Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/1/6)-(7/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(7/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(4/6/5/7)-(5/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/7)-(5/7/9)-(1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/9)-(5/7/9)-(5/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9)-(1/7/2)-(2/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/7/6)-(4/8/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/1/5)-(4/8/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET TANAGER Aug19 Jun16 May25 Apr15 Mar30 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
2  NANCYSAIDSO Aug01 Jul19 Jul09 Jun25 May14 (spriggs toschi)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOST ANCHOR Aug19 Jul04 Nov30 Nov23 Oct15 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
4  MOJO MATTERS Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 Jun15 Apr13 (davis e)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
5  SUPER WILDCAT Aug19 Jun16 May27 Apr14 Mar23 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
6  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Aug19 Jul06 May25 May04 Oct12 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 1.60 59% 0.70    
7  GRAM'S GAL Aug26 Aug04 Apr07 Feb17 Jan11 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-2   09/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC ELM Aug03 Jul14 May20 Apr21 Mar10 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  GUN FACTOR Aug09 Jul12 May16 May07 Mar17 (ceciliano misae)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
3  ABENDEGO Aug04 Jul15 Jun03 Sep09 Aug17 (greaves vernon)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00    
4  FIFTY FIFTY Jul08 Jun22 Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 (mcdonald ti)ESQUILIN J 122 15.00    
5  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Jul29 Jun15 Feb18 Jan12 Nov25 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
6  THUNDERINREADYRICK Jul21 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Apr13 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 13% 6.90    
7  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Jul29 Jul08 May26 Apr21 Apr01 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 
CT-3   09/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET OFF MY CLOUD Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 Jun03 May11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROAD SLEW Aug17 Aug04 Sep17 Aug26 Aug11 (perez ern)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 ★    
3  CHASE LIL ME Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 Apr22 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00    
4  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Aug17 Jul19 Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
5  NEVERPOPTHECORK Aug17 Jul15 Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Aug17 Jun16 May25 Mar31 Feb16 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
7  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Aug17 Jun22 May11 Apr27 Mar31 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  ORANGEBURG Aug17 Jun22 May11 Apr20 Apr07 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   09/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN SMITTY Aug11 Jul08 Jun22     (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
2  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Aug19 Aug05 Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00    
3  SURF CITY GOLD Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 May13 (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00    
4  TAKE AIM Jul07 May27 Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Aug19 Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 Apr22 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL AIR FORCE Aug18 Jun17 May29 May05 Apr08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
7  FLASH OF DAY Aug05 Jul27 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BUFF'S CAT Jul21 Jul07 May19 May06   (pennella rhe)WILLIAMS DEVON 124 15.00    
 
CT-5   09/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Aug11 Jun30 Apr15 Feb22 Feb02 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
SCR  LIL BUNNY Aug29 Aug24 Jul20 May18 Mar31 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
3  IT'S A REAL HONOR Aug24 Aug11 Jun30 Jun03 May11 (perez e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
4  GOLDEN SALLY Aug19 Jul20 Jul13 Jun30 May11 (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
5  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 51% 1.00    
6  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Jun30 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar02 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
7  PATTI BLUE EYES Aug11 Jul28 Jun24 May25 Mar31 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  LET'S DO THIS Jul20 Jul07 Jun17 May18 Apr07 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
9  JUJU ON DA BEAT Aug24 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   09/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Jan11 Oct26 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.20 36% 1.80    
2  KEEP ON SPURRIN Aug19 Jul29 Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 7% 12.70    
3  CHEROKEE CASTLE Jul06 May19 Apr21 Apr15 Apr01 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
4  DIXIE YODELER Aug05 Jul06 May05 Apr21 Mar25 (davis russe)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
5  SILVER RULES Aug25 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (kopecki e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
6  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Aug11 Jul07 Jun03 May11 Apr28 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
7  DREAMY SONDE Jul06 May18 Apr01 Mar09   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
CT-7   09/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAP THE MOMENT Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Aug21 Aug02 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 120 50.00    
2  STRYDA Aug25 Jul27 Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.00 51% 1.00    
3  SENTELLA Jul27 Jul07 Jun15     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 5.00    
4  ASUE Aug10 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 Dec01 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
5  BELLA MELA Aug24 Apr29 Apr14 Jan13 Dec03 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 ★    
6  TIMETOGETUP Jul01 Jun01 May20 May04 Apr21 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FANCY HER UP Aug10 Jul07 Jun15 May27 Nov11 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
8  EMBERLY Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul01 Jun15 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
9  WHALE OF A TIME Aug02 Jul07 Jun15 Feb01 Jan14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00    
 
CT-8   09/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE A RUCKUS Aug17 Aug03 Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 ★    
2  TO THE TOP Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 Jun01 Nov02 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
3  KING OF LUCK Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 5.00    
4  WINDSOR'S STAR Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 May20 Mar24 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.60 59% 0.70    
5  SENZA STRIKE Jun16 Jun01 Apr27     (stehr josep)ESQUILIN J 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  GETTIN SPICY Aug17 Jul28 Jul01 Jan06 Dec17 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
7  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Aug17 Jun23 May06 Apr14 Mar24 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
8  METALLIC CAT Aug17 Aug03       (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 18% 4.50    
9  CHARTERED COURSE Aug17 Apr14 Mar31 Mar10 Jan26 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.