Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/5/2)-(2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/7)-(3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/1/2)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(7/1/4/6)-(1/10/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-5   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(1/10/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/6)-(1/10/9/5)-(2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/10/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/5)-(1/10/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/5)-(1/10/9/5/8)-(1/10/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/9/5)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9/5)-(2/7/1)-(5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   11/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURTEIS Oct04 Sep19 Sep09 Aug30 Aug18 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
UNXPECTED TIGER Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 Jun23 Apr28 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
TELECAST Jul01 Jun12 May06 Apr03 Feb27 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 6.00 52% 0.90    
SETTE STELLE Oct23 Oct13 Oct04 Sep19 Sep09 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 10.00    
EL BUFFALO Oct04 Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 Jul12 (machado ant)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 8.00    
MY BIG DRAMA Oct13 Sep29 Sep14 Sep02 Aug16 (rigattieri john)MENA E 123 2.00    
NEW JERSEY HEIST Oct04 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 (simoff andrew)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
 
DEL-2   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILLI ROSE Oct05 Sep22 Aug09 Jul21 Jun26 (wagner karin)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 6.00    
INCONTROVERTIBLE Oct06 Aug26 Aug06 Jun09 May13 (meister wi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
D'ORO BABY Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun22 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 10.00    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug05 Jul20 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 8.00    
SOUTH PACIFIC Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 May18 Apr23 (eppler e)CEDENO CAROL 122 1.80 18% 4.60    
MY JO JO Oct19 Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 (iannotti )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
DEL-3   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MITHRIDATES Oct19 Oct04 Aug24 Jul28 Jul15 (chichakly am)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
MINNY SPEIGHTSTER Oct07 Jul19       (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 115 3.00 28% 2.50    
AWESOME FRIEND Oct07 Sep16 Aug13     (hamilt)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 114 10.00    
SCR  LIZZYSLILMAN         (cooper steve)CEDENO CAROL 115 6.00    
CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Sep22 Aug26       (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
FAST LEARNER         (simoff a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00    
WESLEY THOMAS Oct07 Sep14 Sep02 Jul12 Jun10 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
DEL-4   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN THUNDER Oct04 Sep13 Aug12 Jul14 Jun01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00 8% 10.80    
CHAMPION BY DESIGN Oct23 Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (brooks geral)BATISTA A 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
FIRST RULE Oct20 Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
DIALING DIXIE Oct01 Aug27 Aug18 Jul06 May27 (haughton do)CHATRIE E 110 8.00    
SNEAKINESS Oct11 Aug26 Jul28 Jul08 Jun18 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
HINDENBURG Oct18 Oct03 Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 (brooks gerald)CHAVEZ ANDRES 110 10.00    
BERMONDSEY Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 Nov01 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 6.00    
 
DEL-5   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY REAL DREAM Sep16 Jul29 Jun24 Dec15 Oct23 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
MAKE MINE A STELLA Oct19 Aug18 Jul06     (gerlach )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 10.00    
JUMP A FOX Sep09 Aug06 Jul01 May01 Apr07 (meister wi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 8.00    
PANTHER COMMAND Sep06 Jul01 Jun12     (nixon justin)HIRALDO JOHN 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
BIONIC KAT Oct11 Sep22 Aug28 Jul05 Jun14 (padilla hug)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 8.00    
S K MOON Oct23 Aug18       (deiter lynn)ESCOBAR E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE PROMISE Oct08 Sep29 Sep09 Aug05 Jul19 (wagner karin)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
SOCIAL REBEL Sep25 Jul26 Jun20     (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00    
PINK SUNSET Oct19 Sep22 Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 (rodriguez j)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 3.50    
 
DEL-6   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL OF THE BEAST Oct04 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15   (brooks geral)BATISTA A 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Oct19 Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 120 15.00    
MY TRUE PASSION Oct19 Aug23 Jun30 Jun02 Oct29 (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
MONTANA JOYCE May25 May03 Apr16 Mar31 Mar18 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
DANCE STEP Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 Aug19 Jul28 (simone micha)ARROYO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Oct18 Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Aug05 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 10.00    
MO STYLISH Oct04 Aug19 Jun28 Jun09 May25 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
CHECKCASHINGCONNIE Oct19 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00    
BIG AMBITION Oct18 Sep20 Aug09 Jul23 Jun25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 7% 12.60    
10  SANSA ARIEL Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Sep01 Jul19 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
DEL-7   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($28K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPPERMINT CLASS Oct04 Sep15 Aug24 Jul15 Jun22 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
RAGTIME BELLE Oct06 Aug24 Jul15 Jun24 May24 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
HALO CITY Aug30 Jul20 Jun02 May26 Apr03 (atras rob)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
HASHTAG LUCKY Oct15 Sep28 Sep04 Aug19 Jul22 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
MISTY MAUVE Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 Jul15 May19 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 120 10.00    
SCR  CARROLL GIRL Sep28 Aug24 Jul15 Jun28 May11 (gorham michae)ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.50    
HAZARDOUS HUMOR Oct06 Sep15 Jul22 Jun18 May20 (pecoraro )VARGAS A 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
IRIE EMPRESS Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul24 Jun21 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
 
DEL-8   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE ATKA Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul06 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
KASHAN Oct14 Sep09 Aug25 Jul23 Jul01 (grullon )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 117 10.00    
BREEZY CONNECTION Oct06 Sep15 Sep04 Aug26 Aug16 (brooks geral)BATISTA A 121 8.00 12% 7.60    
SYSTEMIC RISK Sep19 Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 (aristone phili)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
WILLFUL DESIRE Sep24 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jun25 (jacobson d)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Oct04 Sep02 Aug16 Aug06 Jun10 (jacobson david)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.00    
TAM CHAR Oct14 Sep09 Aug26 Jun10 May14 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 3.00 16% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.