Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - November 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/1/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/6/4)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/1)-(12/7/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(12/7/1/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(12/7/1/9)-(6/2/5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-5   WIN (12/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/7/1/9)-(12/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/7/1/9)-(12/7/1/9)-(12/7/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/7/1/9)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/7/1/9)-(6/2/5/1)-(9/1/3/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(9/1/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(9/1/3/4/2)-(3/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (9/1/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/4/2)-(9/1/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/4/2)-(9/1/3/4/2)-(9/1/3/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/4/2)-(3/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/4/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/5/7)-(2/12) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(2/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRX-10   WIN (2/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/12)-(2/8/1/13/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/12)-(2/8/1/13/12)-(2/8/1/13/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   11/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL DISCRETION Oct18 Oct02 Aug29 Jul24 Jun26 (guerre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 1.60 22% 3.50    
2  DEBBIE'S SURPRISE Nov01 Oct11 Oct02 Sep04 Jul18 (flores-coba f)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
3  JOY'S PRIDE Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep02 Aug11 (huston ror)RIVERA R 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY JO JO Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 (iannotti )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
5  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Nov01 Oct11 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 8.00    
6  FAST MULE Oct19 Oct05 Jul15 Jun18 May27 (magee kieron)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
PRX-2   11/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISLADYIS THE LAW Aug03 Jun02 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 (reynolds patr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  MANI PEDI Nov01 Oct11 Aug31 Aug08 Jul14 (castillo mich)RIVERA D 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  BEYOND A MILLION Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 Jul10 (mosco robert)CORREA JULIO 122 3.00    
4  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Oct25 May23 May09 Apr18 Feb27 (ramirez silvi)RANGEL JOEZER 122 10.00    
5  MISS LOYALTY Oct26 Oct11 Aug30 Aug05 Jul11 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 7% 13.20    
6  BRODY SLAM Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 Aug22 May31 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 122 20.00    
7  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Nov01 Oct11 Sep09 Sep02 Jul16 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.00    
SCR  LONDONDERRY Oct28 Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 (penaloza mi)RAMOS C 122 15.00    
 
PRX-3   11/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PARTY Oct30 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00    
2  BRAVO REGINA Aug22 Aug02 Jul16 Apr27 Apr07 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
3  APPEALINGTOTHE EYE Oct23 Sep06 Aug02 Jun03 May12 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00    
4  COLLECTIVE GOLD Aug11 Jul30 Jun30 Jun02 Apr12 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  BUNNY BONUS Oct11 Aug23 Jul11 Jan17 Nov21 (preciado guada)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  SAVE YOUR TEARS Oct25 Sep29 Aug28 Jul10 Jun19 (mccaslin john)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  EIGHTY EIGHT KEYS Oct30 Oct10 Sep11 May25 May11 (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 15.00    
 
PRX-4   11/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITANIC ROSE Oct18 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (padilla-preciado)CASTILLO A 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  OLD HEAD Oct18 Oct03 Aug29 Jul11 May31 (velazquez alf)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50    
3  JOLENE JOLENE Oct18 Sep12 Aug11 Aug03 Jun15 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul26 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00    
5  BOHEMIA BABE Oct31 Oct11 Sep19 Aug22 Jul28 (mercedes pe)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
6  SHELL BELLE Oct30 Oct16 Oct09 Sep11 Oct29 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
PRX-5   11/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL' LATE LUCK Oct30 Oct11 Sep04 Aug13 Jun17 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
2  THE FURMANATOR May01 Apr17 Mar08 Jan30 Dec20 (vega richard)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
3  LUCKY BREEZE Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 Aug29 Jul04 (arce josue)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 30.00    
4  WHY NOT BABE Oct30 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jul12 (curry dee)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
5  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug24 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 122 30.00    
SCR  QUEEN LUCKY Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Jul18 Jul04 (wyner harold)RIVERA D 122 20.00    
7  BAY AND GOLD Oct23 Sep18 Jul11 Jun30 May09 (pino micha)RIVERA R 113 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LA LA LUCY Oct11 Oct04 Sep11 Aug29 Jul24 (mann farrel)MOYA F 122 15.00    
9  LITTLE DOYLE Nov03 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug28 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  AMALFI LADY Oct11 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Jul12 (christman kimb)CORREA JULIO 118 20.00    
11  DUNE JUMPER Oct23 Oct11 Sep28 Sep18 Aug29 (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00    
12  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Oct09 Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 (ness j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 1.80 29% 2.50    
SCR  AUNT BERRA Oct03 Sep11 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (smylie timoth)OCASIO M 118 15.00    
SCR  INCOMPARABLE Oct23 Oct04 Sep18 Jul12 Jun28 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00    
SCR  WICKED LADY Oct23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun07 Apr27 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 122 20.00    
SCR  LORD JOAN Oct02 Sep18 Feb22 Feb15 Jan17 (collazo dan)CASTILLO A 122 12.00    
 
