  UNIQUE PATH Feb24 Jan21 Jan06 Dec09 Aug26 (rhone bernell)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
8  ETRETAT Feb24 Feb10 Jan13 Dec29 Dec13 (wasiluk pete)MORELOS E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BAD HENRY Mar01 Feb09 Jan26 Jan06 Dec09 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
10  ACTION DREAM Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan06 Dec23 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 30.00    
11  TIGERITO Mar01 Oct06 Jun15 May19 Feb22 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
 
TAM-5   03/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Feb11 Jan19 Dec15 Nov25 Jun30 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
2  INFLUENTIALOUS Jan31 Jan05 Nov29 Sep10 Aug11 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00    
3  TIKI BAR Feb25 Jan19 Dec29 Dec16 Feb16 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 ★    
4  SARATOGA GAZE Feb25 Jan21 Dec23 Dec01 Oct06 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Feb11 Jan27 Jan12 Nov22 Oct19 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
6  LADY AZTECA Feb14 Jan24 Dec17 Oct28 Sep01 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE GIA Feb11 Jan17 Dec08 Sep05 Aug01 (vaccarezza )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00    
SCR  AZTEC PRINCESS Feb25 Oct24 Oct05 Sep06 Aug21 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
9  MS BOOMBASTIC Jan26 Dec29 Oct28 Oct13 Sep22 (posadas pedro)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
10  CALLAS Feb11 Jan19 Dec01 Sep29 Aug28 (house ga)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Feb11 Jan17 Dec01 Oct12 Sep03 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
SCR  ANADOR (FR) Feb25 Jan31 Jul01 Jun03 May05 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
13  FABULOUS CANDY Jan28 Jan03 Dec20 Aug09 Jul13 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
SCR  HEARTBURN Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Dec29 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
 
TAM-6   03/10/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINK N WINK Feb18         (manchan ber)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ALICE B WINKLE by GONE ASTRAY)
2  PROTECTIVE Jul22         (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.00 61% 0.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GRACE HALL by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  GOES THE CLOWN Jan13 Dec03       (d'angelo f)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MARI'S BIG ROCK by DIAMOND)
4  CAUSEWAY Jan13         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JAMYSON 'N GINGER by BERNARDINI)
5  SALACIOUS Feb10 Dec28 Dec09 Nov11   (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by TAPIT out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
6  MORE VINO         (pletcher tod)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FAIR HUNTRESS by TIZNOW)
 
TAM-7   03/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Feb04 Dec13 May05 Apr07 Feb18 (yanez )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IRWANI (ARG) Feb24 Feb16 Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 (d'angelo f)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
3  HARROW Feb16 Dec24 Apr16 Apr05 Mar08 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
4  LOVE ME NOT Dec02 Oct14 Sep16 Aug18 Jul15 (ciamei matth)MORELOS E 119 20.00    
5  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Feb16 Jan27 Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 (connelly)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
6  HAPPY RUNNER Jan03 Dec01 Sep24 Sep02 Jul08 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
7  YOU MUST CHILL Feb16 Jan27 Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 (philipp kar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  DENYING Feb24 Feb16 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 112 30.00    
9  HAKKIMI (CHI) Mar03 Feb03 Jan06 Nov18 Sep09 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
SCR  CONVERSING Jan27 Dec23 Nov08 Oct13 Oct02 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
11  SHARAR Feb08 Oct14 Sep09 Aug05 Jul01 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
TAM-8   03/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBSTREPEROUS Feb24 Feb04 Jan10 Dec02   (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
2  PEGGYSUE I LOVE U Feb16 Feb02 Jan10     (rodriguez d)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
3  GIRVIN'S PRINCESS Feb16 Jan13 Nov29 Sep29 Sep03 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  HOPESNDREAMS Feb16 Jan10 Dec20 Sep28 Sep10 (dini mike)CASTANON L 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  TWIZZLE Feb18         (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  U LITE UP MY LIFE Feb04 Dec20 Dec02 Nov19   (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
7  EXPECTING A WINNER Jan31 Dec02       (hardesty lesli)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
8  AMY MULE Feb04 Jan17 Dec02 Jul29   (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
 
TAM-9   03/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN FORCE Feb17 Jan27 Sep09 Aug26 Aug10 (house gary)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
2  GAV N BRODY Feb16 Jan20       (cudworth paul)COTTO L 120 30.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of KLUKI by JOHAR)
3  KORU         (brown c)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILKEN LILY by GRAND SLAM)
4  NOBLE FACTOR Feb03 Dec22       (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PRINCESS TAYLOR by SINGSPIEL)
SCR  GRAND KINGDOM Nov11 Oct22 Sep30 Sep01 Aug05 (parra hern)URDANETA J 120 30.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
6  ANGLICAN         (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
7  COBBLESTONE BRIDGE Aug03         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by IRONICUS out of CARRIAGE TRAIL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  GRAN YACO Feb17 Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 Oct26 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  PATRIOT BLUECHIP Jan26         (guciar)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00 7% 13.20    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ASHLEY RIVER by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
10  CATCH A WAVE         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by CURLIN out of HARMONIZE by SCAT DADDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.