Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/7/2)-(2/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/2)-(2/1/3/4)-(5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/4)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/4)-(5/1/4)-(8/7/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(8/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(8/7/5/9)-(3/7/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/9)-(8/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/9)-(8/7/5/9)-(8/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/9)-(3/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/9)-(3/7/4/5)-(7/1/9/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(7/1/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(7/1/9/6/8)-(8/3/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8)-(7/1/9/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/9/6/8)-(8/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/6/8)-(8/3/6/2)-(5/10/6/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/7/2)-(8/3/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/6/2)-(5/10/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/10/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/6/9/1)-(5/10/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/6/9/1)-(5/10/6/9/1)-(5/10/6/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z MYSTIQUE Sep15 Sep01       (mcclellan )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 8.00    
  (by XIXIXI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  MISCHIEVIOUS BOY         (shuman mark)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 5% 18.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHAMPAGNE SPARKLE by STREET BOSS)
3  AMENDE CHARLIE         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 5.00 8% 11.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  RAMBUNCTIOUS RIDE Sep08 Sep01 Aug19     (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 121 30.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ADIMARIDE by CARNIVALAY)
5  BAZINGA D         (keller )NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BAZINGA B by LION HEARTED)
6  COMO ESTAS Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (comi w)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.00    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of LEVIA VITA by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  GOLDEN ADAGE Sep23 Jul29 Jul01 Jun16 Apr28 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 121 6.00 6% 14.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
8  LONG LEGS Sep23 Jul22 Jul02     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of IN MID HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
9  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Sep22 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BAHAMA HALO by MORE THAN READY)
 
CT-2   10/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD CREATIONS Sep22         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ACCESSORIZE by ECSTATIC PRIDE)
2  ROBBIELIKESHIM         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
3  SEABROOK ISLAND         (mckee e)CECIL Y 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
4  MR. DUMBLEDORE         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50 7% 13.70    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
5  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of SARAH MELISSA by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM Sep22         (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
7  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Sep22         (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
8  VALHALLA'S PALACE Sep16         (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM DUE by CATIENUS)
 
CT-3   10/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER REWARDS RVF Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 14% 6.20    
2  GILDED QUEST Aug18 Jul22 Jun22 Jun09 Apr28 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
3  TATOR MADE Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Jul07   (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
4  EMBERLY Sep28 Sep15 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (ramos a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  SNOWY JUBA CAT Sep28 Jul27 Jul07 May27 Dec08 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  WINDSOR'S PLAY Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 Jun19 (rideout ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
7  CASTLE TOY Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug24 Jul30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMAGINE RITA Sep21 Aug11 Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  DAPHNE'S FIRE Sep01 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 (comi w)ROJAS MARTINA 116 5.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of THUNDER SHOWER by TIZNOW)
3  ZIDORMI Sep01 Jul07       (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FRAU BLUCHER by LONHRO (AUS))
4  LINDA'S TAJ Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jun22 Jun09 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
5  CHEYENNE SPRING         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00 19% 4.40    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of IT'S CLOSING TIME by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
6  AZTECA GIRL Sep22 Sep01       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 121 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROYAL SEPTOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Sep22         (davis e)PELTROCHE F 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MISS GOLDEN FREUD by FREUD)
8  RAGGEDY Jun30 May26 Mar04 Jan15   (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.40 34% 2.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
9  CLARIFICATION Sep22 Aug26 Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
CT-5   10/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Sep29 Jun28 May31 May01 Feb20 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
2  BE BE BOP Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Apr28 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00    
3  ZIGGY MON Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  GRAND FIBER Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  POLITICAL DECISION Aug24 Aug13 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  PROTA Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jul21 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
7  MAGICAL EXPRESS Sep29 Aug26 Jul30 Mar13 Feb15 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
8  KING ECLIPTICAL Sep26 Aug30 Aug23 Aug14 Jul26 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00    
 
CT-6   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul06 (lewis r)LARROSA G 121 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
2  I SEE NOTHING Sep09 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 121 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUCHO BLESSINGS by MACHO UNO)
3  ESPRESSO Sep29 Sep08       (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 121 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Sep22 Apr20 Apr08 Mar09 Feb15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 114 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
5  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Sep29         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of LIL LADY BIG PURSE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MOON FALL Sep08 Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 May18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 5.00 8% 12.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
7  JUST CALL ME AL Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01 (cromer lesli)WHITACRE GRANT 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
8  CALYPSO JOHN Sep29 Sep01 Aug17     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  GREATANDGOOD Sep22         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
10  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Sep29 Sep08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun09 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 121 50.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
SCR  PREPPYFIED         (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 121 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PREPPY by CURLIN)
SCR  MY BALBOA         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCKABYE LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CT-7   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILMARY CASTLE Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 May26 Mar24 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
2  DENALI D'ORO Sep16 Aug19 Jun30 May11 Apr08 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  IHEARTRAINACOMN Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
5  PRINCESS HALO Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Aug26 Aug05 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
6  FRENCHIES GOLD Sep09 Aug03 Jun10 May25 Apr29 (runco c)BATISTA A 118 4.50 6% 16.40    
7  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 4.00 ★    
8  LA MADDALENA Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
9  JUST HAVE FAITH Sep15 Aug25 Jul14 Apr29 Apr07 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
10  DEREKA'S BLUFF Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 May26 (venham d)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
SCR  LAURA'S GRAND Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul24 Jun02 (pyke jose)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
 
CT-8   10/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACIO Aug12         (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DESERT DAYLIGHT by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
2  FAR MORE Sep15 Aug04 Jun23 May12 Apr07 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  S S FOUR QUEENS Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 Feb16   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 121 6.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of ALASKA MISS by OFFICER)
4  VERY VENUS Sep15 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 2.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
5  MISS ARGENTINA Sep23 Sep02       (larrosa a)BOCACHICA J 114 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DEPUTY JOLIE by DEPUTY RUMMY)
6  GANGSTER AMERICANO         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 121 10.00 9% 10.10    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
7  SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE Oct28         (hamlin kathl)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
8  OUR BREW Sep15 Aug26 Aug03     (rawlings ama)MARRERO CARLOS 121 8.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
9  PRINCESS URSULA         (schottroffe ed)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00 9% 10.10    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of SMART COLONY by COLONY LIGHT)
10  PRINCESS MARGARET         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  RIGHT TO REFUSE Sep08         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 3.50    
  (by REDESDALE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
SCR  WINDSOR'S MEMORY         (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 121 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  BABY BREEZE         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 121 10.00    
  (by GANDHI out of BABY LEXI by STORM BOOT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.