PRX-6   11/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE ANGRY MAN Nov01 Oct25 Oct14 Oct04 Sep02 (gallimore tre)TREJOS JOSEPH 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRYPT Oct23 Oct11 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 (guerrero car)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
3  MISCHIEVOUS JONES Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 Sep25 Sep07 (farro patrici)OCASIO M 122 3.50    
4  SOPHOS Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 Aug30 Jul26 (tapsas elias)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00    
5  FOREST SURVIVOR Oct21 Aug26 Jul30 Jun23 May21 (crowel)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 12.00 5% 17.70    
6  RUDY ROD Oct25 Sep26 Sep06 Apr16 Mar08 (velazquez a)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 4.50 53% 0.90    
7  RUNNINGFORHOME Oct16 Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00    
8  HIDDEN PROMISE Oct31 Oct23 Jul18 Jul03 Jun06 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 120 2.50    
SCR  CRAFTY DON Oct25 Sep26 Sep09 Jul23 Jul09 (perez ruperto )CORREA JULIO 122 15.00    
 
PRX-7   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHING DIAMOND Oct11 Sep25 Aug30 Aug09 Jun15 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
2  SYSTEMIC RISK Nov02 Sep19 Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PEACELOVENKARMA Oct23 Sep12 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (tapsas eli)RIVERA R 117 10.00 12% 7.10    
4  CAUSE I SAID Sep27 Jul12 Jun12 May22 May02 (castillo mic)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SKERRETT Oct23 Sep04 Aug03 Jul19 May15 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
SCR  MS MERRABEL Oct16 Sep27 Aug22 Jul19 Jul07 (martinez alexan)RUIZ ELISEO 117 12.00    
7  PONTIFFANY Oct11 Oct04 Aug28 Aug11 Jun26 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  TILSA Oct23 Oct11 Sep20 Aug28 Aug06 (dandy j)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00    
9  ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Oct11 Aug30 Aug03 Jun12 Mar21 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
10  CLASSY MISS Oct16 Sep19 Sep04 Jul26 Jul11 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 20.00    
11  TWIRLING WIND Oct25 Oct09 Sep09 Aug12 Jul18 (kirby t)TORRES JOMAR 125 8.00    
12  GLORY DIA Oct23 Sep23 Aug30 Jun10 May21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
 
PRX-8   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIAGIO Oct10         (padilla-preciad)BOWMAN ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TRUE YANKEE by MUNNINGS)
2  FACE THE FACTS Oct10 Sep23       (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of ELLESMERE by TABASCO CAT)
3  TWILIGHT DANCER Oct23 Sep23       (lake a)PENNINGTON F 119 0.60 52% 0.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
4  BAD BAD MR. BROWN Oct24 Sep23       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of CANTINA KID by LEMON DROP KID)
5  KOHLER'S Oct14 Sep23 Aug21     (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BANDBOX out of DUNE DRIVE AVALON by HOLY BULL)
6  DON TEQUILAS Oct10 Sep12       (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SURPRISING TWIST by UNION RAGS)
7  HARRISON C Oct10         (dotolo davi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 20.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
 
PRX-9   11/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE COPY Apr12 Mar30 Mar06 Jan24 Dec12 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 12.00    
2  SHETALKSTOMUCH Oct18 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul19 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
3  DIALHERUP Oct11 Sep22 Jul29 Jul08 May06 (mosco robert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 1.60 65% 0.50    
4  DENALI RAE Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul19 Jul10 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
5  COMEDY ACT Oct21 Oct02 Sep23 Sep05 Aug17 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 2.50 9% 10.40    
6  KISSES FOR EMILY Oct02 Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00    
7  ET'S MOON MAIDEN Oct24 Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 Jul12 (chacon gustavo)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRY DREAMS Oct25 Jan26 Jan02 Dec02 Nov08 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.50 ★    
2  MARION GRACE Oct19 Sep19 Aug21 Jul26 Jun19 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 118 2.50 74% 0.40    
3  SWEET LILLY FACTUM Oct30 Oct02 Jul18 Jun13 May23 (nicholson j)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 30.00    
SCR  XENATOWN Oct25 Sep12 Aug30 Jul26 Jul04 (diaz jorge)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 8.00    
5  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug25 (jones carl)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
6  CINNAMON DREAM Sep25 Sep04 Aug18 Jul26 Jun27 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50    
7  PEARLBDANCING Oct02 Aug30 Jun12 May16 May01 (bullock jorda)OCASIO M 122 30.00    
8  MORE RANSOM Oct30 Oct18 Oct09 Sep15 Jun09 (diaz jorge)CORREA JULIO 122 6.00 ★    
9  CUP OF LIFE Oct07 Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 Jun19 (hamilton s)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00    
10  LITTLE RED BUTTON Oct30 Oct14 Sep09 Aug12 Jul27 (king clarenc)BURKE JERMAINE 122 20.00    
11  VANISHING FAITH Oct30 Sep20 Aug30 Jul26 Jun30 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 10.00    
12  FRANKLY MY DEAR Oct11 Sep12 Sep05 Aug10 Apr26 (martinez alexan)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  PARISIAN VIBE Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 Jun30 Jun24 (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.