Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (8/9/3/4/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/4/13)-(8/9/3/4/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/4/13)-(8/9/3/4/13)-(8/9/3/4/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/3/4/13)-(6/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/4/13)-(6/7/4)-(3/1/8/12/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(3/1/8/12/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(3/1/8/12/2)-(6/7/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-3   WIN (3/1/8/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/12/2)-(3/1/8/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/12/2)-(3/1/8/12/2)-(3/1/8/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/8/12/2)-(6/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/12/2)-(6/7/5)-(9/2/11/13/14) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(9/2/11/13/14) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(9/2/11/13/14)-(2/3/6/8/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (9/2/11/13/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/11/13/14)-(9/2/11/13/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/11/13/14)-(9/2/11/13/14)-(9/2/11/13/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/11/13/14)-(2/3/6/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/2/11/13/14)-(2/3/6/8/10)-(11/4/15) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-6   WIN (2/3/6/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8/10)-(2/3/6/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8/10)-(2/3/6/8/10)-(2/3/6/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/6/8/10)-(11/4/15) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/8/10)-(11/4/15)-(2/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (11/4/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/4/15)-(11/4/8/15) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/4/15)-(11/4/8/15)-(11/4/8/15) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/4/15)-(2/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIFTER Oct01 Sep01 Aug19     (schoenthal ph)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
SCENIC MOON Oct01 Sep08       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MYSTIC LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
MORTAL SIN Sep30 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (doran carl)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00 5% 18.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GALADRIEL'S LIGHT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
GRAND KINGDOM Sep30 Sep01 Aug05 Jul27   (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  REGALO Sep15         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.60    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PERFECT BOURBON by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  BRYSONS OPTION Oct13 Sep23 Aug22     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
SANDERSON Sep30 Sep01       (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of SILENT JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
MONEY IN MOTION Oct01 Aug25       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIRST ON FIRST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CITY LEADER         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HAWKSMOOR by AZAMOUR)
10  EL DIVINO NINO Oct05         (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of CAROLINA TAPPER by TAPIT)
11  RAPTURE BAY Aug20         (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
SCR  OTELLO         (clement christophe)NO RIDER 122 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
13  CHACHACHING Sep02 Aug05 Jul27     (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
SCR  PASSIONED Oct01 Aug25 Aug03 Jun16   (nixon justin)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CERTAINLY SPECIAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  LAST POST Oct01         (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  HAPPY JAUNT Oct01         (duarte jorge )LYNCH FEARGAL 122 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
 
LRL-2   10/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DONNA'S COURAGE Aug06 Jul15 Jun02 Apr30 Feb18 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 123 2.50    
SCR  FASHIONATTA Oct01 Aug18 Jul16 Jul08 May07 (mcmahon hugh )CHAVEZ ANDRES 112 2.50    
LOTTACLASS LILSASS Sep17 Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 May26 (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
MARTHARITA Sep14 Sep01 Mar25 Feb11 Jan20 (horner el)HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
SULLIVAN STREET Oct05 Aug18 Jul19 Jul02 May27 (eppler mary)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GINGER GIRL Oct05 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 (shankle joann)ALVELO C 123 3.50    
THUNDER BOSS Oct01 Sep15 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 63% 0.60    
SISTREN Oct05 Sep22 Sep04 Aug25 Jul08 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 8% 11.70    
THENCOMEMORNING May05 Apr13 Mar19 Feb11 Jan22 (howard davi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00    
GWYNEDD Sep08 Jul21 Jun09 Feb24 Feb03 (perkins j)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00    
 
LRL-3   10/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN NO JOKE Aug26 Jul23 Jul15 Jun17 May28 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
MALIBU COWBOY Oct07 Sep12 Aug23 Nov20 Oct28 (cuttino mario)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
CRAZY ODDS Oct05 Sep06 Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.50 27% 2.70    
CASINO TRICKS Sep16 Aug30       (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
HAMPDEN LANE Oct05 Sep10 Feb12 Jan13 Nov26 (heil b)CEDENO CAROL 126 8.00    
UNCLE REMI Sep16 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul09 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 50.00    
STRONG FINISH Oct05 Apr15 Mar31 Jul03   (klesaris robe)ALVELO C 123 6.00    
IRISH WARLOCK Sep29 Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 123 12.00 13% 6.50    
FLASH IS BACK Oct05 Aug18 Nov06 Oct21 Sep30 (mcfarla)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
10  SIR LANCE Aug18 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 Mar15 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00    
11  JUDY'S ARMY Sep10 Aug11 Jul15 May07 Sep04 (vera miguel)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
12  BUBBA CHROME Oct05 Sep02 Aug05 Jun16 May06 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  GET THEM DIGITS Oct05 Sep06 Aug26 Aug02 Jul14 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 15.00    
SCR  ROCKIN THE PALACE Sep19 Aug10 Jul19 Jul10 May30 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 121 20.00    
SCR  TI SENTO (IRE) Sep16 May26 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (crook-demasi )KARAMANOS A 123 15.00    
SCR  DUCKPINS Oct07 Sep08 Aug06 Dec30 Nov27 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 119 20.00    
 
