Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/7/8)-(5/2/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(3/2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(3/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(3/2/4/5)-(4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(4/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5)-(4/9/5)-(2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/5)-(4/9/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/5)-(4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/5)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5)-(2/7/3)-(2/9/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(2/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(2/9/3/6)-(7/8/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (2/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/6)-(2/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/6)-(2/9/3/6)-(2/9/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/3/6)-(7/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3/6)-(7/8/2/1)-(3/2/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/1)-(3/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVS MEDAL Aug05 Jul13 Jun10 May30   (phillips terr)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 4.50    
2  MOTION TO ADJOURN Jul07 Jun21 May25 May11   (raper ron)PEREZ E 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  STUDENT PRINCE Aug23 Aug09 Jul11 Oct31 Sep28 (cunningham )BURNHAM MATILDA 114 8.00    
4  BIG BOY VICK Aug23         (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 20.00    
5  HITCHPIN Aug30 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 May23 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
6  AMERIGOROUND Jul03 Jun08       (livers charlie)HUGHES CARLY 120 30.00    
7  SEMINOLE AUSTIN Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 Apr25   (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.00 ★    
8  SAN RONIN Jul20 Jul03 Jun17 May29 May11 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-2   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN ANGEL Aug21         (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
2  GOGO BOBBYJO Aug23         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
3  MISTY OCEAN Aug21         (chapman jam)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 12.00    
4  LADY YELLOWSTONE Aug29         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50    
5  PRETTY VEGAS Aug28 Aug02 Jul07 Jun08 May31 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 6.00    
6  BACK ON TRACK Aug23 Jul30       (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
7  POP CHART         (hernandez re)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 10% 8.70    
8  RUNTOLIVE         (o'donne)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 5% 18.60    
 
IND-3   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY RICH Aug23 Jun22 Aug30     (riley donna)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00    
  (by SLUMBER out of SILVER SAVER by SUPER SAVER)
2  DARNELL Aug08 Jun21 May30 May11 May02 (haran john)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 2.50 14% 6.40    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of PRECIOUS ABBEY by SHORE BREEZE)
3  I GOT ANALYZED Aug08 Jul20 Jun13     (eggleston tim)PRESCOTT R 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of I GOT CAT CLASS by CLASSY PROSPECTOR)
4  NO JOKING MATTER May31 May02 Feb15 Dec21 Nov23 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BUSTLE by MORE THAN READY)
5  FOREVER PINK         (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 117 15.00 10% 9.10    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of PINKING OF YOU by PINK VIPER)
6  COLOR ME FAST May30 May11       (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 15.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of MISS MAREN by COUNTRY DAY)
7  TEAKETTLE Jul07 May30 May02 Nov01 Oct05 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WHISTLIN' JEAN by PURE PRIZE)
8  KENNEDY HEIGHTS Aug08         (langemeier j)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of SAINT SAVIOR by YANKEE VICTOR)
 
IND-4   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Aug23 Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 Jun07 (egbert james)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 20.00    
2  BLAZEN ROAD Aug02 Jun20 May27 Apr06 Nov04 (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  LOOK AWAY Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May25 (jones s)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
4  HIGH BROW Aug20 Jul30 Jun29 May31 May04 (haran john)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.50 49% 1.00    
5  FLYING SAMURAI Aug30 Jul19 Jun22 Jun04 Nov02 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHIPSHAPE Aug22 Aug10 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 (medina tomas)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00    
7  YAK Jul05 Jun08 May09 Feb10 Dec18 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 ★    
8  GENERATOR Aug04 Jul05 Jun07 May06 Apr14 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
9  HE TAKES CHARGE Aug29 Aug16 Mar16 Feb23 Feb01 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
10  KING SOCIAL Aug16 Jul15 May16 Jan14 Oct25 (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
 
IND-5   09/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARD LUCK JUSTICE         (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
2  BRIGHT SPARK Apr19 Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 (leonard geor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  BOONE'S PATH Aug20 Jul27 Jul16 Jun22 Apr15 (young ter)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  COUSIN LARRY Jul19 May28 May11 Mar26 Feb25 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
5  FAITH RUNNER Aug09 Jun07 Sep28 Sep05 Aug12 (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00    
6  LIAM THE BRAVE Aug06 Jul19 Jun10 May24 May08 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00    
7  GUNOE Jul06 May08 Mar17 Jul31 Jan22 (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
8  CHARLIES MEDAL Aug15 Jul12 Jun27 May24 Apr26 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 118 10.00    
 
IND-6   09/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNIVING         (chapman)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STARLET STORM by THE FACTOR)
2  VERY PAINTABLE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  LEMON MERINGUE Aug08         (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
4  MANSION PARTY Aug26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun03 May15 (short thomas)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  KYKEON         (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of POETIC by VIOLENCE)
6  BOZAANO Aug08         (gorham m)PEREZ E 117 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by BAL A BALI out of WALL STREET LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MCVICKER Jul30         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LIL' SASHA by WHYWHYWHY)
8  S J MATER Aug15 Jul21       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 117 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PUNKY B by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  WOODFORD HOLLER         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of LUCY IN THE SKY by CALEB'S POSSE)
SCR  SPOKEN CODE         (walsh brenda)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPOKEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
IND-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPINJUSTICE Jun14 May02 Sep29 Sep01 Aug10 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HER WAY Aug26 Jul13 May03 Nov15 Oct25 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
3  V. E. TIA Aug19 Jul20 May22 Nov22 Nov14 (garcia genaro)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 12.00    
SCR  SHINY SHOES Aug30 Aug20 Aug01 Jul16 Dec09 (jones s)MOJICA O 119 30.00    
5  WEST COAST JUSTICE Aug31 Aug22 Aug10 Jul05 Jun10 (gonzalez li)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 8.00    
SCR  ZUPITA Aug22 Aug10 Jul03 May29 May17 (esquive)DE CRUZ 115 20.00    
7  ANAITA Aug28 Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 May03 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  LOVE DRUNK Aug22 Aug11 Jul18 Jun14 May16 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
9  NO DRAMA MOMMA Aug22 Aug11 Jul18 Jun14 May15 (west m)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00    
10  LOONA LUV Aug22 Aug03 Jul16 Sep20 Sep01 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
11  HOOSIER PREMIUM Aug22 Jun07 May16 May03 Nov21 (herrell ron )CENTENO ALEXIS 119 30.00    
 
IND-8   09/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME GAME Aug20         (melton chris)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
2  WISE MARY         (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 117 12.00 19% 4.20    
3  FESSY         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  GLOSSY LIFE Aug13 Jul09       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
5  KITTEN'S TEMPER         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
6  MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Aug28         (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP Aug28 Jun10       (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 120 10.00    
8  CAT ONE Aug01 Jun25       (mott riley)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00    
9  HOT MOCHA Aug04         (mccarthy w)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
10  PURE CONNECTION Aug15 Jul23 Jun16     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.