Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/7/1)-(4/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(4/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/2)-(4/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/2)-(4/1/9/2)-(4/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/9/2)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/8/6/1)-(9/5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/1)-(9/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (9/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/3)-(9/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/3)-(9/5/6/3)-(9/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVALUABLE WILL Jul17 Jul03 Jun14 Jun05 May22 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 4.00    
GRAYWING Jul17 May02 Mar30 Mar13 Jan17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.20 67% 0.50    
THE LAST ACE Jun27 Jun05 Nov23 Nov01 Aug24 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.00 10% 9.50    
BOSSHIP Jul25 Jun28 Jun07 May24 May11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 5.00    
DEVIOUS MO Jun14 May22 Apr24 Feb15 Jan19 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
FL-2   08/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE Jul12 Jun27 May31 May16 May02 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 124 4.00    
PRETTY MISS PENNY Jul11 Jun13 Sep27     (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Jul11 Jun27 May30 Nov21 Oct25 (monserrate ma)DAVILA A 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PAULIES ANGEL Jul04 Jun26 May29 May08   (bond br)NAVARRO J 120 12.00    
ALARRA Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May17 Apr25 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 2.50    
DENIECE OF DEGRACE Jul11 Jun21 May28 Apr14 Feb18 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
FL-3   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIAMI CHROME Jul24 Jul12 Jun14 Jan12 Jan05 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT Jul11 Jun26 May31 May15 Dec10 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
DEVIOUS BANKER Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 May16 Apr25 (grusmark karl)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Jun14 May30 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  SIMBASALLTROUBLE Jul24 Jul03 May16 Oct03 Sep21 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  SON OF DARKNESS Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May22 May09 (sells rachel)COA J 122 8.00    
NUTSIE Jul18 Jun19 May15 Dec08 Sep06 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
ALL TIME CLASSIC Jul11 Jun21 May17 Apr21 Mar30 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
 
FL-4   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S MAGA Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 May29 Nov14 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  KATERI EMPIRE Jul05 Jun21 May31 May17 Nov02 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50    
COMFORTABLE CAT Sep22 Aug08 Jul12     (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
DON'T EATTHE APPLE Jul06 May25 May08 Apr24 Oct13 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SARATOGA BEAUTY Jul03 Jun19 May17 May09 Mar27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
KAUFY FUTURES Jul03 Jun19 May24 May08 Oct26 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
SUBSIDIARY May31 May17 Jun13 May24 May10 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
FUNNY PURSUIT Jul24 Jun19 May24 Apr24 Nov16 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
FL-5   08/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY JAZZ Jun27 May31 May16 Apr24 Mar26 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
WINTER SIREN Jul05 Jun27 Jun12 May24 May08 (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNI LOVES A FIGHT Jul05 Jun20 Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May31 May17 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
DISCO PARTY Jul19 Jul03 Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 (lopez roberto )VENTURA JOSE 122 20.00    
COUPS DE PARTY Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 May31 Nov16 (babcock edwa)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 5.00    
RENNINAS ROSE Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 May31 May22 (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
BETTY RUBBLE Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 May22 May09 (bond br)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
SHE'S GOT GAME Jul19 Jun27 Jun02 May09 Jan15 (ronen assaf)HARKIE K 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   08/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MYBRONXBABY         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of MY BRONX TAIL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LUCY PLAYA         (grusmark karl)COA J 120 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SAMARA by HARD SPUN)
HARLEE         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 18.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of TIZNOWORNEVER by FREUD)
SHEZA BERNARDINI Jun15         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CHARISMATA by ADMIRING WEIGHS)
JAYCE AND LIAM         (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
SHEZENTICING         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by ENTICED out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
IXODES         (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SMARTLEE AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
SCR  SPEED UP         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 8.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SPEEDY ANALYSIS by CITY ZIP)
GOOD BYE NEW YORK         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 10.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of CRYSTAL KRIS by KISSIN KRIS)
 
FL-7   08/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAPPE THE DREAM Jul17 Jun27 Jun05 Nov01 Sep28 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RINGGOOD Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 May29 Nov15 (bond br)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
LUCKY MANNY Jul19 Jun28 Jun12 May29 May15 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
MAJESTIC FRONTIER Jun09 May11 Apr13 Mar04 Jan29 (magee kier)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
LEO AND ROYAL Jul10 May30 Nov16     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 47% 1.10    
AMEDEUS MUSIC Jul08 May29 May13 Mar24 Jan12 (de horacio)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
CANDYROCK Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 Nov15 (donegan )DAVIS A 122 15.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Jul03 Jun15 May20 May03 Mar10 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
FL-8   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODYS EXPRESS Jul18 Jul10 Jun12 May29 Oct10 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
MAGIC PRO Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May31 May16 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
MOON HUNTER Jul18 Jul10 May26 Dec17 Nov12 (sells rachel)COA J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HANGAR ONE Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 May23 May02 (pettine m)GOMEZ O 124 5.00    
GONNA BE DANCING Jul12 Jun28 May09 Nov09 Sep26 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SMART STORM Jul04 Jun20 May31 May16 May02 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
BUMBLE MONSTER Jul04 Jun20 May16 May02 Feb02 (grusmark karl)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00    
TWO COLOR MAP Jul04 Jun20 May23 Mar15 Feb13 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
CENTRAL LOVE Jul19 Jun26 May15 Mar11 Feb11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.