Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/7/1)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(5/2)-(4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/5)-(6/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/7/2)-(6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(6/2/5)-(3/8/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-6   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(3/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(3/8/7)-(2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-7   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE AT MIDNIGHT Oct06 Sep09 Aug23 Jul19 Dec31 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 6.00    
2  CHEZ SOLEIL Oct06 Aug23 Aug03 Jul01 Jun17 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
3  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Oct10 Sep08 Aug16 Jun13 Apr21 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
4  QUANTICO CREEK Sep04 Aug05 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (shuman mark)ARROYO S 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  CIVIL NOTION Sep30 Sep04 Aug23 Jun12 Mar15 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 8.00    
6  BELIEVE IN FREEDOM Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 (bentley fenne)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  CHASING ARTEMIS Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul19 (sanchez-sal)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 10.00    
 
DEL-2   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAW Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 Jun28 Apr15 (bailon nesvil )CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 15% 5.80    
2  FOREST SURVIVOR Aug26 Jul30 Jun23 May21 Mar12 (potts wayne)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  POSITIVELY AWESOME Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug04 Jul11 (kelly blake)ARROYO S 121 6.00    
4  GREAT GO GO Oct11 Sep02 Aug12 Jul20 Jun22 (sullivan e)COLINA ALEJANDRO 121 8.00    
5  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Oct09 Sep20 Aug26 Jul29 Jun16 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 115 8.00    
6  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Sep22 Sep02 Aug24 Aug04 Jun22 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 3.00    
7  TANKINATOR Oct11 Sep21 Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 (gayle we)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
DEL-3   10/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVASIVE MOVES         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 8.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  EDDIE FELSON Sep30 Sep08       (shuman mark)ARROYO S 118 3.50 15% 5.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CROWN THAT SAINT Oct07 Aug04 Jul20     (noda orlando)MENA E 118 6.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of RUBY CROWN by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  PAPPY'S REVENGE Sep30         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STEADY N LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  SMOOTH PLAYER Sep10         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by OUTWORK out of TURLINGTON by TAPIZAR)
6  ARROW SPEED Sep03         (avila carl)CENTENO E 118 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of AVIE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
DEL-4   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Sep29 Sep10 Aug03 Jul21 May15 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
2  AUSTIN FROM BOSTON Oct01 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 3.50    
3  THE GREAT GAZOO Oct04 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 2.50    
4  DRAMA'S PRAYER Aug26 Aug04 Jul09 Jun18 Apr21 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
5  MAGIC MONDAY Jul13 Apr20 Oct30 Oct09 Jul14 (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 123 8.00 20% 4.10    
6  VILLEGAS SWING Feb26 Feb01 Jan08 Dec03 Nov06 (klesaris st)MARIN A 123 6.00    
 
DEL-5   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODE NAME BRODY Aug16 Jul19 Jun15 Nov05 Oct06 (cronk samu)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 10.00    
2  CALL ME MAESTRO Oct05 Sep20 Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
3  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Sep19 Aug26 Aug02 Jul07 Jun18 (kirby t)OCASIO M 123 4.50    
4  AWKWARD PAUSE Sep20 May05 Apr19 Apr01 Mar18 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00    
5  SIR SMOAK Oct05 Sep20 Aug27 Aug10 Jul29 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 8.00    
6  DART Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Jun10 (potts wayne)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
7  GRAND MANNER Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Aug26 Aug06 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul26 (brooks geral)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
 
DEL-6   10/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHLOE ROSE Sep27 Sep02 Aug02 Jul19 May19 (wagner karin)CENTENO E 124 4.50    
2  OUR FANTASY Sep25 Aug17 Jul15 Jun21 May31 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  ONE LAS OLAS Sep01 Aug12 Jun17 May28 May05 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
4  CHALK HILL Oct06 Sep27 Jul26 Jun30 Jun10 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
5  PARTY MONSTER Oct06 Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 Jul22 (smith coll)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIZ HERSELF Sep14 Jul26 Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 1.20 57% 0.80    
 
DEL-7   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSHION Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May13 Apr25 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 10.00    
SCR  REDEEM EDDIE Aug31 Aug04 May31 May05 Mar25 (simoff andre)ARROYO S 121 5.00    
3  REBEL EMPIRE Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Jul26 Jun15 (carrascojr)SANCHEZ J 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Oct04 Sep08 Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 125 15.00    
5  AGGRANDIZE Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 Jun27 Jun13 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 121 3.50    
6  BIG BROWN SHOES Oct02 Sep06 Aug13 Jul12 Jun19 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 125 8.00    
7  INSTIGATED Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00 9% 10.30    
8  LORD BERRIER Oct04 Sep06 Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 (de ka)MARIN A 125 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
DEL-8   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUL OF THE BEAST Oct04 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15   (brooks geral)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
2  ONE TOUGH DAME Sep22 Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 (plaza alb)VARGAS A 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  I'M NERVOUS NOW Sep20 Aug23 Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 (dini mike)CENTENO E 123 6.00    
4  BODACIOUS BREN Sep30 Sep08 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.00    
5  THE SWEATY FOX Oct09 Sep22 Aug06 Jun30 Jun10 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00    
SCR  HIDDEN CACHE Oct11 Aug21 Jun26 Jun12 Jan18 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00    
7  MYSTIC STORM Aug06 May14 Mar23 Feb10 Jan28 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.