LRL-4   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Sep22 Aug27 Aug23 Aug18 Aug04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 4.50    
HIS ROYAL G Sep22 Sep01 Aug05 Jul26 Jul07 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
BOWIE TWO STEP Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
BACKATYA Aug27 Jul14 Jul06 Jun15 May27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.00    
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Sep03 Aug06 Jul15 Jun23 Jun02 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
INSIDE STUNT Oct07 Aug20 Jul29 May28 Apr15 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 41% 1.50    
HERE AND NOFURTHER Sep04 Aug26 Aug17 Jul13 Jul02 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-5   10/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VENOMOUS VIXEN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SHAWKLIT CAKE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
THIS COUNTRY         (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BATTLE FLAG by WAR FRONT)
SCR  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BOX OFFICE SMASH by GERI)
NORMAL         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of DOWELL HOUSE by DANZIG)
SCR  DUELA DENT         (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MONKAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  PRINCESS BLAME Oct01         (gonzalez clau)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of OUT OF MY DREAMS by TWO PUNCH)
SCORPIA         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SCORPIO QUEEN by CHOISIR (AUS))
DATAW ISLAND         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SOMETHING WICKED         (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
10  MAYFLY Sep16 Aug17 Jun11     (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CRYSTAL MOONLIGHT by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
11  IRISH RAGE         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of RAGING STORM by ILLINOIS STORM)
SCR  OUTFACTORED Aug02         (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of OUTRANK by COLONEL JOHN)
13  GHOSTLY ANNA         (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
14  RISKY BEESNESS         (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of RISKY AGENDA by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  SHARMIN Oct01 Sep08 Aug24     (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
  (by MOSLER out of CASABLANCA LILY by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
SCR  TEQUILA TARA Oct01         (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPICE LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
LRL-6   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R B'S BIG MOMENT Oct05 Sep03       (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
LADY ON THE GO         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
NO WALK INTHE PARK         (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 12% 7.10    
CUNDI Sep29 Sep03 Aug25 Aug11 Jul26 (corrales jose)MONTERREY R 122 15.00    
SIPPIN' TIME Oct05 Aug11 Jul22     (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
WAIT FOR TOMORROW Oct03 Aug24 Jul21 Jun25   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 2.50 12% 7.10    
BRASSIC Jun23         (lucas ant)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
FLINNY TIN TIN         (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00 11% 8.20    
PAMZ PALACE Oct01 Sep10 Aug12     (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
10  MARTHA'S HEART         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   10/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUNGEST OF FIVE Aug20 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May06 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.00    
SCR  CLUBMAN Oct14 Sep02 Aug10 Jul22 Jun23 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 119 2.50    
SCR  JACKIE A Sep22 Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (walters h)CARRASCO R 119 30.00    
KING'S HONOR (IRE) Sep15 Sep02 Jun18 May19 Nov07 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00 18% 4.50    
CONSULTANT Oct07 Aug12 Jul13 Jun17 Nov07 (klesaris robert )CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
CANNON'S ROAR Oct14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun11 May19 (capuano phi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50    
SIR TERRE Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 Jun25 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
GUNSLINGER (IRE) Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 Jul09 Jun09 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
SCR  THE KING CHEEK Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 Jun13 May22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
10  PAPAL LAW Oct05 Sep15 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 (wolfe jr)ALVELO C 119 20.00    
11  YOU MUST CHILL Oct05 Aug18 Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Sep02 Jul30 Jun24 May27 Mar31 (eubanks)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
SCR  GREG'S HONOR Oct09 Sep18 Sep02 Aug23 Aug08 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 118 20.00    
SCR  SITTIN ON GO Oct06 Aug19 Jul27 Jul01 May12 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 1.80    
15  FORTUNE'S FOOL Jun30 Jun14 May24 Oct13 Sep09 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY BOY COLTON Oct12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 Jun28 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 30.00    
 
LRL-8   10/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBONITE Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug20 Jul09 (ginter raym)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
SALOON Sep24 Sep08 Aug11 Jun21 Oct15 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.00 40% 1.50    
BIG ROWDY DAN Sep24 Sep03 Aug02 Jul15 Jun21 (sanchez)BRICENO GREGOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ABUELO PAPS Oct05 Sep15 Aug20 Jul30 Jun11 (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
MY MAMBA Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 Aug03 May29 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00    
SWITZER Oct05 Aug03 Jul07 May21 Mar05 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
GRABBING THE MONEY Jun27 Jun07 May16 May01 Apr05 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 20.00    
CAJUN DREAM Sep27 Sep02 Aug11 Jul02 May27 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
TRASH TALKIN LARRY Oct13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 Mar10 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.