Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/1)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/1)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/1/7)-(3/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(3/1/2)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/5/4)-(7/2/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/2/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(7/2/9)-(2/5/3/7/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/9)-(7/2/6/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/2/9)-(7/2/6/9)-(7/2/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/9)-(2/5/3/7/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/5/3/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/7/10)-(2/5/3/7/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/7/10)-(2/5/3/7/10)-(2/5/3/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONOR LEO JEAN Aug10 Jul10 Apr26 Apr01 Feb17 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 7% 13.20    
2  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  AMERICA'S GUEST Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jul04 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 118 2.00    
4  GOOSE HUNTER Aug23 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 Jun05 (rice adam)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00    
5  WHISKEYMAC Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  NIGHT RIDE Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun14 May29 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
 
PID-2   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD LOOKER Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jun19 Nov21 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PROPER MANNERS Aug29 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
SCR  DIANNA'S JET Jul08 Jun24 Apr28 Mar12 Feb23 (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
4  DOWN TO EARTH Aug29 Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
SCR  SONG OF INDY Aug29 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50    
6  MONGOLIAN MISSION Aug22 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (lucarell)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
7  EMERALD CITADELLE Aug22 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
 
PID-3   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Aug23 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 Oct26 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 6.00 6% 15.80    
2  SHOSHANAH Aug17 Jul05 May19 Nov05 Sep28 (horlache)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
3  WILD DELIGHT Aug16 Jul24 Jun21 Jul20 May02 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50    
4  RUSTY MY BROTHER Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jun06 May15 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
5  SIMPLY STATED Aug18 Aug08 Jun22 Jun02 May06 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 58% 0.70    
 
PID-4   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 May31 May24 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  LEBASI Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 Oct13 Sep20 (grace john)AYALA J 124 5.00    
SCR  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Aug17 Jul18 Jun27 Apr23 Jan29 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
4  CROWLEY'S WAR Aug17 Jul18 Apr02 Mar18 Feb19 (wismer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 1.80    
5  LEGIO Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 (skawinski car)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
6  EXTRA MEDIUM Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 May31 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
7  FEVOLA Aug13 Jul31 Jun13 May30 May02 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  GENIUS Sep04 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 May26 (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
 
PID-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS GETTY UP Aug16 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Aug21 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  MONEY AND HONEY Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGIC LIFE Aug21 Aug10 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (ruberto )MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  CAN I GET AN AMEN Aug14 Jul26 Jun30 Jun21 May31 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00    
5  LISA MARIE Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jul04 May29 (potts g)WALKER M 122 4.50    
6  RAISE THE PRAISE Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 May20 Apr19 (deville j)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
SCR  THROUGH THE CRACKS Aug03 Jul01 May20 May04 Apr19 (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 118 8.00    
8  PEEP'S DAY Aug22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun20 May23 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 6.00    
 
PID-6   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Aug21         (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
SCR  DON ANTONIO Aug22 Jul24 Jul10     (monserrate ma)DELGADO DAVID 120 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SAPPHIRE SKY by SKY MESA)
3  WITHOUT A TRACE         (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TRACINGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  OUT OF STOCK Jan12 Dec02 Nov09     (mcclellan eri)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 6% 16.40    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of IANTHE by SKY MESA)
5  HARBOR MOON Jan21 Dec10 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DOUBLE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  CACTUS KEVIN Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Oct12 Sep27 (walsh d)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CACTUS KRIS by CACTUS RIDGE)
7  I STRONG Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 5.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  LOCO Aug11 Jul09 Jun22 Nov09 Oct12 (hetrick )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
 
PID-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun21 (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 20.00    
2  SURE ENOUGH Aug15 May20 Mar16 Dec11 Nov11 (van berg)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  ZORA Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00    
4  FOLLOW THROUGH Sep04 Aug11 Jun29 Apr28 Jan20 (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00    
5  KEEN ON ME Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun13 May30 (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
6  LORI'S EYES Aug14 Jul01 Jun03 Apr21 Apr14 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 1.80 ★    
7  UPTOWN CHARLOTTE Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  ORGANZA Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Dec11 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
9  DRIFTING MELODIES Sep04 Aug14 Jul27 Jun24 Jun02 (deville carl )ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 (girten tim)AYALA J 122 6.00    
2  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Jul31 Jul19 Jun21 Jun12 May23 (judd cassandr)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Aug10 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 14% 6.40    
4  LAUDERDALE Aug28 Aug17 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 30.00    
5  PATRIOT DRIVE Aug23 Aug08 Jul10 Jun24 May25 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  BASSETT Aug28 Jul31 Jun10 May13 Apr15 (deville j)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
7  CLEMSON TIGER Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
8  GOLD WING Aug28 Aug10 Jun24 Jan14 Oct13 (guciardo john)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
SCR  STUNNING BABY Aug28 Jul31 Jul13 Jun20 Jun01 (fernande)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
10  C THE KING Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun12 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  ORAZIO Aug29 Aug10 Jul11 Jun27 May31 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.