Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/8/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/8/9/5)-(1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/5)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/5)-(1/7/2)-(7/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(7/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(7/8/9)-(4/10/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (7/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/9)-(7/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/9)-(7/8/9)-(7/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/9)-(4/10/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9)-(4/10/3)-(10/5/14) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-5   WIN (4/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/3)-(4/10/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/10/3)-(4/10/3)-(4/10/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/10/3)-(10/5/14) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3)-(10/5/14)-(8/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (10/5/14) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/5/14)-(10/5/14/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/5/14)-(10/5/14/1)-(10/5/14/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/5/14)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/5/14)-(8/3/5/4)-(2/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/4)-(2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/5)-(2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   09/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERCE WARRIOR Sep09 Aug18 Apr22 Mar26 Mar19 (harris keith)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
2  AHSAD Sep16 Sep01 Aug10 Jul10 Jun23 (kirby t)CEDENO CAROL 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD Aug31 Jul26 Jun15 May26 Mar16 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
SCR  KING CAIRO Sep09 Aug10 Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 3.00    
5  PARADISE PRIDE Sep08 Aug12 Jul27 Jul12 Jun26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  GREYZER Sep09 Aug16 Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 (de ka)MARIN A 120 6.00    
7  EL HERMANO Sep09 Sep03 Aug02 Jul22 Jun24 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
 
DEL-2   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHALK HILL Jul26 Jun30 Jun10 Jun01 Apr14 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
2  MUSICAL CAT Sep14 Sep01 Jul27 Jul01 Jun16 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  BLIND SIGHT Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul15 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
4  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Sep17 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jun30 (machado a)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
5  CHLOE ROSE Sep02 Aug02 Jul19 May19 Mar24 (wagner kari)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CANOOCHEE Sep09 Aug18 Jul09 Jun09 May27 (ramirez silvino)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
7  CHICA RABIOSA Aug25 Aug12 Aug05 Jul21 Jul05 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50    
8  HELEONORTIZ Sep06 Aug19 Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 (iannotti tho)ARROYO S 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
9  CAGED PIXIE Aug27 Jun17 May26 Feb03 Dec04 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 8.00 6% 15.80    
 
DEL-3   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASSIMO Nov13 Sep25 Sep03 Jul31   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  CAJUN DREAM Sep02 Aug11 Jul02 May27 May11 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STREET HUSTLE Sep01 Jul29 Jul09 Jun16 May26 (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 4.00    
4  BROTHER SHOWTYME Sep16 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 10.00    
5  MOTIVATING Nov18 Sep07 Aug24     (stidham michael)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
6  CLOUD MUSIC Aug24 Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 May19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.00    
7  RAISE THE RENT Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jul02 Jun11 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
DEL-4   09/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHANIA SEA Aug23 Jul27 Jul12 Jun12 Apr26 (cole-davis ti)ALICEA JEREMY 113 20.00    
2  AWESOME VIEW Sep04 Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 Jul06 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00    
SCR  INSIGHTFUL Aug25 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 (nambo cesar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
4  MAINLINE Aug24 Aug05 Jun17 Apr30 Apr02 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.60    
SCR  PROTOMAGIC Sep13 Aug19 Jul27 Jul14 Jun28 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
SCR  AKEMI Sep09 May08 Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00    
7  ABOVE THE LIMIT Sep08 Aug19 Jul09 Jun15 May19 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
8  GOLDEN TABBY Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 May08 Nov23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.20 30% 2.30    
9  AWESOME PIC Sep16 Aug30 Jul01 Jun01 May12 (smith g)CENTENO E 119 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  EXPECT OURS Aug03 Jun01 May20 Sep23 Sep05 (brinkman br)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
11  BEACH HOUSE Sep08 Aug24 Aug12 Jul21 Sep05 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
 
DEL-5   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUBU Aug12         (pecoraro ant)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
2  SUPER FABULOUS Aug31 Aug10 Jul13     (ramirez a)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
3  LUCKY COUGAR Sep05         (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUST GREAT Aug31         (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.50 49% 1.00    
5  OLD BAY Sep07 Aug19 Aug02     (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 15.00    
6  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jun22   (saville niall)ALICEA JEREMY 111 12.00    
SCR  DWELLING LEGACY         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 6.00    
SCR  BOH'S N O'S Sep07 Aug02       (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
SCR  DESIGNER (GB) Sep10         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
10  STILL GAME Aug02         (ashby lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
DEL-6   09/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDNEY'S BID Aug30 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun14 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 8.00 ★    
2  BUSHWICK BRUISER Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 Jun01 Nov24 (deiter kelly)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
3  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 May29 (troxell k)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
SCR  HEXAGON (IRE) Aug30 Jul27 May14 Mar05 Nov20 (barboza vict)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
5  CORONOVA Sep16 Aug16 Aug05 Jul21 Feb20 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 Jul15 May31 (hendriks ri)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
SCR  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Sep02 Jul22 Jul07 Apr07 Feb22 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00    
SCR  ANDREZ CONQUIST Sep16 Aug30 Jul15     (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  LAST SECOND LOUIE Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 May28 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 10.00    
10  HUSBAND MATERIAL Aug30 Jul22 Jun30 May29 Apr15 (toner j)CENTENO E 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
11  STONECOLDWARRIOR Sep06 Aug26 Aug05 Jul27 Jul15 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 115 20.00    
12  STELLWAGEN BANKER Sep16 Sep01 Jul27 Jul13 Jul07 (salinas giovan)HIRALDO JOHN 119 20.00    
SCR  CRAZY ODDS Sep06 Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Aug06 (bentley fenne)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
14  GRANDPA'S KID Sep07 Aug26 Jul21 May31 May17 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-7   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP TONES Sep09 Jul27       (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
SCR  OPTICAL BIJOU Aug27 Jul23       (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
3  GIVE IT A WHIRL Aug26 Jul14 Jun15     (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  THUNDER LAD Jul16         (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 118 15.00 7% 12.70    
5  SPEEDYNESS Jul14 Jun16       (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  FINICKY Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul07 (nambo cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 15.00    
7  YAHOO OMAR Aug30         (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
8  COPPER TAX Sep01 Jun28 Jun10     (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.50 29% 2.50    
9  MON GATEAU Sep02         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 15.00    
 
DEL-8   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME TOWN FAV Aug30 Aug12 Jul22     (deiter ke)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 15.00    
2  PROVIDING Sep03 Jul19 Aug13 Jul14 Jun02 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  UNFETTERED DIVA Jul21 Jul01       (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00    
4  SK'S HEART Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 Jul19 (bailon nesv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 4.00    
5  PEACE PACT Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jan27   (hendriks ri)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00 11% 8.20    
6  RAIN OF BLESSING Aug30 Jul27 Jun24 May28 Apr28 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00    
7  LADY AMANDA Aug30 Aug12       (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 20.00    
SCR  APRIL'S GOLD         (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 114 6.00    
9  MEMORIES ETERNAL Sep23 Aug27 Jul27 Jul01 Jun17 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.