Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/3/6)-(1/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/2/9)-(2/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (1/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/9)-(1/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/9)-(1/2/9)-(1/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/9)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9)-(2/6/1)-(6/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(6/4/3)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/5)-(5/10/11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/10/11/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/10/11/2)-(7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/10/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/11/2)-(5/10/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/11/2)-(5/10/11/2)-(5/10/11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/11/2)-(7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMYDABOOK Aug04 Jul12 Jun28 Mar19 Feb20 (smith jas)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
GRAND SPUN Aug05 Jul19 Jun01 Apr02 Dec17 (wagner karin)CEDENO CAROL 117 6.00 17% 4.70    
TESTED POSITIVE Aug18 Jul29 Jul06 Jun04 May13 (morzan e)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00    
FESSIN UP Aug18 Jul28 Jul17 Jun24 Jun09 (comi ralph )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
SCR  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Aug23 Jul05 Jun24 May31 Mar10 (sa)DA FAUSTO 123 4.00    
UNBRIDLED SASS Aug12 Jul26 Jul12 Jun30 Jun17 (nambo cesar)MENA E 119 1.50 49% 1.00    
 
DEL-2   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAVROS Aug02 Jun25 May05     (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 1.40 32% 2.10    
SAGAMOOSE Jul26         (cronk samue)MARIN A 120 10.00    
BIG BROOK         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
SPORTING THE GOLD Feb08         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00    
PAYNTED THUNDER         (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
DANGEROUS MIND (IRE)         (ness jamie)MENA E 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
DEL-3   08/31/2023 5490ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE LILACS Aug12 Jul22 Jun12 May23 Oct22 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
NO VALLA Aug19 Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 Nov13 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  TAK E LADY Aug17 Jul22 Jul13 Jun10 May24 (ashby lynn)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  DRY WELL Aug19 Jul27 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
BALI KUTA Jul27 Jun21 May27 Mar03 Jan28 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
GENNIE HIGHWAY Aug12 Jul30 Jun23 Aug27 Jul29 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
AMAZON QUEEN Jul16 Jun14 May11 Mar24 Feb16 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
SCR  GRAND ARROW Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Apr23 Mar01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 12.00    
HIGH VIBES Aug09 Jul22 Jun01 Apr23 Mar22 (carrascojr )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00 10% 9.00    
10  GLOSSAMER Aug17 Jul07 Jun22 May25 Nov13 (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
 
DEL-4   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZOO Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 May27 Apr15 (patterson k)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 7% 12.90    
RAISE THE RENT Aug17 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Mar11 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
THE SICARII Aug12 Jul20 Jul05 Jun01 May07 (neilson wallace)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00    
REDEEM EDDIE Aug04 May31 May05 Mar25 Feb13 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00    
MONEY SONG Jun01 Apr07 Feb15 Dec23 Oct08 (ochoa gerard)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.00    
DEFEND Jul05 Jun14 Apr13 Nov26 Oct29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 8% 10.90    
 
DEL-5   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELIEVE IN LOV Aug17 Aug05       (lopez mario )TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
REPPAZZ Feb17         (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HARISSA by AFLEET ALEX)
NANCY SPAIN Dec31 Nov18       (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 4.50 7% 14.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BELLA DORATO by GOLDMINERS GOLD)
BOSSY DIVA Aug06         (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00 31% 2.20    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DELITEFUL DIVA by CONGRATS)
EXPECTATIONS MET Aug17 Jul09 Jun04 May06 Dec14 (duarte jorge )OLVER MADISON 113 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MS. CORNSTALK by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BROOKLYN GIRLEE Jul30 Jul05       (delacour ar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of WICKEDLY by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Jul19 May06       (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of POWER BID by TOUCH GOLD)
QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE)         (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of JAWLAAT by DAYJUR)
SCR  SUNDOG Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 May24 Oct05 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
  (by GANDHI out of TRUTHFUL DUTCH by SWEAR BY DIXIE)
SCR  YELOMA Jul30 Jul19 Jun18 May25 May03 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 15.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of ANGEL'S GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
DEL-6   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER ME Aug05 Jul22 Jul01     (robb john)BETANCOURT R 116 1.20 58% 0.70    
SCR  NINETYNINECARATS Jul26 Jul08       (ramirez a)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 8.00    
SCR  LUBU Aug12         (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 116 3.50    
SUPER FABULOUS Aug10 Jul13       (ramirez a)MENA E 116 6.00    
LITTLE CRYBABY Aug12         (worsley john)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 10.00 12% 7.10    
JUST GREAT         (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 8.00    
NAVANI Aug17         (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 8.00    
 
DEL-7   08/31/2023 7920ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS BRIDGE Jul27 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan04 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
TREASURE TAILS Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 Jun11 May25 (holtzinger ca)ROJAS MARTINA 108 15.00 7% 14.20    
BOLD LICORICE Aug11 Jul15 Jun10 May31 Nov19 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
STRONG HEADED Aug12 Aug04 Jul01 Jun11 May18 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
WHO'S COUNTING Aug18 Aug02 Jun25 May05 Oct15 (mcdermott )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MCSTEAMY Aug23 Aug07       (boucher li)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
SCR  SEMPER FI Aug19 Jul09 Jun11 May29 May18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
SCR  ABSAM Jul14 Oct15 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 (dowling william)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
REGAL KINGDOM Jul15 Jun02 Apr22 Mar26 Feb23 (motion graham)ROSE J 116 3.00    
10  KING TSUNAMI Jul19 Jun02 Oct13 Sep10 Aug20 (wyatt j)CENTENO E 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
11  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Jul21 Jul02 Jul01 May24 May10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
12  LACCO AMENO Aug18 Aug04 Jun21 Jun02 May05 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
SCR  THE COLORA KID Aug19 Jul26 Jul07 Jun01 May24 (smith collie)ARROYO S 116 20.00    
 
DEL-8   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMP PENDLETON Aug09 Jul14 Jun18 Apr15 Mar24 (nazario ped)MARIN A 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
ROCK SOLID GOLFER         (luqueno giovann)MENA E 120 8.00    
TEXTPECTATION Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun03 (morzan e)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S THRILL Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jul01 Apr11 (simone mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Aug17 Aug04 Jul05 Jun21 May27 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 10.00    
POLITICAL Jun21 May17 May05 Apr12 Mar24 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Aug03 Jul12 Jun18 May27 Apr28 (simone micha)ARROYO S 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.