Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/5/1)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/3)-(2/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/8/3)-(4/8/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(4/8/9/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(4/8/9/1)-(5/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/1)-(4/8/9/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/1)-(4/8/9/1)-(4/8/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/9/1)-(5/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/1)-(5/3/1)-(3/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/5/2)-(3/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. NORMANDY Sep06 Aug09 May23     (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  POLIE Aug25 Aug09       (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
3  NEON DEION Sep03 Aug20       (rivelli )GALLARDO A 120 1.80 67% 0.50    
4  CLOUD IN THE WIND Sep06 Jul17       (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50    
5  COOLKID Aug25 Aug11       (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 ★    
6  EMPTY MY POUCH Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 Jun14 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 120 3.00    
 
PID-2   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR CREEK Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 (hoffman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 8% 11.20    
2  UNBRIDLEDSELECTION Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00 59% 0.70    
3  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Sep12 Aug10 May08 Mar13 Jan11 (ruberto v)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
4  CORAL LEGACY Sep13 Sep03 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 10.00    
5  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Aug16 Jul10 Jun14 May31 Dec01 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
6  GET ALONG Sep04 Aug13 Jul04 Jun19 May29 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
7  WORBOTHOR Sep18 Aug29 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 (roman ma)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
SCR  EPIC (ARG) Jun28 May31 Jan14     (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50    
 
PID-3   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINETHELIGHTONME Aug27         (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
SCR  CHASTE ONE         (sharp j)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
3  RECTANGLE Sep17 Aug25 Aug10 Jul01 May06 (amaya joan)LEON A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SON OF REALITY         (sharp j)WALES GARY 124 12.00    
5  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Mar10 Feb17 Jan22 Jan05 Nov24 (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 3.50    
6  LINE ASTRAY         (amaya joan)LUGO D 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
7  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Aug21 Aug01       (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.00    
 
PID-4   09/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UP FOR THE CHANCE Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 4.00    
2  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  GAMBLING MAN Sep12 Aug21 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 (smith ju)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  I'M NOT A BABY Sep06 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun05 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
5  RAPA NUI Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
6  PARTY SWAGGER Aug27 Jul11 Feb24 Oct04   (amaya joan)LUGO D 119 2.50    
7  FLAT BUSTED Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jun26 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 15.00    
8  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul31 Jul17 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN Aug26 Aug02 Jul14 Jun20 May31 (ferraro ant)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LT. LYDIA Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 (ruberto lo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUNNIS PRETTY Sep06 Aug31 Aug02 Jul14 Jul03 (cooney s)RIQUELME J 120 5.00    
3  SHE IS ROYALTY May26 Apr05 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 (suarez wlaima)ROJAS MARTINA 119 12.00    
4  JAZZ TIME GIRL Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May15 (morrell r)SPIETH S 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  FEEL THE RIDE Aug28 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24   (gotera juan )AYALA J 124 20.00    
6  REAL GOOD VYBZ Sep12 Aug30 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 (williams omani)STANLEY O 124 6.00    
7  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Jul27 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
8  KAGERO Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Jun06 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
9  WOW LADY Sep12         (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
PID-6   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC WIZARD Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 Jul03 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIAMONDHARD STONE Aug22 Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 Jun06 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
3  HUNTIN' THE RUT Sep12 Sep04 Aug07 Jul25 Jul17 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  MOCA MONSTER Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 (cooper thoma)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
5  WORLDS ON HIGH Aug28 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
6  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Sep19 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 May30 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
7  PREGAME Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Oct25 Aug14 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
 
PID-7   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY Sep06 Aug02 Jun26 Jun12 May16 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00    
2  SERENADE A KITTEN Sep12 Sep05 Aug21 Apr21 Apr09 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
3  GOLDEN ISLE Sep04 Aug21 Jul21 Apr09 Feb10 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  LADY IN HEELS Aug12 Jul21 Jun13 Dec31 Nov25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
5  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  DOWN TO EARTH Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 (ruberto v)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
7  CHEROKEE CHATTER Sep20 Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
8  POSH PLAYDAY Sep12 Jun26 Mar24 Jan14 Oct06 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 4.50    
 
PID-8   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPEN OUT Sep13 Sep05 Aug14 Jul27 Jul03 (winters michell)LEON A 122 30.00    
2  ADIOS BOBBY Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
3  CEDUNA Sep12 Aug28 Jul24 Sep05 Aug17 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 124 5.00 52% 0.90    
4  EL SOLITARIO Sep03 Jul11 Feb24 Sep25 Sep07 (amaya joan)STANLEY O 122 4.00 ★    
5  CUZ Aug30 Aug17 May05 Apr05 Mar08 (guciardo joh)AYALA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSIC FILM Sep03 Aug27 Aug09 May05 Mar10 (amaya joan)LUGO D 122 15.00    
7  SIDE TRACKED Aug29 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  REGAL SPEAKER Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
9  BATTLE CREEK Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
10  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 May29 Apr29 (ferraro an)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
SCR  EXPRESS PHAROAH Aug30 Aug22 Apr21 Mar29 Feb24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.