Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/3/1)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(4/6/3)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(1/3/4)-(10/4/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(10/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (10/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/1)-(10/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/1)-(10/4/8/1)-(10/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERSTATE Sep12 Aug28 Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 (cabrera a)PEREZ E 122 3.50    
2  CENTRAL LOVE Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 (oyola david)DAVILA A 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  FRATERNITY Sep12         (oyola d)NAVARRO J 119 6.00    
4  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Sep04 Jul19 Jun28 Jan12 Dec02 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 2.00    
5  SIGHT UNSEEN Sep04 Jul11 Apr15 Mar05 Jan29 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
6  SEATIGER Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 Jun20 Nov21 (grabowski john)COA J 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
 
FL-2   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZUCCARACE Aug23 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 May15 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
2  VOLCKER RULES Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 Apr22 Mar18 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
3  ERIDROMOS Sep06 Aug04 Jul09 Jun04 Jul31 (lugovich l)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
4  BAY BANK Aug23 Jul08       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  GOSSIPING PANDO Jul04 Jun23       (progno chris)HARKIE K 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
6  FIVE DESTINATIONS Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (acquilano jame)COA J 121 6.00    
 
FL-3   09/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OUR MAN MIKE Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  UNO Jun14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan26 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.50    
2  ROYAL SUSPECT Aug29 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  ALLURE OF MONEY Aug27 Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 Oct25 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 119 2.00 15% 5.60    
4  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Sep04 Aug01 Jun09 May11 Apr13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
5  SHARED SUCCESS Aug27 Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 5.00    
6  BROTHER JEREMIAH Sep04 Aug15 Jul24 Jun20 Nov15 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
 
FL-4   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Aspirant Purse ($99.388K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONIO OF VENICE Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 May12   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
2  GO GRAD         (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 121 8.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of FLASHY NOTE by CATIENUS)
3  CANIGETALOAN Aug11         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 8% 11.80    
  (by LEOFRIC out of DIVA'S DELIGHT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  TALL PAUL Aug12 Jul23       (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 121 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by FROSTED out of ANANDA by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
5  CABLE READY         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
6  TRUST FUND Aug27 Aug11       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO SAVINGS by UNCLE MO)
 
FL-5   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHOPPA         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of SELFIE by WAR CHANT)
2  UNCLE TACO Aug23 Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 May19 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 5.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SWEETIE DARLING by BERNARDINI)
3  GOLDDIGGERS PALACE         (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 10.00 10% 9.10    
  (by PALACE out of DANCER DIANNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  REDEMPTION ROAD Jun19 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 Aug30 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of BEAUTIFUL RISK by SAARLAND)
5  MY COOL HAND LUKE         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of SAKURA BALLERINA by PURE PRIZE)
6  STRATEGYFORYOU Sep04 Jul30 Jun04 May19 Apr23 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DISTORTED TYPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  SUPPORT THE CAT Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jun28 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 4.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
 
FL-6   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIERKEGAARD Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 Apr21 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 6.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  JAK N BURNY Sep05 Aug07 Jul24     (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 1.20    
3  GOLDEN ARM Aug26 Aug05 Jul04 May29 Apr27 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 12% 7.20    
4  C J'S GRAND SLAM Sep05 Aug23 Jul31 Oct18 Sep26 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
5  MOMMIE'S JEWEL Jun27 Nov21 Nov02 Oct18 Oct05 (miller-saul be)COA J 122 20.00    
6  DEVIOUS BANKER Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 (pettine )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
7  TRA LAD Aug29 Jul26 Jun27 May29 Jan11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
FL-7   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Lady Finger Purse ($103.159K) 2 F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNICORN CAKE Sep01         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PARTY LIKE GRANDMA by DESERT PARTY)
2  LIKA ROLLING STONE Sep11         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of REPREIVE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  SOLOSHOT Aug27         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  MAGGY'S PALACE Aug15         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
5  IXODES Sep11 Aug15 Aug01     (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SMARTLEE AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
6  MOON CHARIOT Sep01 Aug15       (dixon k)COA J 120 20.00    
  (by ORB out of DELANTERA by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  NICKY JOLENE Sep24 Jul09 Jun15     (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MORE THAN LOVE by MORE THAN READY)
8  REDWINEANDWHISKEY Aug15         (fadlovich )DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of U AND TEQUILA by HELLO BROADWAY)
SCR  A THOUSAND PLANS Sep01 Aug21       (brooks e)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
FL-8   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES CITY Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 Jul12 Jun05 (dominguez ca)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
1A  DR. LLOYD Sep12 Aug16 Aug08 Jul03 Jun20 (doming)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MATTY'S EXPRESS Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 Jun14 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
3  MISTER LARRY Sep11 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
4  DOUBLE SHOT Sep05 Aug08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  TUCKABUCKAWAY Sep05 Jul11 Jul03 Jun20 May17 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
6  ALL TIME CLASSIC Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun21 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
7  DOUBLE VISION Aug29 Aug16 Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
8  LONGTAIL Aug17 Jun20 May17 Apr28 Mar17 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  LAST MINUTE MARIO Sep01 Aug17 Jul28 Jun09 May10 (o'callah)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
10  NUTSIE Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.