Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/6/4)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(2/1/5)-(1/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/7/4)-(7/10/3/14/13) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(7/10/3/14/13) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(7/10/3/14/13)-(2/7/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-5   WIN (7/10/3/14/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/3/14/13)-(7/10/3/14/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/3/14/13)-(7/10/3/14/13)-(7/10/3/14/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/3/14/13)-(2/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/3/14/13)-(2/7/3)-(12/9/11/8/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
DEL-6   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(12/9/11/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(12/9/11/8/6)-(5/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DEL-7   WIN (12/9/11/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/9/11/8/6)-(12/9/11/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/9/11/8/6)-(12/9/11/8/6)-(12/9/11/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/9/11/8/6)-(5/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
DEL-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD BABY         (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.50    
SHEZA NASTY GIRL         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
DON'T TELL KELLY Sep01         (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
SOFSTER Sep01         (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 119 8.00 28% 2.50    
SPIRITED RIDE         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
BELLA CARMELINA         (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 119 6.00    
 
DEL-2   09/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECTLY GOLDEN Aug22 Aug11 Jun10 May24 Apr22 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00 44% 1.30    
GRAND ARROW Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Apr23 Mar01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
PASTA SALAD RHONDA Jul22 Jun08 Mar25 Jan22 Oct15 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Sep07 Aug10 Jun17 May25 Nov25 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 8% 12.10    
DRY HUMOR Aug23 Jul06 Feb01 Jan04 Oct08 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
ROWSIE EXPRESS Sep01 Jul29 Jul01 May05 Mar03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.60 22% 3.40    
FLIRTINI Aug20 Aug05 Jul07     (schistl rafa)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
 
DEL-3   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN WARRIOR Aug24 Jun15 Apr19 Mar15 Dec09 (barboza vic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
TOP OF THE MINT Aug23 Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 Jun16 (pino michae)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
SCR  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Aug12 Jul29 Jun13 May30 May06 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 121 8.00    
TANKINATOR Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 Jul11 Jun13 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 4.50    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Aug20 Aug12 Jul29 Jun05 May17 (ramirez silvino)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
BOONDOGGLE Sep08 Aug24 Jul22 Jul15 Feb05 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00    
TAINO Sep06 Aug26 Jul22 Jul06 Jun20 (iannotti tho)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 10.00    
SCR  MOGALU Aug24 Jul07 Jun16 Apr30 Dec24 (deiter ly)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
 
DEL-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY JO JO Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Jun04 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 1.60 36% 1.70    
SHE SO COOL Sep07 Aug23 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 5.00    
HARPER'S DO Aug23 Jun28 Jun18 Apr15 Dec31 (serey j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Aug23 Jul05 Jun24 May31 Mar10 (sanchez-piner)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 5% 18.00    
LA SANTA CLARA Sep07 Aug06 Jul20 Jul08 Jun25 (boniface ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00    
PURRFECT DANI Sep07 Aug23 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00    
OJITOS BELLOS Aug18 Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 Apr06 (serey mario )ARROYO S 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
DEL-5   09/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF VICTORY         (klesaris st)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of STORM CRY by STREET CRY)
SCR  GRAVITY HILL         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of FAKER by PETIONVILLE)
LORRAINE (FR)         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by SHALAA out of AL MAYDA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SWEET SUMMER LOVE Sep07         (nambo cesar)EVANS CECILY 119 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PRINCESS MALKA by HENNESSY)
BIG BOLT         (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BIG MOVE by MR. BIG)
PURE MAGIC GIRL         (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RICKETYRACKETYRUSS by BORREGO)
ACTIVE         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
MISCHIEFNESS Sep07         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of INDY BUSINESS by A.P. INDY)
FOREST FUEL         (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 112 8.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of FOREST FUNDS by FORESTRY)
10  BEACH ISLAND Sep09 Aug25       (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 18% 4.60    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of LUCKYSTRIKEDELCOCO by PLEASANT STRIKE)
SCR  BRIGID OF KILDARE Sep10         (eppler mary)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of HUG A TREE by FORESTRY)
SCR  WHITE HEAT (GB) Sep07 Aug11 Jul21     (boniface kev)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PLATINUM BRIDE by ALPHABET SOUP)
13  LITTLE CRYBABY Aug31 Aug12       (worsley john)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of APPLE CIDER by MORE THAN READY)
14  PINK LADY LU SHA         (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HAY FLO by CAIRO PRINCE)
 
DEL-6   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT BURTON         (williams abd)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
NICK'S LITTLE BOY Aug25 Jul07 Jun16     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 54% 0.80    
TUNA N STAMPS Aug16 Jul21 Jun01 Mar19 Jan11 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 6.00 7% 13.10    
MY HANDSOME MAN Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 May26 May04 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 10.00    
CANTANKEROUS CAT Sep09 Aug26 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00    
BIG LOUIE Sep06 Aug16 Jul27 Jun09 May06 (marino gary)BELL BARRINGTON 120 2.00    
DISCO DEVIL Sep06 Aug26 Jul26 Jul13   (nazario pedro)HIRALDO JOHN 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
 
DEL-7   09/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 SOFT Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORGOBYTHESEA Aug19 Aug04 Jun15 May06 Apr14 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
ROCK SOLID GOLFER Aug31         (luqueno giovann)MENA E 120 20.00    
SCR  UNCLE ANDREW Sep20 Sep01 Aug20 Jul15 Jun05 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
OXIDE Jun18 May07 Apr30 Apr02 Mar19 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
THE ANGRY MAN Sep02 Aug23 Jul12 Jul03 Jun21 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 113 20.00    
FORMAL ORDER Aug26 Aug18 Jul22 Jun24 May30 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 7% 14.20    
SCR  KHOZY MY BOY Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 May15 Jan15 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 124 10.00    
JOE PHILLIPS Sep06 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Apr14 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 7% 13.10    
OFFSHORE AFFAIR Aug30 Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
10  TRUMPENCE Jul26 Jun18 May27 May13 Apr14 (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
11  ENTERTAINMENT Aug26 Aug03 Jun29 Jun15 Feb24 (brinkman brett)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00 9% 10.00    
12  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Aug19 Jun24 Feb25 Jan21 Dec14 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
13  BACKWOODS BOOGIE Jul21 May07 Apr02 Mar11 Feb02 (eppler mary)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
SCR  MARVIN Jul30 Jun18 Jun04 May13 Apr15 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00    
 
DEL-8   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE ATKA Aug24 Jul06 May24 May06 Apr08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 5.00    
PARISIAN VIBE Aug11 Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 May27 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
SCR  KNOT ANYMORE Jul15 May20 Mar29 Jan12 Dec15 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00    
LADY JEAN Aug24 Aug03 Jun23 Jun11 May26 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 123 10.00 23% 3.40    
LIKING IT TWISTED Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
MY SUPER SALLY Aug23 Jul13 Jun28 May11 Jan20 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.