Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/1/2)-(7/1/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(7/1/8)-(1/3/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(1/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(1/3/9)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/9)-(1/3/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/9)-(1/3/4/9)-(1/3/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/9)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9)-(6/5/1)-(4/7/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(4/7/3/6)-(8/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/6)-(8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/6)-(8/6/1)-(5/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MAC Jun24 Jun16 Jun03 May04 Apr21 (hummer richard )WOODSON H 118 15.00    
2  FLASH OF DAY Sep07 Aug05 Jul27 Jul15 Jun24 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
3  HOLY HIP Aug24 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 Mar25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
4  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Aug24 Aug03 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 114 3.00 8% 11.50    
5  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  ARMY BEAUTY Aug24 Jul07 Jul22     (pickett crystal)RODRIGUEZ V 117 15.00    
7  BUFF'S CAT Sep07 Jul21 Jul07 May19 May06 (pennella rhe)WILLIAMS DEVON 124 15.00    
 
CT-2   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALERA LOVE Sep01 Jun15 May11 Apr29 Apr06 (joy j)ACOSTA D 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
2  AZTECA GIRL Sep01         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROYAL SEPTOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  EBONY QUEEN Aug24         (lucas antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 121 6.00    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of ROMA'S DISTINCTION by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  DOLCE ON THE ROCKS May16         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 121 1.40 38% 1.70    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of BOUQUET OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SECRET MOMENT Jul24 May13 May04 Oct06 Jul06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
6  UNCONSCIOUS MIND         (davis e)PELTROCHE F 121 5.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MISS GOLDEN FREUD by FREUD)
7  CLARIFICATION Aug26 Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 May04 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
CT-3   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKEABLE Aug27 May16 Mar30 Mar19 Feb08 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  ONE TEN Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jun18 May20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
3  ALPHA CHI RHO Sep04 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
4  ICING Jun17 Jun10 May13 Apr22 Mar18 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
5  MARTINKELLY Jul07 Jun20 May17 Apr28 Mar23 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
6  O'CONNER SUNSET Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
7  COWAN May30 May06 Feb19 Jan22   (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  JUNGLE BEAST Aug25 Jul21 Jun09 Apr22 Mar16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  LAST ROMANCE Sep04 Aug05 Jun11 May21 Sep17 (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
 
CT-4   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE YOUR TIME Aug11         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SOUTHERN MARSH by GREAT NOTION)
2  YES MY PRINCE         (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LONGWOOD LADY by IS IT TRUE)
3  AYE CALYPSO         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BARBADOS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  GOOD BUZZ         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 ★    
  (by ALDRIN out of SPIN AGAIN by HARD SPUN)
SCR  MARSHALL PEANUT         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CROOKED AGAIN by TASTE OF PARADISE)
6  GREATEST NOTION Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
7  ESTRELLA FUGAZ         (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
8  I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM         (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
9  GOLD CREATIONS         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ACCESSORIZE by ECSTATIC PRIDE)
 
CT-5   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE THE WORLD Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 6% 16.50    
2  JAMESTOWN ROAD Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 May28 Apr13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
3  FULL MOON LOVER Aug25 Jul01 Jun03 May13 Nov19 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
SCR  CHROMATIC LASS Aug12 Jul01 Jun01 May12 Mar10 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
5  LUCKY BLONDE Aug25 Jul29 Jun02 May12 Apr29 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  LUCYLOU WHO Aug25 Jul20 Jun03 Apr15 Feb25 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  MOONLIT SHADOW Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 Jun17 May13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00    
8  SENECA ROCKS Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 Apr15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
 
CT-6   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O'RIGSBY Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 4.00    
2  LIEUTENANT BROWN Sep01 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (pickett crystal)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
3  CHASENJOHNATHAN Aug26 Jun03 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  CIDERHOUSE WAY Sep01 Aug10 Jul01 Jun03   (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
5  SUMMONING DENIS Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun03 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
6  BOP ZAPPER Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Sep24   (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'M THE MONEY MAN Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May19 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
8  SCARE DEM Sep08 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   09/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rachel's Turn Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA MARGE Jul20         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of GHOST FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
2  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Sep02 Aug10 Jul08     (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
3  ILIKEFUNSIZE Aug10 Jul19 Jun18     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FRENCH SADIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  NAVY BAND Aug31 Aug10 Jul20     (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
5  MAD SWANN Aug31 Aug10       (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Aug05 Jul06       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
SCR  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jul14 May25 May01     (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
8  DIRECT THE CAT Aug10 Jul20 Jul06     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
SCR  MITOLE CANDY Sep15 Aug26 Aug10     (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CT-8   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD CLANCY Sep08         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 8.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of LADY CHARITY by CHARITABLE MAN)
2  GREATANDGOOD         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
3  JUST CALL ME AL Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01   (cromer lesli)WHITACRE GRANT 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
SCR  I SEE NOTHING Sep09 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUCHO BLESSINGS by MACHO UNO)
5  MY BUDDY DUANE Sep01         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of THAT'S JUST DANDY by HALF OURS)
6  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Apr20 Apr08 Mar09 Feb15   (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  IRISH FLIGHT Jul06 Jan28 Jan04 Aug19 Jun02 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of HOW IS MY GIRL by WINDSOR CASTLE)
8  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul06 Apr22 (lewis r)LARROSA G 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
SCR  MY BALBOA         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCKABYE LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.