Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/6/1)-(2/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(2/1/6/3)-(1/4/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(1/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/3)-(1/4/2/5)-(2/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/5)-(2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/5)-(2/8/3)-(7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(7/4/5)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACANA Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Feb15 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 125 8.00    
2  TYCHE AWAITS YOU Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  COCOA CENTS Jul07 Jun11 Mar18 Feb26 Feb17 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 123 6.00    
4  PARTY POLICE Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 May27 Apr25 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  MUNNINGS TALE Jul07 Jun16 May13 Mar20 Feb14 (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jul21 Jul03 Jun10 May28 May14 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00    
 
EMD-2   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIRD RING Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  MOONLIGHTNWINE Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 May13 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 2.50 49% 1.10    
3  VALIDATE Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 3.00    
SCR  GATO NEGRO Jul12 Jul02 Jun11 May13 Apr23 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 119 10.00    
5  WITHEE Jul03 Jun16 May27 May13 Sep10 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
6  CONTEJAS Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 Sep18 Aug21 (cryderma)AMADOR RUIZ 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
EMD-3   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S MAN Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr22 Mar29 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
2  A SKIP IN THE PARK Jul22 Jul02 Jun11     (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 1.20 43% 1.30    
3  BRANNIGAN Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 Sep18 (perez hilario)BOWEN ROCCO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAPIAT Jun09 May06 Apr18 Apr04 Mar21 (peery deb)DIXON GRANT 116 15.00    
5  WESTERBERG Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr18 Mar21 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
6  LUCKY CODE Jul02 Jun11       (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00 10% 9.50    
7  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Jul09 Jul02 Jun24 Jun04 May21 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 121 4.50    
 
EMD-4   08/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-11:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME MOVE Jul09 Dec03 Oct30     (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  ICE TOWER Jul21 Jun25 May27 May14 Sep18 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 3.00 9% 9.90    
3  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Jul21 Jul03 Jun23 Jun03 May06 (bozell alan)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00    
4  TIME 'ER TOO Jul21 Jun23 May27 May13 Sep18 (cooper kay)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  REIGN OF SPEED Jul21 Jun17 Jun04 May13 Jan05 (alvarez ser)ORTIZ A 121 8.00 9% 10.70    
6  AIN'T NO SISSY Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 Sep02 Jun25 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 10.00    
7  GYPSY GUN Jul14 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25   (wenzel tom)RUIZ G 123 4.50    
 
EMD-5   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-11:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO CONNELLY Jul03 Jun16 Jun04 May28 Mar06 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 6.00    
2  SLICE OF PIE Jul03 May21 Sep18 Aug20 Jul31 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  PEARL RIVER DELTA Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May20 Sep10 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 12.00 15% 5.50    
4  MS LYNN Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 May20 Sep18 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 123 10.00    
5  BIG FASHION Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Aug27 Aug07 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 125 8.00    
SCR  OREO'S DREAM Jul03 Jun09 May20 Jan06 Dec16 (moore a)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
7  BIG MAMA THORNTON Jul16 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May14 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00    
8  GOLD COAST GIRL Jul22 Jun18 Apr19 Apr04 Feb28 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  SQUARE FOOTAGE Jul16 Jun18 May28 Apr05 Mar14 (troiani niccolo)ZUNINO L 123 5.00    
 
EMD-6   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRISCO FRILLS Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Sep18 (balcom cliff)RADKE K 125 6.00    
2  NAN ELIZABETH Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May21 Apr14 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 3.50    
SCR  NOMI LACKEE Jul08 May06 Apr16 Apr09 Mar04 (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 121 30.00    
4  MS PARKSIDE Jul09 Jun09 May20 Apr10 Mar04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.60 26% 2.80    
5  SMILING THUNDER Jul08 Jun23 May28 May21 Mar19 (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRILLIANT BIRD Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 May27 Oct16 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
7  REIGN OF FIRE Jul02 Jun23 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
EMD-7   08/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BRETT Jul21 Nov04 Oct21 Sep23 Sep04 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  RODEO ROSE Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May28 Mar18 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 6.00 6% 14.50    
3  FOR YOU ONLY Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May29 May14 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  SHEMAKESCENTS Jul21 Jun25 Jun10 May29 May13 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.80    
5  EASY DOES IT Jul07 Jun16 Apr25 Apr01 Feb20 (koler steve)OROZCO E 123 20.00    
SCR  ARCTIC FIRE Jun17 Jun10 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
7  TED'S CANDY GIRL Jul07 May29 May21 May06 Mar15 (nunnally)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.