Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-2   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-4   Win (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-5   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-6   Win (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-7   Win (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-8   Win (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MAC Jun24 Jun16 Jun03 May04 Apr21 (hummer a)WOODSON H 118 15.00    
FLASH OF DAY Sep07 Aug05 Jul27 Jul15 Jun24 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
HOLY HIP Aug24 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 Mar25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Aug24 Aug03 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 114 3.00 8% 11.50    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 (shanley tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
ARMY BEAUTY Aug24 Jul07 Jul22     (pickett g)RODRIGUEZ V 117 15.00    
BUFF'S CAT Sep07 Jul21 Jul07 May19 May06 (pennella rhea )WILLIAMS DEVON 124 15.00    
 
CT-2   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALERA LOVE Sep01 Jun15 May11 Apr29 Apr06 (joy j)ACOSTA D 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
AZTECA GIRL Sep01         (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
EBONY QUEEN Aug24         (lucas anthony)CARRASCO CARLOS 121 6.00    
DOLCE ON THE ROCKS May16         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 121 1.40 38% 1.70    
SECRET MOMENT Jul24 May13 May04 Oct06 Jul06 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
UNCONSCIOUS MIND         (davis e)PELTROCHE F 121 5.00    
CLARIFICATION Aug26 Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 May04 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
 
CT-3   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKEABLE Aug27 May16 Mar30 Mar19 Feb08 (hetrick kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  ONE TEN Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jun18 May20 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
ALPHA CHI RHO Sep04 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
ICING Jun17 Jun10 May13 Apr22 Mar18 (ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
MARTINKELLY Jul07 Jun20 May17 Apr28 Mar23 (keller christoph)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
O'CONNER SUNSET Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
COWAN May30 May06 Feb19 Jan22   (ginter raymond)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Aug25 Jul21 Jun09 Apr22 Mar16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  LAST ROMANCE Sep04 Aug05 Jun11 May21 Sep17 (lynch cathal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
 
CT-4   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE YOUR TIME Aug11         (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
YES MY PRINCE         (mckee cynth)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
AYE CALYPSO         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
GOOD BUZZ         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
SCR  MARSHALL PEANUT         (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
GREATEST NOTION Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ         (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM         (viands r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
GOLD CREATIONS         (mckee cynthia)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGE THE WORLD Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 6% 16.50    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 May28 Apr13 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
FULL MOON LOVER Aug25 Jul01 Jun03 May13 Nov19 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
SCR  CHROMATIC LASS Aug12 Jul01 Jun01 May12 Mar10 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
LUCKY BLONDE Aug25 Jul29 Jun02 May12 Apr29 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
LUCYLOU WHO Aug25 Jul20 Jun03 Apr15 Feb25 (geralis )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
MOONLIT SHADOW Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 Jun17 May13 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 120 12.00    
SENECA ROCKS Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 Apr15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
 
CT-6   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O'RIGSBY Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 118 4.00    
LIEUTENANT BROWN Sep01 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (pickett g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
CHASENJOHNATHAN Aug26 Jun03 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (viands gregory)SIMPSON JASON 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
CIDERHOUSE WAY Sep01 Aug10 Jul01 Jun03   (greaves verno)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
SUMMONING DENIS Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun03 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
BOP ZAPPER Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Sep24   (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
I'M THE MONEY MAN Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May19 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCARE DEM Sep08 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rachel's Turn Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA MARGE Jul20         (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Sep02 Aug10 Jul08     (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
ILIKEFUNSIZE Aug10 Jul19 Jun18     (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
NAVY BAND Aug31 Aug10 Jul20     (runco je)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
MAD SWANN Aug31 Aug10       (farrior ant)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Aug05 Jul06       (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jul14 May25 May01     (farrior antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 8.00    
DIRECT THE CAT Aug10 Jul20 Jul06     (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MITOLE CANDY Sep15 Aug26 Aug10     (farrior antho)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD CLANCY Sep08         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 8.00    
GREATANDGOOD         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 12.00    
JUST CALL ME AL Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01   (cromer leslie)WHITACRE GRANT 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  I SEE NOTHING Sep09 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 (shanley tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
MY BUDDY DUANE Sep01         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
JUST MURPHY (IRE) Apr20 Apr08 Mar09 Feb15   (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
SCR  IRISH FLIGHT Jul06 Jan28 Jan04 Aug19 Jun02 (espinosa victor )ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul06 Apr22 (lewis r)LARROSA G 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  MY BALBOA         (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.