Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/1/7)-(3/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(3/1/5)-(5/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/1/2)-(9/6/1/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(9/6/1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(9/6/1/2/3)-(7/5/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-5   WIN (9/6/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/2/3)-(9/6/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/2/3)-(9/6/1/2/3)-(9/6/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/1/2/3)-(7/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1/2/3)-(7/5/3)-(2/5/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(2/5/4/7)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/9/1/7)-(5/2/9/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVERTIDA Jan06 Dec01 Nov14 Oct28 Jun03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GET TIED ON by TASSO)
2  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Jan07 Nov18 Nov08 Oct11 Sep30 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of I'M IN HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  SCOOTER'S HONOR Jan05 Nov30       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SCOOT ON BY by CATIENUS)
4  DULCE AMANECER YG Jan07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 8.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
5  TAPS MISTRESS Jan05 Nov02 Sep04 Jul02   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 74% 0.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  UPTOWN GOLDENGOODS Jan07 Oct28       (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 4.50 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SHE'S GOT DA GOODS by LYRACIST)
 
HOU-2   01/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDONS WAVE Jan05 Nov09 Oct21 Sep29 Aug06 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 4.50 11% 8.40    
2  MOROLICIOUS Jan06 Oct12 Sep23 Sep07 Aug24 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 15.00    
SCR  HYPERION NORTH Jan12 Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 (t)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
4  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jan12 Sep18 Aug22 Aug02 Jul03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50    
5  MR B QUIET Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 Oct13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 4.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  GET WITT GONE Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 Aug21 Jul23 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 3.50    
7  CRAZY RIDGE Aug27 Aug06 Jul02 Jun10 May28 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  COWBOY RIDGE Jan05 Sep11 Aug19 Jul03 Jun10 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
 
HOU-3   01/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPSTER Jan05         (george wayne)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of MISS SECRET HEART by TINNERS WAY)
2  BAYOU BOY         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of DALLAS BLONDE by CITY ZIP)
3  HEZAKOOLKAT Jan06 Jul03 Jun03     (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of KAT'S INFATUATION by SILVER CITY)
SCR  COMES THE SUN         (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
  (by GUNNER'S VIEW out of WINNING WONDER by SWORD DANCE (IRE))
5  TOO INTIMIDATING Jun23 Jun04 May20 May07   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
6  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Jan05 Jun17 Jun03     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 2.50    
  (by KEEP UP out of L T RECKLESS by HENNY HUGHES)
7  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY         (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DON'T BLAME BUNKER by SILVER CITY)
8  UBSINGINTHEBLUES Jan05 Jun17       (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 10.00    
  (by MR. BESILU out of ONESONGSALLITTAKES by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
HOU-4   01/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OZZIES WINGS Y G Jan06 Nov17 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 (mendoza edga)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 34% 2.00    
2  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jul03 Jun04       (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CASINO MO Dec08 Nov20 Oct28 Sep29 Jul03 (eoff terry)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
SCR  TIGERS 'N BEARS Nov17 Sep24 Aug31     (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 123 3.00    
5  BANDERA BLING Jan06 Aug29 Aug12 Jul03   (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
6  UNBRIDLED BLING Jan06 Nov17 Oct21 Sep13   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 2.00    
 
HOU-5   01/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMPUS Sep27 Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 Jun18 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 8.00 9% 10.30    
2  SWEET SASSICAIA Jan13 Sep09 Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  HIT'EM UP Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 Jul04 May27 (tuley rho)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NIGHT ORB Dec16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 Jun15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.50    
5  MISS CHECKMARK Feb28 Feb15 Dec27 Nov10 Oct19 (sauceda jesse)MORA GERARDO 121 30.00    
6  GRAY ZONE Sep27 Aug31 Jun18 May27 Mar18 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  CONFLICTING TALES Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Jul03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.50    
8  KLEINMEISTER May27 Nov10 Oct13 Aug19 Aug05 (k)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
9  BASKET CASE Jan13 Nov29 Nov09 Sep21 Sep08 (davidson sara)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
HOU-6   01/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT LADY Dec15 Nov18 Nov08     (davidson n)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
2  SINGSATIONAL Dec15 Oct12 Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.50    
3  GYPSAN Dec29 Dec15 Nov21 Oct25 Sep01 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANNA UP Nov17 Oct28 Oct11 Sep16 Aug31 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 120 30.00    
5  MISS GOLD Dec01 Nov10 Oct11     (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  KRIK TAK Dec15 Nov10 Sep30 Aug31   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
7  RECHARGE Dec14         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.00 53% 0.90    
 
HOU-7   01/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCAPING THE BLUES Jan07 Dec09 Nov20 Sep22 Aug26 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 12.00    
2  INEXORABLE Jan07 Dec29 Nov16 Nov03 Oct11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 1.40 43% 1.30    
3  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Oct04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
4  AVAILABLE STAR Dec29 Dec13 Nov24 Jun03 May13 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 10.00 10% 8.60    
5  STAR SAILOR Dec16 Oct28 Sep29 Sep06 Aug25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  FIRST LINE Dec07 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep14 (gustafson au)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50    
7  WITT'S TAQUITO Aug26 Jul16 Jun03 Apr29 Apr20 (sauceda jesse)MORA GERARDO 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
HOU-8   01/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Nov08 Apr08 Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 (mckinney )TRIANA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
2  MOLLY OF STRATFORD Dec07 Nov08 Mar16 Feb03   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 7% 13.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of PINKPRINT by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  BREEZY BAY Jun03 Mar17 Mar04     (rottweile)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 30.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of BREEZY KNOWL by VAN NISTELROOY)
4  CHARMING LEAH Nov10 Sep12 Aug24 Jul01 Jun08 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 3.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
5  GO BETTY JO         (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 4.00 67% 0.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PARTY SMART by SMART STRIKE)
6  PLATINUM PHANTOM Jan07 Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 May29 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  PINK SOLITAIRE Dec16 Nov10 Oct19 Aug16 Jun30 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 ★    
  (by EXCAPER out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
8  WITCH WAY GRAY Nov10 Oct05 Sep07 Aug19 Jul02 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
  (by SASHA'S PROSPECT out of CAPTURE THIS STAR by KITALPHA)
9  MARKET PROFILE Nov16 Oct12 Jun27 Nov26 Oct30 (hebert )GONCALVES R 123 6.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of RECOUPE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.